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1000Knives
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07 May 2013, 10:51 am

Anyone think about this? I've thought about it a bit, as I keep track of currencies because I used to buy a lot more stuff online from Hong Kong and Japan. Like today I looked at the yen and it's about equal with the USD(908 yen per 9USD). But at times, you used to be able to get only 85 yen per 1USD, but at other times the exchange rate is the opposite, and it's like 115 yen per dollar. The pound used to be worth a lot more, too. And Canadian dollars when I was a kid, you could get 1.5CAD per 1USD. Now it's equal.

I'm wondering about forex trading and exchange in general. Is it really risky? Obviously if you had a bunch of, say, old Iraqi dinars from the Saddam era, they're barely worth the paper they're printed on nowadays. But with relatively stable currencies? If I had some Canadian dollars in like 2001 and held on to them by 2008 or so, I'd have gained quite a bit of money from it going up to equal with the USD.

I don't have a lot of cash, though, but is it wise to buy some foreign currency even in amounts of, say, 100USD and just hold on to it and use it when the time is right? I'm not so sure about reselling it, but using it to buy items/services in the country of origin could be a neat idea. Anyone have ideas for other currencies to look into besides the yen? The yen interests me most as I've seen it go up and down over the years, and I could basically hold on to some yen and in bad times use the yen as, say, a 20% discount card getting stuff from Japan.

Thoughts?



eric76
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07 May 2013, 1:42 pm

Instead of obtaining currency of another country and holding onto it, I'd be far more likely to buy stock in solid companies in that country.



lotuspuppy
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13 May 2013, 9:31 am

FOREX is extremely risky. For one, currency fluctuations happen all the time, and can be quite dramatic. For another, trading commissions tend to be high for all but the largest traders (usually governments and very large banks). Individual investors are much better off investing in equities or mutual funds in target countries, mindful that currency risk is an added risk not present in their home countries.



zacb
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17 May 2013, 12:04 pm

I would suggest to buy adrs from a particular country, or just buy securities in general.



zacb
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17 May 2013, 12:06 pm

But if you were putting a gun to my head, I would suggest pairing the Rupiah, Mexican Peso, the Norwegian Kroner, and or the Rand. South Africas economy has a strong mining sector, Norway is based on oil, and the other two are speculative plays.



kate123A
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17 May 2013, 1:27 pm

FOREX is very risky. My husband has been doing it for years and has had mostly losses. My suggestion is not to do it.



aleclair
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17 May 2013, 11:39 pm

Are we talking about things like forex futures contracts? something like that would be highly speculative and therefore risky. A lot of FX derivatives, such as futures contracts, were designed so that firms who had an obligation to pay in a foreign currency later could lock in an exchange rate now, thus reducing exposure to, or "hedging" against, exchange rate risk.

You are probably better off investing in some sort of foreign/emerging markets mutual fund, unless you have a need for the foreign currency.



gnmonster
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23 Nov 2021, 8:06 pm

In my personal opinion which could be wrong If you like to buy something and hold on to it for a few years, I wouldn't suggest stocks let alone forex. Your best bet would be silver and gold, not even oil considering the world dependency on oil is reducing. Silver and gold have been a commodity for millenniums. Even if the whole economy of the world falls to pieces, you still have your commodity. Not even real estate holds its value as much as the beforementioned commodities. However, make sure that you take physical possession of them, not purchase them on some online brokerage to hold them for you. Besides, the best way of obtaining gold is to either buy them off people per their net weight or various sizes of bars of gold. If you go to a store to buy gold, you would have to pay for the net weight of the gold plus the cost of design, production, retail-related cost of the gold. Perse, buying a gold ring is not a good option unless you buy it from someone for the net price of the gold without considering the cost of design, production, retail-related cost or other stuff...



Texasmoneyman300
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28 Nov 2021, 9:11 pm

gnmonster wrote:
In my personal opinion which could be wrong If you like to buy something and hold on to it for a few years, I wouldn't suggest stocks let alone forex. Your best bet would be silver and gold, not even oil considering the world dependency on oil is reducing. Silver and gold have been a commodity for millenniums. Even if the whole economy of the world falls to pieces, you still have your commodity. Not even real estate holds its value as much as the beforementioned commodities. However, make sure that you take physical possession of them, not purchase them on some online brokerage to hold them for you. Besides, the best way of obtaining gold is to either buy them off people per their net weight or various sizes of bars of gold. If you go to a store to buy gold, you would have to pay for the net weight of the gold plus the cost of design, production, retail-related cost of the gold. Perse, buying a gold ring is not a good option unless you buy it from someone for the net price of the gold without considering the cost of design, production, retail-related cost or other stuff...

I think it is best to focus on a no-load low fee index fund that tracks the market for hedging against inflation.I would not get any international funds or anything.You cant buy gas with a gold coin.But gold could be good for escaping the country.I would get a Oil Industry ETF and Sin Industry ETF possibly.I would have no more than 5 or 10 percent of your portfolio in gold and silver but I would get lots of guns and ammo to protect your gold and silver.Maybe have some stable currencies on hand.I think long term gold and silver brass and lead are better to have than other currenecies because every fiat currency is doomed to fail at some point.I would get lots of items to barter with like lots of booze coffee and tobacco.