Page 1 of 1 [ 3 posts ] 

DarthMetaKnight
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 16 Feb 2010
Gender: Male
Posts: 6,124
Location: The Infodome

28 Jun 2018, 7:45 am

I just found this great video by CosmicSkeptic.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9lfZAMF7HQ

The "What are the chances?" argument is dead.

R.I.P.


_________________
Synthetic carbo-polymers got em through man. They got em through mouse. They got through, and we're gonna get out.
-Roostre

READ THIS -> https://represent.us/


LoveNotHate
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 12 Oct 2013
Gender: Female
Posts: 6,119
Location: USA

28 Jun 2018, 9:18 am

The kid's response is wrong about the math.

As far as we know, all the cosmological events/constants existed at once, so they are not independent events.

The "gambler's fallacy" is about independent events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

The appropriate math is Bayes' theorem (conditional probability).

Image


_________________
After a failure, the easiest thing to do is to blame someone else.


RetroGamer87
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 30 Jul 2013
Age: 31
Gender: Male
Posts: 9,308
Location: Adelaide, Australia

28 Jun 2018, 6:31 pm

I love it when they say the Earth is the perfect distance from the sun. There are other planets in the solar system. If all the plants had formed 40 million kilometres further from the sun then Venus would be in the habitable zone instead of Earth and creationists on Venus would be saying they're the perfect distance from the sun.


_________________
The days are long, but the years are short