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kraftiekortie
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27 May 2021, 12:55 pm

Would you be able to post the article, or at least tell us where it is?

Google Translate, or something similar, might be able to translate the article well---especially since many scientific words are quite similar in many languages.



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01 Jun 2021, 4:21 am

Fauci warns US not to ‘declare victory’ despite lowest rates in a year

Quote:
Dr Anthony Fauci, the top infectious diseases expert in the US, has warned it is too early to declare victory against Covid-19 as cases fall in the country to the lowest rates since last June.

“We don’t want to declare victory prematurely because we still have a ways to go,” Fauci told the Guardian in an interview. “But the more and more people that can get vaccinated, as a community, the community will be safer and safer.”

The Memorial Holiday weekend marks the unofficial start of summer in the US, and for the at least 50% of the adult population that is fully vaccinated, it could usher in a season of maskless barbecues and trips to the beach.

Daily coronavirus cases have dropped 53% since 1 May, according to Johns Hopkins University data, but the rates are still high in the unvaccinated population and cases are growing globally.

“As long as there is some degree of activity throughout the world, there’s always a danger of variants emerging and diminishing somewhat the effectiveness of our vaccines,” said Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (Niaid).

At the same time, the US must address the issues stopping its people from getting vaccinated. Part of this group is strongly opposed to the vaccine but there is also a portion of the unvaccinated population that hasn’t been able to get the shot because of lack of access to information or transportation or concerns about missing work because paid sick leave is not guaranteed in the US.

Fauci said this too is something the US is focusing its efforts on as Joe Biden’s administration seeks to get a first dose of the vaccine to 70% of the US adult population by 4 July.

This month, the White House deployed more vaccination resources to underserved areas and mobile clinics and supported an effort by ride-share companies to offer free trips for people getting vaccinated. In April, Biden called for all employers to provide paid time off for employees to get vaccinated and made a tax credit for small and medium-sized businesses to offer paid leave for employees to get the shot and to recover from any side-effects they might experience after.

“Today, in our current day, the accessibility and the convenience of getting a vaccine is really rather striking,” Fauci said.

But until the overwhelming majority of Americans have been vaccinated, the Covid-19 risk is still high in the US.

As of Friday, 59.1% of Americans 12 and older had received their first dose of the vaccine and 47.4% were fully vaccinated, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC).

“We cannot abandon public health measures when you still have a degree of viral activity in the broad community in the United States,” Fauci said. “Although we’re down to less than 30,000 infections per day that’s still a lot of infections per day.”

The national death rate among the unvaccinated population is roughly the same as it was in late March, according to a Washington Post data analysis published this month. The adjusted hospitalization rate is as high as it was in late February, though cases are declining, according to the analysis.

Tara Kirk Sell, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, said in the next few months, coronavirus could spread out of hand among unvaccinated people.

“Unfortunately these groups of people who are anti-vax or who will end up being susceptible to the disease are going to be in pockets,” Sell said. “It’s not going to be evenly distributed through the population.”

Earlier this month, the CDC released an optimistic report which said in a best case scenario, Covid-19 infections could be driven to low levels by July if the vast majority of people get vaccinated and take other precautions, such as wearing masks and social distancing.

The CDC report was not a forecast, but a set of scenarios created by six independent research teams using data through 27 March. The modeling does not include what could happen if there was a new, more dangerous variant.

Sell expects things will be better this summer, but warned that autumn is still an unknown.

“I think we should be humble about what our certainty is about how things will unfold,” Sell said. ”There have been a lot of curveballs.”

“I’m happy with the numbers but we need to do more because there is still a huge number of people that are still not vaccinated,” said Chester, director of employee health services at Northwell Health, the healthcare system which has treated more hospitalized Covid-19 patients than anywhere in the US.

Northwell Health has vaccination sites operating for people 12 and older in the greater New York City area. Some are open 24 hours a day to ensure people with difficult work schedules can find time to get the vaccine.


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15 Jun 2021, 2:56 pm

US surpasses grim milestone with 600,000 lives lost to COVID-19

Quote:
The number of Americans who have died from COVID-19 has now eclipsed 600,000, according to data from Johns Hopkins University, 15 months since the onset of the pandemic.

The milestone is a sobering reminder that hundreds of Americans are still dying each day even as the nation begins to enter its "new normal."

It was just over a year ago when the country recorded 100,000 confirmed virus-related deaths.

The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences estimates that 5.4 million Americans have lost a loved one because of COVID-19.

