Crime in U.S; Likelihood of Occurrence Based on Ethnicity

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sonicallysensitive
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13 Feb 2017, 10:47 pm

This is a very necessary thread, and would make a good sticky.

It should prove a very useful reference tool.

Stats look at the USA as a whole, and are not state-specific.

Violent crime only listed here. Other crime data will be listed over next few days.


Focus is given here solely to white & black: not as an 'us vs. them', but rather, purely from numbers. The numbers have a huge drop after these two racial groups.

And due to the CIA not listing Hispanic as a separate grouping (see here - https://www.cia.gov/library/publication ... os/us.html).

Assume I'm using 'black' as synonymous with 'African American'.

Data based on the FBI's 2015 crime statistics. Link is here for those interested - https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/20 ... s/table-43

Likelihood of occurrence is expressed as '1 in ...'.

------------

US population data (data sourced from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demograph ... _ethnicity)

White = 223,553,265
Black = 38,929,319



Police Arrests

White = 5,753,212
Black = 2,197,140

Whites arrested 3,556,072 times more than blacks.

--------------------

DATA PER CRIME


Murder/non-negligent manslaughter

Whites = 3908
Blacks = 4347

1 in 57204 likelihood of being murdered by a white
1 in 8955 likelihood of being murdered by a black

6.4 times more likely of being murdered by a black than a white

----------

Rape

Whites = 11,809
Blacks = 4,907

1 in 18931 likelihood of being raped by a white
1 in 7993 likelihood of being raped by a black

2.4 times more likely of being raped by a black than a white

----------

Robbery

Whites = 32,439
Blacks = 39,052

1 in 6891 likelihood of being robbed by a white
1 in 997 likelihood of being robbed by a black

6.9 times more likely of being robbed by a black than a white

----------

Aggravated Assault

Whites = 184,024
Blacks = 92,237

1 in 1215 likelihood of being assaulted by a white
1 in 422 likelihood of being assaulted by a black

2.9 times more likely to be assaulted by a black than a white

----------

Arson (violent crime, as opposed to property crime)

Whites = 232,180
Blacks = 140,543

1 in 963 likelihood of Arson (violent) by a white
1 in 277 likelihood of Arson (violent) by a black

Arson (violent) 3.5 times more likely by blacks than whites

----------

Other Assaults

White = 544,870
Black = 254,600

1 in 410 likelihood of Other Assault by a white
1 in 153 likelihood of Other Assault by a black

2.7 times more likely to experience Other Assault by a black than a white.




On average, you are 4.1 times more likely to experience a violent crime by a black than a white.


--------------------



That's it for violent crime.

And RE the Black Gangs thread - I rest my case with regards being accused of racism.


Data here for all to access/discuss.

Best,
Sonically.



Last edited by sonicallysensitive on 13 Feb 2017, 11:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Dox47
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13 Feb 2017, 11:04 pm

This won't end badly...

Image


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Misslizard
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13 Feb 2017, 11:08 pm

Why is it so important that it would need a sticky?Why is it so necessary?
27% of blacks live in poverty compared to 9.9% of whites.Flip that and most likely you would see whites committing more violent crimes.
http://stateofworkingamerica.org/demogr ... ethnicity/


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sonicallysensitive
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13 Feb 2017, 11:09 pm

Dox47 wrote:
This won't end badly...

Image


lol

The truth has a certain flavour to it


Many find it bitter



sonicallysensitive
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13 Feb 2017, 11:12 pm

Misslizard wrote:
Why is it so important that it would need a sticky?Why is it so necessary?
It isn't. It was a suggestion given the lucid presentation here of US crime data based on ethnicity, given crime in the US is a frequent talking point on this section of the forum.


Misslizard wrote:
27% of blacks live in poverty compared to 9.9% of whites.Flip that and most likely you would see whites committing more violent crimes.
Anecdotal/based on assumption, therefore of dubious authenticity.


Data is data. Any offence caused speaks more of the individual than of the data.

I have nothing further to contribute to this thread. The opening post says everything that needs to be said.



Misslizard
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13 Feb 2017, 11:19 pm

Data on rates of poverty/wealth and crime.Notice that when both blacks and whites exist equally in poverty the crime rate is basically the same.
https://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=5137
I don't see too many people on this site worried about crime in the US except you.
Ever see the film White Man's Burden?


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auntblabby
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14 Feb 2017, 3:28 am

I would like to see all white folk [i'm "off-white" :mrgreen:] trade places with people of color [or become colored] for one month, here in amuurica- then start from scratch. i'm reminded of that old mel brooks movie, "life stinks!" [where a CEO of the universe had to reduce himself to abject homelessness in a bet].



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14 Feb 2017, 3:37 am

sonicallysensitive wrote:
This is a very necessary thread, and would make a good sticky.

sonicallysensitive wrote:
....and would make a good sticky.


"no".


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