The old saying of "Don't shoot, I'm just the messenger," comes to mind. The weather-forecasters aren't necessarily lying, per se, they're just making inaccurate forecasts, which is hardly surprising since Earth's weather is a dynamic, constantly changing, system. It doesn't run on rails to a schedule, it can change in an instant, in every which way, so accurate prediction is, to say the least, a bit difficult. This problem has, in my opinion, gotten worse with the advent of computer prediction of the forecasts, for the systems seem to tripped up easier by sudden shifts in the weather pattern, or conditions that don't meet with the software's rules for how things are 'supposed' to work.
In general, I find modern weather forecasts to be good for only 2-3 days in advance, and if the atmosphere and weather is particularly unstable this gets cut down to a matter of hours, and this is when the forecast isn't wrong entirely, which is why I've taken to mounting a barometer on my wall next to the thermometer and having a go at it myself. I don't just look at the gauges, though, I look at how the wind's going, what the clouds up in the sky look like, what the humidity is, essentially the sorts of stuff our grandfathers did when they wanted to have a go at figuring out what the weather was going to do. A good book if you're interested in this DIY approach is "Man Vs. Weather" by Dennis Diclaudio, it's a handy and practical guide to being your own weatherman/woman.
Of course, if you do it yourself and make a bad call, then you've got nobody to blame but yourself...