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ASPartOfMe
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06 Jul 2020, 5:35 pm

WHO reports record rise in global coronavirus cases

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A record number of new coronavirus caseswas reported globally Saturday, with the United States, Brazil and India showing the biggest increases, according to data from the World Health Organization.

Worldwide, cases rose by 212,326 in 24 hours, the data showed, breaking the previous record of 190,566, set on June 28.

As July Fourth celebrations got into full swing, in the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recorded 57,718 daily new cases and 661 deaths Saturday, taking the total to 2,789,678 cases and 129,305 deaths.

With 11,458 new cases of the virus reported Saturday, Florida shattered its single-day record for new coronavirus cases. It neared New York's highest daily tally of 11,571, set in April, according to NBC Miami and the state Health Department.

As the country is grappling with a rising number of cases, some states had to halt their reopenings, and hospitals in hot spots are becoming overwhelmed.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump will step back from being the "daily voice" of the coronavirus response, a senior administration official said. During a speech at Mount Rushmore to celebrate July Fourth on Friday, he only briefly mentioned the virus as the White House readies a new message for the nation on the coronavirus: learn to live with it.

In Brazil, where the virus has been rampant, 37,923 new cases and 1,091 deaths were recorded Saturday, health officials said. The country has the second highest number of confirmed cases in the world, at more than 1.5 million, with a death toll of 64,265, according to the Health Ministry.

Both Russia and Mexico reached grim milestones Saturday, with the number of deaths in Russia topping 10,000 and the death toll in Mexico now at more than 30,300, overtaking France's to become the fifth highest in the world.

India reported a rise of 24,850 cases Sunday, health officials said. A total of 673,165 cases have now been reported in India, the fourth highest in the world.

Globally, more than 11 million coronavirus cases have been recorded and nearly 531,000 people have died so far, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

The WHO also announced Saturday it will discontinue the use of hydroxychloroquine, a drug Trump touted early in the pandemic, as a treatment for people hospitalized with COVID-19.

Interim trial results have shown that hydroxychloroquine produces "little or no reduction in the mortality of hospitalized COVID-19 patients when compared to standard of care," the organization said.

Lockdown restrictions around the world continued to ease, while some countries have ramped up measures to prevent new outbreaks.

This weekend, England relaxed most of its restrictions, opening up pubs, cafes, restaurants and hair salons. Even though authorities urged the public to maintain social distancing, many ignored the warnings in some places, including central London.

he northeastern Spanish region of Catalonia reimposed coronavirus restrictions, limiting movement of more than 200,000 people after an increase of infections.

On Saturday, Barcelona's famous Sagrada Familia basilica reopened after almost four months of lockdown, giving front-line workers the chance to have the usually tourist-packed landmark to themselves in recognition of their efforts. Spain was one of the worst-affected countries in Europe, recording 28,385 coronavirus deaths.

In Australia, which has managed to contain the pandemic, with just under 8,400 cases, authorities locked down around 3,000 people in nine apartment buildings in the southeast state of Victoria to try to stem a new outbreak after a rise in cases.

In addition to the complete lockdown orders, more than 30 Melbourne suburbs are also under strict social distancing orders, but people can leave their homes to go to work or school or to buy groceries.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani warned Saturday that Iranians who do not wear masks will be denied state services and that workplaces that fail to comply with health protocols will be shut for a week, Reuters reported.

Iran, one of the early centers of the pandemic, still faces the spread of the virus, with the total number of cases hitting 240,438 on Sunday.


New Jersey Sees Highest Covid-19 Rate Of Transmission In 10 Weeks
Quote:
New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy announced Monday an uptick in the rate of transmission of Covid-19 to its highest level in ten weeks, warning of “several outbreaks” linked to travel from hot spots rapidly emerging across the nation, especially in southern and western states that are now consistently reporting record daily case numbers.

The rate of transmission reached 1.03, meaning, “For every new case of Covid-19 we’re seeing, that case is leading to at least one other new case,” Murphy tweeted. “We need to do more.”

Murphy highlighted Hoboken as one of the state’s outbreaks, reporting that 12 of 13 new cases in the city were “directly tied to travel to known hot spots.”

