The mindset behind trickle down economics in the US

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Sweetleaf
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10 Aug 2019, 11:14 pm

LoveNotHate wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Or the government can step in to raise wages and make sure that benefits are provided.
Most people seriously don't want to be rich, just to live comfortably and without worry. That's the real American dream.

The government can't mandate worker productivity (e.g., some people may have disabilities).

So, Democrats and Republicans will never do that.


I don't follow your train of thought. Workers, disabled or not, will have more buying power and thus everyone's piece of the pie will grow. In the end, it's not work productivity but buying power that drives the economy in my limited understanding of economics.


I can see how you would come to believe that, but it's actually backwards. Buying power comes from productivity. Increased productivity decreases costs which decreases prices. Decreased prices result in increased buying power.


And a happy worker is a productive worker. Make someone work for a wage which gives them little buying power, under draconian workplace rules and no guarantee that the job will be there tomorrow, and with no benefits to rely on, and you'll have mediocre productivity.

yes, those are called "McJobs".

McJob
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McJob


However, typically, McJob labor is easily replaced, so it's not likely to be a problem for the employer.


No it is typically more of a problem for the employee.

More of a problem for the employee, definitely.

However, McJob labor is "Unskilled" labor, where a worker brings no skills to the employer.

So, the employer should have an easier time replacing McJob workers.

Image


Well good for them I suppose, probably does make life easier for an employer if they can treat their emplyees like expendable easily replaceable objects.


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Antrax
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10 Aug 2019, 11:59 pm

Kraichgauer wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Or the government can step in to raise wages and make sure that benefits are provided.
Most people seriously don't want to be rich, just to live comfortably and without worry. That's the real American dream.

The government can't mandate worker productivity (e.g., some people may have disabilities).

So, Democrats and Republicans will never do that.


I don't follow your train of thought. Workers, disabled or not, will have more buying power and thus everyone's piece of the pie will grow. In the end, it's not work productivity but buying power that drives the economy in my limited understanding of economics.


I can see how you would come to believe that, but it's actually backwards. Buying power comes from productivity. Increased productivity decreases costs which decreases prices. Decreased prices result in increased buying power.


And a happy worker is a productive worker. Make someone work for a wage which gives them little buying power, under draconian workplace rules and no guarantee that the job will be there tomorrow, and with no benefits to rely on, and you'll have mediocre productivity.


There's a lot of evidence that happy workers are more productive. However, there's an increase cost to providing to increasing wages, benefits etc. Merely mandating wage increases doesn't give workers extra buying power.

Not all employers treat their employees in an optimal fashion, however in general market competition tends to optimize these things.

For example if McDonalds is hurting their productivity by not paying their workers more, then Burger King could pay their workers more and gain a competitive edge.


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11 Aug 2019, 12:04 am

Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Or the government can step in to raise wages and make sure that benefits are provided.
Most people seriously don't want to be rich, just to live comfortably and without worry. That's the real American dream.

The government can't mandate worker productivity (e.g., some people may have disabilities).

So, Democrats and Republicans will never do that.


I don't follow your train of thought. Workers, disabled or not, will have more buying power and thus everyone's piece of the pie will grow. In the end, it's not work productivity but buying power that drives the economy in my limited understanding of economics.


I can see how you would come to believe that, but it's actually backwards. Buying power comes from productivity. Increased productivity decreases costs which decreases prices. Decreased prices result in increased buying power.


And a happy worker is a productive worker. Make someone work for a wage which gives them little buying power, under draconian workplace rules and no guarantee that the job will be there tomorrow, and with no benefits to rely on, and you'll have mediocre productivity.

yes, those are called "McJobs".

McJob
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McJob


However, typically, McJob labor is easily replaced, so it's not likely to be a problem for the employer.


Even people with so called "Mcjobs" have families they support, and contribute to the economy with their buying power.


This is a pet peeve of mine. Not every job needs to be a family of four supporting job, in fact it is detrimental to the economy to force all jobs to being family of four supporting jobs.

Libertarian economists are fond of saying "the real minimum wage is 0." This is because if companies can't support workers at a certain minimum wage they cut workers and people who used to have jobs become unemployed. Unemployed people make 0.


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11 Aug 2019, 1:34 am

Antrax wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
Kraichgauer wrote:
Or the government can step in to raise wages and make sure that benefits are provided.
Most people seriously don't want to be rich, just to live comfortably and without worry. That's the real American dream.