The U.S. COVID death toll is now more than 200 times higher than the number of lives lost during the U.S. attacks on Sept. 11. It is now approaching the total number of American deaths that were recorded during the 1918 influenza pandemic

Globally, the virus has claimed more than 3.8 million lives. The U.S., which makes up just over 4% of the global population, accounts for approximately 16% of the world's COVID-19 related deaths. The U.S. has the highest death toll of any country in the world.

Since the country’s viral peak in January, the average number of daily cases and deaths has plummeted by over 90%. Hospitalization levels too have fallen dramatically in recent months, with admission numbers down by more than 60% since mid-April.

The U.S. is currently averaging just under 350 new coronavirus-related deaths a day, with the nation reporting around 2,450 deaths a week, significantly lower than the 23,000 deaths reported over a seven-day period in January.

And with approximately 52.5% of the total U.S. population now vaccinated with at least one dose, states are quickly moving to drop coronavirus restrictions and face covering requirements for residents, signaling a modified return to pre-pandemic times.

Front-line workers are also now reporting that a larger share of young, unvaccinated populations are receiving care. Nationwide, the 18-49 age groups continue to account for the largest number of patients hospitalized.

“Right now, what we find is we still do have people passing away from COVID, and those steps are challenging because from a nursing standpoint we feel like they could have been prevented with the vaccine,” Megan Bowes, a pulmonary and respiratory care unit manager at Health First’s Holmes Regional Medical Center in Florida, told ABC News. “It makes it sometimes even harder to wrap our brains around those people that are passing away still.”


Boris Johnson delays lockdown easing by a month, citing Delta variant risk
Quote:
Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson delayed his plans to liftCovid-19 lockdown restrictions by a month on Monday, warning that the more infectious Delta variant meant if he did nothing, hospital admissions could hit the peak of the first wave of the pandemic.

Under the final stage of a plan outlined by Johnson in February, he had hoped to lift most social restrictions on June 21, meaning pubs, restaurants, nightclubs and other hospitality venues could fully reopen.

That much-anticipated step was pushed back to July

The extra time would be used to speed up Britain's vaccination program — already one of the world's furthest advanced — by shortening the recommended time between doses for those aged over 40 to eight weeks from 12 weeks.

The situation would be reviewed on June 28, which could allow the reopening being brought forward, although Johnson's spokesman said this was considered unlikely.

In recent weeks there has been fast growth in new cases caused by the Delta variant, first discovered in India. Health officials believe it is 60 percent more transmissible than the previous dominant strain and scientists have warned that it could trigger a third wave of infections.

Johnson said Britain was seeing cases growing by about 64 percent per week and the number of people in hospital intensive care was risin


Cuomo Eliminates COVID Rules as NY Hits Vaccine Goal; 10 Fireworks Shows Set for Tonight
Quote:
Today is Day 472. Today is Tuesday." And effective immediately, state-mandated COVID restrictions are eliminated, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said as he announced New York had achieved his 70% adult partial vaccination milestone early.

It means an opportunity to "return to life as we know it," the Democrat said -- and he plans a series of statewide fireworks displays Tuesday to celebrate.

Cuomo declared the one-time epicenter had not only turned the page on the worst public health crisis in a century but emerged mightier from it. And he credited New Yorkers for continuing the fight.

What changes going forward? No more social distancing or gathering limits for more than a dozen commercial and social settings. No more capacity restrictions. No more health screening. No more contact tracing protocols.

Individual establishments can impose stricter standards if they so choose but the state executive orders that have mandated them for well more than a year are done.

Unvaccinated people are still responsible for continuing to weak masks, per the CDC. Existing COVID-19 protocol remains in place for pre-K-12 schools, public transit, shelters, large-scale indoor events venues, correctional facilities and healthcare settings in accordance with CDC guidelines, Cuomo noted. Those standards could be tweaked before long, too, if the CDC adjusts its guidance.

He plans to mark the day with a 9:15 p.m. statewide fireworks celebration to honor the essential workers, without whom he says the state could not have made it through the nightmarish early days of the pandemic and the daily devastation that followed. Thirteen state landmarks will be lit blue and gold to "say thank you."

New York City has announced plans to celebrate essential workers, too -- with the first ticker-tape parade since the pandemic hit. That long-promised upcoming march along Manhattan's Canyon of Heroes July 7 might mark the most symbolic point of resurgence yet for a city so devastated early and throughout the pandemic.

New Yorkers have experienced a few 180-degree pendulum swings over the course of the pandemic. But unlike last summer and early fall, when core viral rates plunged from seemingly unfathomable highs only to surge back to alarming levels over the holidays, the state now has the ultimate weapon on its side: Vaccination.

More than 60% of all New Yorkers are fully immunized, though the pace has slowed to an exceedingly slow drip in recent weeks, especially among long-eligible adults.