One of the early hot spots for the coronavirus in the United States, New Jersey now ranks 40th among U.S. states for new daily cases, and took further precautions last week by postponing its plans to resume indoor dining due to rising cases in other states.

Numerous states like Texas, Arizona and California are regularly breaking its record in daily coronavirus cases, with Florida in particular reaching 11,458 infections on Saturday, nearly beating New York’s peak of 12,274 in April.

“One selfish person can undo the hard work of everyone else,” Murphy tweeted. “I do not want to have to hit another pause on our restart because a small number of New Jerseyans are being irresponsible and spreading [Covid-19] while the rest of us continue to work hard to stop it.”

The state’s daily positivity rate from July 2 was 2.14%, adding 216 new cases to its total of 173,611.


U.S. health official Fauci says COVID-19 outbreak is 'serious situation'
Quote:
U.S. health official Anthony Fauci said on Monday that the current state of the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States "is really not good" and a "serious situation that we have to address immediately."

The United States is still "knee-deep" in the first wave of the illnesses, having never gotten the case number as low as planned, Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and a member of the White House coronavirus task force, said during a live internet interview with National Institutes of Health director Francis Collins.

"It's a serious situation that we have to address immediately," Fauci said.

Fauci said that he expects an eventual vaccine, now in development by several companies, to work well and provide protection at least for some period of time, but that it will not be infinite protection such as the vaccine for measles.


Dr. Anthony Fauci says the average age of U.S. coronavirus patients has dropped by 15 years as Sun Belt states gets hit
Quote:
The average age of new coronavirus patients has dropped by roughly 15 years compared with only a few months ago as the virus reignites in America’s Sun Belt, White House health advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci said Monday.

“The average age of people getting infected now is a decade and a half younger than it was a few months ago particularly when New York and New Orleans and Chicago were getting hit very badly,” Fauci said.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said the median age of new Covid-19 patients in his state, which reported a record number of new cases over the holiday weekend, has reached a low of 33. By comparison, the median age of a newly diagnosed coronavirus patient in their 50s and 60s in March and April, he said at a news conference Monday.

“Now why is that important? Well, because this is a virus that does not affect all age groups equally. It’s much more lethal for people who are in their 80s and 90s than it is in your 20s and 30s,” DeSantis said.

The fatality rate is significantly lower among Gen Y and millennials, he said adding that many of those cases are asymptomatic. “Just because you’re 21 and you may not have significant symptoms that does not mean you can’t affect other people and I think that’s something that we’re concerned about,” he said.

While young people are less likely to develop serious illnesses from Covid-19, Fauci warned that the virus could still “put them out of action for weeks at a time.”

They should also remember that when they’re infected, there’s the likelihood that they could spread the disease to people who are at high risk of serious illness, he said.

“They could infect someone who infects someone, and then all of a sudden someone’s grandmother, grandfather or aunt who’s getting chemotherapy for breast cancer gets infected,” Fauci said. “You’re part of the propagation of the pandemic, so it’s your responsibility to yourself as well as to society to avoid infection.”

Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator, has previously warned that the virus poses a greater risk to those with underlying health conditions, such as diabetes and significant obesity, which are seen in every age group.

“We do know that we have people in the younger age groups with significant Type 1 diabetes and may also have individuals with significant obesity,” Birx said at a White House task force news conference on June 26. “We know that those are risk factors, so risk factors go with your comorbidity, not necessarily with your age.”


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06 Jul 2020, 6:13 pm

All of that advice is now no-brainer stuff for almost everyone Except people who have devoted themselves to the cult of trump.

Sadly that’s still ~30% of Americans, which is around 110 Million people.. sooo, the USA is doomed. This pandemic is going to take several hundred thousand American souls, at least.


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07 Jul 2020, 11:51 am

COVID DEATHS IN THE U.S. CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD

On 29 June on this thread, I posted the latest U.S. death counts due to COVID-19 by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). It showed a downward trend.