The government can't mandate worker productivity (e.g., some people may have disabilities).

So, Democrats and Republicans will never do that.


I don't follow your train of thought. Workers, disabled or not, will have more buying power and thus everyone's piece of the pie will grow. In the end, it's not work productivity but buying power that drives the economy in my limited understanding of economics.


I can see how you would come to believe that, but it's actually backwards. Buying power comes from productivity. Increased productivity decreases costs which decreases prices. Decreased prices result in increased buying power.


And a happy worker is a productive worker. Make someone work for a wage which gives them little buying power, under draconian workplace rules and no guarantee that the job will be there tomorrow, and with no benefits to rely on, and you'll have mediocre productivity.

yes, those are called "McJobs".

McJob
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McJob


However, typically, McJob labor is easily replaced, so it's not likely to be a problem for the employer.


Even people with so called "Mcjobs" have families they support, and contribute to the economy with their buying power.


This is a pet peeve of mine. Not every job needs to be a family of four supporting job, in fact it is detrimental to the economy to force all jobs to being family of four supporting jobs.

Libertarian economists are fond of saying "the real minimum wage is 0." This is because if companies can't support workers at a certain minimum wage they cut workers and people who used to have jobs become unemployed. Unemployed people make 0.


Yet plenty of people working Mcjobs do have families. It's a matter of empathy that too many businesses seems to have a deficiency with.


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11 Aug 2019, 9:24 am

LoveNotHate wrote:
blazingstar wrote:
LoveNotHate wrote:
How do we teach poor people to live below their means, save and invest their money ?

That's how we lift them up.

Image


How many poor people and families do you know intimately? If you are relying on news reports and the horrors that come to light in criminal events, you know nothing of the others who do work hard. And still there is not enough money to feed the family. In my work, I see and get to know a lot of them and see their struggles. I am guessing that all the people who espouse "just work harder" wouldn't last a minute in the conditions these people live.

Let's just take an adult with a disability, say someone with autism. His disability prevents him from working. Social Security benefits for someone who is getting SSI is $750/month.

You tell me how he pays rent, buys food, buys clothes, pays for someone to drive him to stores or doctor's appointments, and then saves money on that $750/month.

Even someone working at minimum wage would be hurting and it has been demonstrated the even a person educated and with previous success cannot get through a year on minimum wage jobs.

Your (editorially) attitude is to blame the poor for their plight. Relieves you (editorially) of any responsibility for the society you live in and from which you benefit.

The path to wealth is clear; save and invest.

Terrible sacrifices must be made if the budget is so low.

For inspiration, I suggest you watch some Dave Ramsey videos …

How Do I Succeed Financially When I'm Medically Disabled?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4h4Oqu22GU

What Dave Ramsey Recommends When Someone Is On Disability
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJJ428qYtj0

There's A Difference Between Poor And Broke - Dave Ramsey Rant
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdnhKJG6bYk


A 100 Dave Ramsey videos are not going to help people who are truly poor. I'm sure you don't mean it, but your direction for sacrifice more is so disrespectful to people truly in poverty and those people who work in the field. As far as I can tell, the only people who can maintain this attitude are those who have no idea what it is like, on the ground. More information on your point of few will not help anyone at the bottom. What you don't understand is that what ever wealth and rights you have, are an accident of birth. Put someone with this attitude down somewhere else and that person would be scrambling.


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11 Aug 2019, 9:43 am

Antrax wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
Mostly trickle down is BS because the people who are expected to allow wealth to trickle down hide it all in foreign bank accounts. You see the uber wealthy elites are beyond human responsibility, they shouldn't pay taxes or contribute to the economy they should hoard all their money and pass it on to their groomed children who never have worked a day of hard labor. And then have the audacity to pretend those well groomed children are more valuble than people who make their money doing actual labor.


You really don't get it. Wealthy elites don't hoard money, they invest it. Why let your fortune shrink when instead it can grow. Invested money is directly funneled into the economy.


Antrax, I am really interested in your numbers and how they do (or don't) describe the state of the economic disparity between the wealthy and the poor. I can't quarrel with your numbers, because I don't have the background for that. But I don't understand how it explains what I see happening right how.

My maternal grandparents: My grandfather worked a single job, as a bank teller. From this salary, he was able to buy a house, support my grandmother and my mother in a decent respectable lifestyle. Not rich, but comfortable.

