To get back on topic..
Orwell wrote:
... I can see plainly enough that the defined operations will give you a decreasing string of numbers, and that should eventually end up at 1, ...
If you can "... can see plainly enough that the defined operations will give you a decreasing string of numbers..." then you'd better put it down on paper (pixels), before you lose the image.
It certainly does seem that
most of the time, all you need examine is a widening spread of "power of two" types of numbers, and each time, just in one instance out of the 2^n cases, sneakily keeps on increasing.
In some ways, Collatz could be said to be just as easy as proving that every point on a line must be representable as p/q, where p and q are integers. A statement that seems pretty sound, to start with...
Anyway, from
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collatz_conjecture
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