Week ending date in which the death occurred All Deaths involving COVID-19
Total Deaths---109,188
2/01/2020------- 1
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 551
3/28/2020------- 3,052
4/04/2020------- 9,504
4/11/2020------- 15,698
4/18/2020------- 16,350
4/25/2020------- 14,103
5/02/2020------- 11,670
5/09/2020------- 10,747
5/16/2020------- 8,772
5/23/2020------- 6,666
5/30/2020------- 5,445
6/06/2020------- 3,904
6/13/2020------- 2,148
6/20/2020------- 481

Source: Daily Updates of Totals by Week and State

So I went back today and looked at the current numbers

2/01/2020------- 0
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 553
3/28/2020------- 3,058
4/04/2020------- 9,521
4/11/2020------- 15,719
4/18/2020------- 16,374
4/25/2020------- 14,144
5/02/2020------- 11,718
5/09/2020------- 10,808
5/16/2020------- 8,856
5/23/2020------- 6,820
5/30/2020------- 5,681
6/06/2020------- 4,345
6/13/2020------- 3,228
6/20/2020------- 1,847
6/27/2020------- 464
7/04/2020------- 71

The declining trends in U.S. death rates is very visible. This is a seasonal virus and now that we are in the summer, the deaths are declining. People are still contracting COVID, many are being hospitalized. But the key difference is that they are not dying. This is because in my opinion, the viral load is being reduced by sunlight and air ventilation. They contract a smaller number of viral particles and their bodies immune system is able to engage and destroy them. Their immune systems are not being overloaded by sheer numbers.

[The way the CDC is storing this information is by weekly queues. As they receive new information, they continually update their numbers. So the last weekly total is very undercounted and unreliable. But the numbers increase in reliability the further you go back in time. But even taking that into account there is a visible downward trend.]

This pandemic is winding down.


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07 Jul 2020, 2:08 pm

Death rates are down—but not “down” enough.

So far, there are 505 deaths in the US for today, and there was 379 deaths yesterday. We were routinely over 2,000 deaths a day in April and May. New York has over 1,000 deaths on at least one day in April.

There has been a massive upswing in COVID cases in the South and West. The death rate is less because most infections occur among younger people.



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07 Jul 2020, 3:16 pm

kraftiekortie wrote:
Death rates are down—but not “down” enough.

So far, there are 505 deaths in the US for today, and there was 379 deaths yesterday. We were routinely over 2,000 deaths a day in April and May. New York has over 1,000 deaths on at least one day in April.

There has been a massive upswing in COVID cases in the South and West. The death rate is less because most infections occur among younger people.


When the CDC reports deaths, they are reporting "new deaths compared to yesterday's data. These deaths could have occurred yesterday or two months ago. It is the way they are placing deaths in weekly queues. This weekend was the 4th of July weekend, a major holiday. It is likely that the reported death data during this weekend was delayed because many of the medical staff/coroners were on holiday. [There is a time lag between when a person dies and when the death is reported to the CDC.] The actual death data is reported as the week the death occurred in and not when it was reported.

According to the CDC, the peak of the pandemic in the U.S. was the week of 18 April 2020 with a weekly total of 16,374 deaths. That is a weekly total. A month later, the death rate was cut in half. A month later it was cut in half again. The deaths rates continue to trend downward.


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07 Jul 2020, 4:59 pm

Deaths are down....but the Pandemic is far from over.

I am one who takes a “glass half full” view of things.



ASPartOfMe
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07 Jul 2020, 7:33 pm

jimmy m wrote:
COVID DEATHS IN THE U.S. CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD

On 29 June on this thread, I posted the latest U.S. death counts due to COVID-19 by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). It showed a downward trend.

Week ending date in which the death occurred All Deaths involving COVID-19
Total Deaths---109,188
2/01/2020------- 1
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 551
3/28/2020------- 3,052
4/04/2020------- 9,504
4/11/2020------- 15,698
4/18/2020------- 16,350
4/25/2020------- 14,103
5/02/2020------- 11,670
5/09/2020------- 10,747
5/16/2020------- 8,772
5/23/2020------- 6,666
5/30/2020------- 5,445
6/06/2020------- 3,904
6/13/2020------- 2,148
6/20/2020------- 481

Source: Daily Updates of Totals by Week and State

So I went back today and looked at the current numbers

2/01/2020------- 0
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 553
3/28/2020------- 3,058
4/04/2020------- 9,521
4/11/2020------- 15,719
4/18/2020------- 16,374
4/25/2020------- 14,144
5/02/2020------- 11,718
5/09/2020------- 10,808
5/16/2020------- 8,856
5/23/2020------- 6,820
5/30/2020------- 5,681
6/06/2020------- 4,345
6/13/2020------- 3,228
6/20/2020------- 1,847
6/27/2020------- 464
7/04/2020------- 71

The declining trends in U.S. death rates is very visible. This is a seasonal virus and now that we are in the summer, the deaths are declining. People are still contracting COVID, many are being hospitalized. But the key difference is that they are not dying. This is because in my opinion, the viral load is being reduced by sunlight and air ventilation. They contract a smaller number of viral particles and their bodies immune system is able to engage and destroy them. Their immune systems are not being overloaded by sheer numbers.