My parents, both my parents had degrees from University of Chicago. And my mother never worked outside the home until after the divorce. But we never had enough money, even when my father was working in a professional job. They had only one car. He took the train into work when my mother needed it to shop.

In my generation, one worker cannot support a family. I realize you said not everyone will support a family, but most people do. Two professionals can barely support a family. Yes, some could do better if they used Dave Ramsey or Susie whatever to manage their money better. But the fact is that two generations ago, one worker in a regular job, could buy a house and support a family.

Now many young couples can't even dream of owning their own home.

What changed? How do your statistics explain this phenomenon? If everything financial is "the same" or even improved, why aren't we (the middle and lower classes) doing better than we are?


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kraftiekortie
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11 Aug 2019, 11:43 am

Numbers rarely tell the full story.



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11 Aug 2019, 2:29 pm

blazingstar wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
Mostly trickle down is BS because the people who are expected to allow wealth to trickle down hide it all in foreign bank accounts. You see the uber wealthy elites are beyond human responsibility, they shouldn't pay taxes or contribute to the economy they should hoard all their money and pass it on to their groomed children who never have worked a day of hard labor. And then have the audacity to pretend those well groomed children are more valuble than people who make their money doing actual labor.


You really don't get it. Wealthy elites don't hoard money, they invest it. Why let your fortune shrink when instead it can grow. Invested money is directly funneled into the economy.


Antrax, I am really interested in your numbers and how they do (or don't) describe the state of the economic disparity between the wealthy and the poor. I can't quarrel with your numbers, because I don't have the background for that. But I don't understand how it explains what I see happening right how.

My maternal grandparents: My grandfather worked a single job, as a bank teller. From this salary, he was able to buy a house, support my grandmother and my mother in a decent respectable lifestyle. Not rich, but comfortable.

My parents, both my parents had degrees from University of Chicago. And my mother never worked outside the home until after the divorce. But we never had enough money, even when my father was working in a professional job. They had only one car. He took the train into work when my mother needed it to shop.

In my generation, one worker cannot support a family. I realize you said not everyone will support a family, but most people do. Two professionals can barely support a family. Yes, some could do better if they used Dave Ramsey or Susie whatever to manage their money better. But the fact is that two generations ago, one worker in a regular job, could buy a house and support a family.

Now many young couples can't even dream of owning their own home.

What changed? How do your statistics explain this phenomenon? If everything financial is "the same" or even improved, why aren't we (the middle and lower classes) doing better than we are?


Blazingstar, what it is people are looking at certain metrics for quality of life, whereas as the statisticians who do this for a living are looking at everything. The other thing is when looking at the population as a whole a particular job might not be better, but the economy has created new jobs that are better. That is a bank teller today might not be better off than a bank teller 40 years ago, but more people have jobs that are equal to or better than a bank teller job. Lastly while on average everyone is better off, that does not mean that individually everyone is better. Some people have seen their fortunes take a turn for the worse, but more people have seen their fortunes take a turn for the better.

I'm going to estimate your grandfather's day as 100 years ago (40 years before your birth). He couldn't afford a car, only the very wealthy could afford cars. If one of his kids got sick with a serious bacterial infection he didn't have to pay for expensive medical care, instead his kid died. I don't know what the cost of a carton of milk was 100 years ago, but it was probably a lot more than a carton of milk today (adjusted for inflation). Statisticians take all of these things into account, whereas people just look at did he own a home and raise a family.

You can live like a person 100 years ago on less than a person 100 years ago did. People don't want to live like that today. Sink all your money into buying a home and paying for food. No car. No health care. No cell phone. No computers. No television. Throw away all the modern commodities of life, and you'll live plenty cheaply.


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11 Aug 2019, 6:04 pm

Antrax wrote:
blazingstar wrote:
Antrax wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
Mostly trickle down is BS because the people who are expected to allow wealth to trickle down hide it all in foreign bank accounts. You see the uber wealthy elites are beyond human responsibility, they shouldn't pay taxes or contribute to the economy they should hoard all their money and pass it on to their groomed children who never have worked a day of hard labor. And then have the audacity to pretend those well groomed children are more valuble than people who make their money doing actual labor.


You really don't get it. Wealthy elites don't hoard money, they invest it. Why let your fortune shrink when instead it can grow. Invested money is directly funneled into the economy.


Antrax, I am really interested in your numbers and how they do (or don't) describe the state of the economic disparity between the wealthy and the poor. I can't quarrel with your numbers, because I don't have the background for that. But I don't understand how it explains what I see happening right how.

