Make a guess on how long until your country falls apart

Post Reply New Topic

I'm going to guess 35 years in 2044. For the USA.

Could very well be in my lifetime... either we go down with the EU or at least with most of the countries in it, or we leave EU and it causes a chain reaction that brings us down. Or Russia invades, but out of the three I'd say it's the least likely possibility.

The UK is already finished.

133 years, 4 months, and 12.725 days.

I heard somewhere that climate change will wipe out humanity in 12 years.

The UK? Hopefully in 10 years or so.

They've been saying that climate change tripe for years.

country: decades, at least. I'm not worried about the country I live in. Nothern Central Europe seems stable.
However, the EU .... not so sure. Mainly because I think that the Euro is very problematic.
Maybe there'll be a Euro-north and everyone else goes back to drachma, lira or pesos. I'm not sure if that would break the EU, though.
and while some countries want outl like the UK and I think Hungary and some others, yet others want in. so... don't know. I think it'll rather turn into an ineffective mess than actually fall apart.

Also: I don't think the UK is finished. It just needs some rethinking of how neoliberal it wants to be. Maybe the scots and the welsh and the northern Irish will band together and invade england.

I think once the welfare states collapse authoritarian regimes will take over the western world.

What is the main issue between the UK and EU?

Societies are constantly coming apart and coming back together - simultaneously. The trick is making sure that the coming apart isn't so exceeded by the coming together that the whole thing flies apart. I think also as real risks of us coming apart keep presenting themselves people will be less on autopilot, especially with as much information as there is out there on the internet, and more concerned with that - of itself - as an existential threat. We're starting to see prescriptions on what can be done for that, Andrew Yang is a great example.

The thing I'm more concerned about perhaps are large-scale events, especially man-made meets natural disasters (like Fukushima for instance) or terrorist activities by increasingly small and radical groups of activists that could have profound consequences in their damage and potential to polarize the populace. My concern with those things is that they're not predictable, the metadata of the event and whose politics it hits how will have a lot to do with how it gets digested, or worse - how fast government might panic and start clawing back individual liberties.

To resolve out properly this things need to stay liquid and I'm hoping if any potentially crystallizing events come up that there will still be enough social and intellectual liquidity in the system left to buffer it. If government decides to step in that drinks up a lot of said liquidity.

My country will fall apart the moment the original poster stops beating her spouse!

For the U. S., any day now!

Remember T.S. Eliot’s ending to his poem The Hollow Men:

From where I live, here somewhere in the larger Catholic country of the Maritime Southeast Asia -- I have 3 guesses.


First would and my most cynical one be would be in a cultural sense -- around since 1520s and buried deep, not really around 1970s like most people knew from the textbooks and elders.

Second would be a bit practical. Economically speaking, since 1980s to, well, anytime now because of the government. The stats and numbers in the net, real or not, doesn't reflect the majority's reality. If I were paranoid, it's because of China and possible war.

Third if I give anything a benefit of a doubt, well.. Around 5-150 years or so. But not by falling apart in a cultural or economical sense, but something to do with the climate change and rising sea levels. Then the indirect effects of the first and second reasons when if happens.



Sorry to butt in. Yet not sorry for not being from Europe or America.

Gained Number Post Count (1).
Lose Time (n).

Lose more time here - Updates at least once a week.