[The way the CDC is storing this information is by weekly queues. As they receive new information, they continually update their numbers. So the last weekly total is very undercounted and unreliable. But the numbers increase in reliability the further you go back in time. But even taking that into account there is a visible downward trend.]

This pandemic is winding down.


They are using ventilators less since most were dying who were put on them.

Hopefully the horrific after effects will decline as much as deaths.

Summer won't last forever


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Brehus
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07 Jul 2020, 8:39 pm

jimmy m wrote:
COVID DEATHS IN THE U.S. CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD

On 29 June on this thread, I posted the latest U.S. death counts due to COVID-19 by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). It showed a downward trend.

Week ending date in which the death occurred All Deaths involving COVID-19
Total Deaths---109,188
2/01/2020------- 1
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 551
3/28/2020------- 3,052
4/04/2020------- 9,504
4/11/2020------- 15,698
4/18/2020------- 16,350
4/25/2020------- 14,103
5/02/2020------- 11,670
5/09/2020------- 10,747
5/16/2020------- 8,772
5/23/2020------- 6,666
5/30/2020------- 5,445
6/06/2020------- 3,904
6/13/2020------- 2,148
6/20/2020------- 481

Source: Daily Updates of Totals by Week and State

So I went back today and looked at the current numbers

2/01/2020------- 0
2/08/2020------- 1
2/15/2020------- 0
2/22/2020------- 5
2/29/2020------- 5
3/07/2020------- 33
3/14/2020------- 52
3/21/2020------- 553
3/28/2020------- 3,058
4/04/2020------- 9,521
4/11/2020------- 15,719
4/18/2020------- 16,374
4/25/2020------- 14,144
5/02/2020------- 11,718
5/09/2020------- 10,808
5/16/2020------- 8,856
5/23/2020------- 6,820
5/30/2020------- 5,681
6/06/2020------- 4,345
6/13/2020------- 3,228
6/20/2020------- 1,847
6/27/2020------- 464
7/04/2020------- 71

The declining trends in U.S. death rates is very visible. This is a seasonal virus and now that we are in the summer, the deaths are declining. People are still contracting COVID, many are being hospitalized. But the key difference is that they are not dying. This is because in my opinion, the viral load is being reduced by sunlight and air ventilation. They contract a smaller number of viral particles and their bodies immune system is able to engage and destroy them. Their immune systems are not being overloaded by sheer numbers.

[The way the CDC is storing this information is by weekly queues. As they receive new information, they continually update their numbers. So the last weekly total is very undercounted and unreliable. But the numbers increase in reliability the further you go back in time. But even taking that into account there is a visible downward trend.]

This pandemic is winding down.


The other reason is that are finding better ways to treat it like for example they have found out to use certain blood thinners and that to avoid respirators as long as possible as they make the condition worse in most cases.


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07 Jul 2020, 9:30 pm

Deaths are spiking up—but not to April/May New York levels. New York averaged over 500 deaths a day for over a month.

Arizona and California had over 100 deaths. Texas and Florida not far behind. 997 deaths total for the US.



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08 Jul 2020, 11:10 am

CORONAVIRUS MUTATION

There was an interesting article about how the Coronavirus is mutating.

The coronavirus has mutated to become more infectious. Does that mean it will become more or less lethal? And what implication does it have for a vaccine and herd immunity?

While Americans were (sort of) celebrating the Fourth of July, the coronavirus kept raging on. Some relevant developments and analysis have occurred in the past few days that might shed a little more light on how the pandemic will unfold.