My maternal grandparents: My grandfather worked a single job, as a bank teller. From this salary, he was able to buy a house, support my grandmother and my mother in a decent respectable lifestyle. Not rich, but comfortable.

My parents, both my parents had degrees from University of Chicago. And my mother never worked outside the home until after the divorce. But we never had enough money, even when my father was working in a professional job. They had only one car. He took the train into work when my mother needed it to shop.

In my generation, one worker cannot support a family. I realize you said not everyone will support a family, but most people do. Two professionals can barely support a family. Yes, some could do better if they used Dave Ramsey or Susie whatever to manage their money better. But the fact is that two generations ago, one worker in a regular job, could buy a house and support a family.

Now many young couples can't even dream of owning their own home.

What changed? How do your statistics explain this phenomenon? If everything financial is "the same" or even improved, why aren't we (the middle and lower classes) doing better than we are?


Blazingstar, what it is people are looking at certain metrics for quality of life, whereas as the statisticians who do this for a living are looking at everything. The other thing is when looking at the population as a whole a particular job might not be better, but the economy has created new jobs that are better. That is a bank teller today might not be better off than a bank teller 40 years ago, but more people have jobs that are equal to or better than a bank teller job. Lastly while on average everyone is better off, that does not mean that individually everyone is better. Some people have seen their fortunes take a turn for the worse, but more people have seen their fortunes take a turn for the better.

I'm going to estimate your grandfather's day as 100 years ago (40 years before your birth). He couldn't afford a car, only the very wealthy could afford cars. If one of his kids got sick with a serious bacterial infection he didn't have to pay for expensive medical care, instead his kid died. I don't know what the cost of a carton of milk was 100 years ago, but it was probably a lot more than a carton of milk today (adjusted for inflation). Statisticians take all of these things into account, whereas people just look at did he own a home and raise a family.

You can live like a person 100 years ago on less than a person 100 years ago did. People don't want to live like that today. Sink all your money into buying a home and paying for food. No car. No health care. No cell phone. No computers. No television. Throw away all the modern commodities of life, and you'll live plenty cheaply.


I appreciate your explanation. I can understand the main points, that statisticians are just looking at numbers and that there can be movement between populations within a country. But there are still some problems.

My grandfather owned a car. I have seen photos. By 1920 cost of cars had gone down to $260, according to wikipedia and the equivalent in today's money would be around $22,000. Can't buy a new car these days for $22,000. Penicillin had not even been discovered at the time my mother was born. All people, rich or poor, died from infections. Milk cost 26c/gallon in 1930, which would be about 3.78 now, which is roughly similar. BUT, grocery stores typically sell milk very cheaply in order to get people into the store. I also think there are price supports for milk. A quick check in google indicates that without price supports, milk would cost $6/gallon today.

It is true that my grandparents did not have to purchase a TV, nor a cell phone, or a second car, etc. But they did send my mother to college at the University of College which could not have been cheap.

In the developed world, if one is going to be working, a phone is pretty much required, as is a second car, or at least one per working adult in the home. Although some major cities, such as New York, have good enough public transportation not to need cars, that is not true of most of the rest of the USA. You also pretty much have to have internet, or at least a smart phone. It isn't an option, if one is going to be working at a job. Even at McD, they want to be able to call you in to work a shift someone else did not show up for.

I agree that medical care and medical expenses in general are way out of control and the level of care provided is in excess of what is needed, but that is a different discussion.

So, you are basically saying, that because people today want to buy two cars, cell phones, health insurance and so forth, they require a second job? That still seems out of kilter.

If the statistics show (as I have heard) that the middle class is shrinking (or stable), then how, statistically, can the majority of people (as used to be the middle class) are experiencing financial improvement? I'm pretty sure there are statistics demonstrating that the percentage of people living at or below the poverty line is also increasing. So how does that fit in with people's financial lot improving?


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Antrax
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11 Aug 2019, 7:39 pm

blazingstar wrote:

I appreciate your explanation. I can understand the main points, that statisticians are just looking at numbers and that there can be movement between populations within a country. But there are still some problems.

