Trump Losing Support of Whites Without College Degrees.
In 2016, Trump was helped to victory by winning a record margin among white voters without a college degree. But in the last four years, they have declined as a share of the voting-eligible population across the U.S. and in states critical to the presidential election. Nationally, the group has gone from 45% of eligible voters to 41%.
3 whole percentage points. Wow. I hope it's enough to defeat him.
Source: This NPR Article.
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Man this keeps changing, not too long ago, it was most Trump supporters without college degrees implying that only stupid people support him while the rest are white supremacists or racist who do actually have a educational degree. Now it's the opposite.
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Son: Diagnosed w/anxiety and ADHD. Also academic delayed.
Daughter: NT, no diagnoses.
Equating ones intelligence with their education is a fallacious argument. Also, a person's political views or political opinions are not an indicator of their intelligence but rather is a way of stereotyping people.
Trump is surging in the polls now.
Likely, Trump is picking up people who fear rioters.
The betting odds have Biden a slight favorite at 50.3 and Trump at 49.3.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... president/
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Then a hero comes along, with the strength to carry on, and you cast your fears aside, and you know you can survive.
Be the hero of your life.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/el ... nsylvania/
He's up in some, yet down in many others. Some polls actually question fewer than 100 people in a given area, so polling isn't as exact of a science as many of us hope it would be. One of the most underreported, yet important polls is the UNfavorability rating. Typically, this does not fluctuate as rapidly as an approval rating in and of itself, and is more difficult to overcome than a waning approval rating. A Yahoo politics reporter in March of 2016 warned that Hillary Clinton's disapproval rating [at that time, quite close to DJT's] would make it much harder for her to beat Trump in November [as the Democratic nominee] as opposed to Bernie Sanders, who enjoyed a much lower disapproval rating at that point of the election cycle. The most recent percentage I could find for voters whom view Biden negatively was from over two weeks ago [before either party convention had finished] and pegged him at a negative rating of 44%. To my knowledge, Biden has never been viewed unfavorably by more than half of voters in a poll. Meanwhile, as displayed below, Trump has maintained a negative rating of near or over 50% [that's disapproval, sorry for many potential double negatives] since mid March 2017.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/tr ... id=rrpromo
Trump's unfavorability rating has gone down from its late June surge, yet is likely still untenable, particularly as the quite recent news of his views on military service have yet to sink in to the public [he won active duty military voters by a wide margin against Hillary, yet is losing them to Biden as of now, this story could make it even worse for DJT's military support]:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/ar ... rs/615997/
He's likely always going to have the same 32-35% approval rating, but even with unforeseen election interference taken into account that likely isn't going to lead him to an electoral college victory yet again [Sec. Clinton actually won the popular vote by over 5,000,000]. It's still Biden's election to lose, but if his polls could survive picking someone like Harris as a running mate [she has an awful criminal justice record, and big corporations love her even more than Biden, why BLM endorsed her I can't even imagine], he is still likely to beat Trump in November. As of yesterday, fivethirtyeight.com suggests that Biden has a 70% chance of winning.
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-- Hank
o-(|8[#]
“Politics is the art of controlling your environment.”
― Dr. Hunter S. Thompson
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