1) The coronavirus mutated to become more infectious. That sounds scary, but it doesn't appear to be. Not yet, anyway. The conventional wisdom posits an inverse relationship between infectiousness and virulence; i.e., if one goes up, the other goes down. In other words, milder diseases spread further than deadlier diseases. The corollary is that a new infectious disease should evolve to become less lethal. Though it intuitively makes sense (because a dead host can't spread the disease), it's not an immutable law. One study in songbirds showed that a bacterial disease got more virulent over time.

A new study published in the journal Cell shows that changing a single amino acid residue in the SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein (which binds the virus to cells) appears to have been sufficient to make the virus substantially more infectious. In early March, the old virus (D614) predominated globally; by late March, it largely had been replaced by the new virus (G614).

Image

Image

There is good news, however. The authors report that the virus has an overall mutation rate that is very slow. Even better, they found that patients who had recovered from a COVID-19 infection had antibodies that could neutralize the new virus. This would indicate that the efforts to design a vaccine have not been undermined by the mutation.

2) Though the mutation does not affect current vaccine efforts, a vaccine may not be the best solution. My colleague, Dr. Josh Bloom, and ACSH advisor Dr. Katherine Seley-Radtke penned an op-ed for the Baltimore Sun, explaining that an antiviral cocktail of drugs might prove to be the most successful approach.

There are at least three reasons for this. First, there are myriad viral infections -- from HIV to RSV -- for which there is no vaccine. Producing a successful vaccine is extremely difficult work, and if scientists aren't careful, they can manufacture one that actually exacerbates the illness rather than protects against it. Second, we still have no idea if coronaviruses elicit long-term immunity in humans. If they do not, then a vaccine becomes less attractive. Third, antivirals have a proven track record of success for some diseases, like HIV and hepatitis C. Thus, Drs. Bloom and Radtke believe that we should place our collective hope in an antiviral to fight COVID-19.

3) We don't have a good understanding of herd immunity to coronavirus. Contrary to what some people (and media outlets) believe, herd immunity does not mean that there will no longer be any transmission of the virus. Herd immunity instead refers to the proportion of people who must be immune in order to prevent outbreaks or epidemics. Traditionally, we determine a population's immunity to a virus by measuring antibodies, but there is now evidence that some people may have non-antibody immunity to SARS-CoV-2. (This is a part of the immune system known as cell-mediated immunity.) Antibodies may simply be one part of an incomplete picture.

Source: Coronavirus Update: A Key Mutation, Vaccines, And Herd Immunity


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08 Jul 2020, 4:57 pm

Considering all the reports of rats increasing this isn’t good news.
https://www.contagionlive.com/news/chin ... nic-plague


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08 Jul 2020, 5:40 pm

I wonder if trial vaccines have to be reworked for the new mutation.


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08 Jul 2020, 6:12 pm

TheRobotLives wrote:
I wonder if trial vaccines have to be reworked for the new mutation.


According to the article above, the answer is:

"they found that patients who had recovered from a COVID-19 infection had antibodies that could neutralize the new virus. This would indicate that the efforts to design a vaccine have not been undermined by the mutation."


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08 Jul 2020, 7:13 pm

I hope this is the case. I have IgG antibodies/COVID.



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09 Jul 2020, 3:04 am

geez i haven't even gotten tested and i'm pretty sure i had it months ago.

knew a mutation was gonna happen at some point just hope it doesn't interfere with vaccine trials.

just wanna grill, damnit.


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09 Jul 2020, 10:47 pm

I went to town today and it seems like things are getting back to normal.

I went to the YMCA. The gym has been open for a few weeks now. I swam a mile.

I went to Krogers Grocery store. Dramatic improvement. Two weeks ago, there were perhaps 3 varieties of Campbells soup for sale. Today around 20 different varieties. Two weeks ago perhaps 2 varieties of Rice-A-Roni. Today 6 or 7. Disinfectant wipes abound along with toilet paper and paper towels. Most shelves were 80% full.

I went to American Eagle Outfitters. Last week a woman met you at the door and instructed you to not touch anything. If you wanted to see an item, the store clerk would bring it to you to look at, but don't touch. This week customers were welcome to enter and touch what they pleased.

I went to a sit down Mexican restaurant and ate. I have been doing this for a month now. This particular restaurant has outdoor patio seating. I consider that fairly safe. {Covid-19 is primarily an indoor threat.]

I keep waiting for the movie theaters to open up.


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