My grandfather owned a car. I have seen photos. By 1920 cost of cars had gone down to $260, according to wikipedia and the equivalent in today's money would be around $22,000. Can't buy a new car these days for $22,000. Penicillin had not even been discovered at the time my mother was born. All people, rich or poor, died from infections. Milk cost 26c/gallon in 1930, which would be about 3.78 now, which is roughly similar. BUT, grocery stores typically sell milk very cheaply in order to get people into the store. I also think there are price supports for milk. A quick check in google indicates that without price supports, milk would cost $6/gallon today.

It is true that my grandparents did not have to purchase a TV, nor a cell phone, or a second car, etc. But they did send my mother to college at the University of College which could not have been cheap.

In the developed world, if one is going to be working, a phone is pretty much required, as is a second car, or at least one per working adult in the home. Although some major cities, such as New York, have good enough public transportation not to need cars, that is not true of most of the rest of the USA. You also pretty much have to have internet, or at least a smart phone. It isn't an option, if one is going to be working at a job. Even at McD, they want to be able to call you in to work a shift someone else did not show up for.

I agree that medical care and medical expenses in general are way out of control and the level of care provided is in excess of what is needed, but that is a different discussion.

So, you are basically saying, that because people today want to buy two cars, cell phones, health insurance and so forth, they require a second job? That still seems out of kilter.

If the statistics show (as I have heard) that the middle class is shrinking (or stable), then how, statistically, can the majority of people (as used to be the middle class) are experiencing financial improvement? I'm pretty sure there are statistics demonstrating that the percentage of people living at or below the poverty line is also increasing. So how does that fit in with people's financial lot improving?


More people have moved from middle class to upper class than middle class to lower class.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2 ... -families/

Notable quote:
Pew Research wrote:
From 1971 to 2011, the share of adults in the middle class fell by 10 percentage points. But that shift was not all down the economic ladder. Indeed, the increase in the share of adults who are upper income was greater than the increase in the share who are lower income over that period, a sign of economic progress overall.


Minor quibble but a new compact sedan will run you ~$14,000 today, about a 3rd less than $22,000.

I agree the expectations have shifted, and I think that's where people find it hard to believe in economic progress. College used to be seen as a luxury not a necessity. Cars didn't used to be so necessary. Hell, 25 years ago if you had a cell phone you were a very important person.

I think another reason people think the middle class isn't doing well is because we just came out of a brutal recession:Image

While people are much richer than they were 40 years ago or 8 years ago, they're only mildly richer than 20 years ago.


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11 Aug 2019, 7:49 pm

Here's a slightly longer timeline real income graph going to the mid-80s. It's interactive so I can't embed it in WP:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N


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12 Aug 2019, 1:18 pm

Still ignoring labor hours of the household and also relying on a flawed inflation number which doesn't account for cost of food or energy... Statistics that are supported by our government generally are all manipulated to make government look good.



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12 Aug 2019, 2:59 pm

Here, the guy at Innuendo Studios shows his work on the OP video:



But basically, a long line of conservative thinking going back to Edmund Burke supports his view of conservatives. In addition, he notes what conservatives have tended to do when they got into power, which belies their statement that they are simply "slow" and "stodgy" when it comes to changing things; conservatives can actually be quite radical. He also argues that the alt-right is simply an extension of these particular values of the conservative movement that conservatives are at best ambivalent about.


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13 Aug 2019, 7:10 am

Has anyone ever successfully ever implemented "bottom up economics"?

Seems like whenever a far left government gets in power, the currency will get crushed, they will take on huge debts, high unemployment, strikes, many people have an entitlement attitude so there is lots of anger ...


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kraftiekortie
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13 Aug 2019, 7:49 am

Most “far left” governments are, in practice, far right,



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13 Aug 2019, 1:56 pm

LoveNotHate wrote:
Has anyone ever successfully ever implemented "bottom up economics"?

Seems like whenever a far left government gets in power, the currency will get crushed, they will take on huge debts, high unemployment, strikes, many people have an entitlement attitude so there is lots of anger ...


Well, a lot of the countries in Europe, Canada, Japan, and others, and they tend to have better economic mobility as a result:

https://www.epi.org/publication/usa-lag ... -mobility/

Scandinavia seems to have the best mobility.

Support some of the basic needs of non-wealthy people like health care, and you empower them to make choices in their lives. No longer do they have to stay in a dead-end job just for the health care, and they won't have to choose between health care and staking out a path on their own. Our health care system in the US locks people into their current jobs and discourages them from striking out on their own, because otherwise they lose their coverage. The way our health care system is set up in the US is actually a system of control.

Of course, there are more factors than just health care, which is just one example, but it's important.


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