Acknowledging that population may be harder to move, both Cuomo and de Blasio have focused their targeted outreach as of late to what they perceive as a more malleable group -- kids age 12 to 15.

They were the last to become eligible for vaccination and have seen significant growth in dose rates the last month, increases in part that are thought to be driven by a lucrative slate of incentive


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15 Jun 2021, 8:13 pm

Blood samples support theory COVID-19 was present in U.S. by Christmas Eve 2019

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COVID-19 likely was present in the U.S. as early as Christmas Eve 2019, a new study has found.

The research, published online Tuesday by the journal Clinical Infectious Diseases, found that nine people spread across Illinois, Massachusetts, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Mississippi had detectable COVID-19 antibodies in their bloodstreams when they participated in the government’s All of Us Research Program early last year.

The positive specimen collected from one Illinois-based patient on Jan. 7, 2020, suggests “the virus may have been present in Illinois as early as December 24, 2019,” a full month before Illinois confirmed its first official case of COVID-19 on Jan. 24, 2019, the study found.

The other blood samples that tested positive for the antibodies were collected Jan. 8, 2020, from Massachusetts; Feb. 3, 2020, from Wisconsin; Feb. 15, 2020, from Pennsylvania, and March 6, 2020, from Mississippi — weeks prior to the first recognized cases in those states, the researchers found.

The findings corroborate another recent study of archived American Red Cross blood donation samples that found SARS-CoV-2–reactive antibodies in blood donations from California, Oregon and Washington as early as Dec. 13, 2019.


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16 Jun 2021, 10:34 pm

ASPartOfMe wrote:

There are a few people in the support groups who claim that they caught it in November or even October.


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25 Jun 2021, 4:12 am

Missouri becomes hot spot for Delta variant fueling hospitalizations while vaccination efforts la

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Missouri is seeing a concerning uptick in hospitalizations due to Covid-19's Delta variant, which originated in India. In Springfield alone, there has been a 225% increase in hospital admissions since June 1, according to the Springfield-Greene County Health Department

The Delta variant -- which has been found to be more transmissible than others -- now accounts for about 29% of cases in Missouri, more than any other state, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
And vaccination rates in Missouri remain below average, CDC data shows. About 38% of the state's population is fully vaccinated, compared to nearly 46% of the US population overall.

Those hospitalized now are younger in age than those affected during the winter surge.
"People in their late teens and even early 20s are being hospitalized and needing the use of ventilators," said Katie Towns, acting director of Springfield-Greene County Health Department.

The inversion in the spread of the variants is clearly reflected in the data, according to county health officials, as explained earlier in the week during a news conference.

"If you go back to mid-May, what we were seeing was 70% Delta variant, and about 24% Alpha variant. In June, the last three weeks, that has shifted greatly to 93% Delta variant and only 7% Alpha variant. That shift has likely been the cause of surge within our hospital systems," said Kendra Findley, administrator of community health and epidemiology at Springfield-Greene County Health Department.

More than half of those admitted to the two major hospitals in the Springfield area are from surrounding counties with limited health clinics. Those counties each have fully vaccinated rates below 20%. The national average is more than twice that figure, at 46%.

Dr. Robin Trotman, an infectious diseases expert at CoxHealth, is witnessing that hospital surge firsthand.
"It's nearly 100% of the people hospitalized with Covid pneumonia are unvaccinated. Now we do have vaccinated people who test positive, but they don't get severely ill," Trotman said.

For nurses, doctors and respiratory therapists on the front lines of the pandemic, it's an unnerving picture.
"When the staff's putting themselves at risk in these situations, and they feel like other people aren't willing to take the vaccine, despite their risk, that's, that's a hard one for some people to swallow," said Trotman.


Israel Prepares To Reinstate Mask Mandate As Delta Variant Drives New Covid Surge
Quote:
Israel is set to reinstate an indoor mask mandate in a bid to contain outbreaks of Covid-19, the latest setback for one of the world’s most vaccinated countries as the infectious Delta variant drives a surge of cases in children and vaccinated people.

he mandate will be restored when the average number of daily Covid-19 cases over the course of a week exceeds 100, Israel’s health ministry said Thursday, a threshold its public health director Dr. Sharon Alroy-Preis believes will be met Sunday.

At the time of writing, there are already more than 100 cases reported for Thursday, which is the fourth consecutive day where Israel has registered over 100 new cases.

While infections are low, especially compared to Israel’s peak of over 10,000 cases a day in January, the new outbreaks have clustered in children and in people who have already been vaccinated, prompting a renewed vaccination drive in children and the renewed prospect of quarantines for anybody exposed to the disease, even if they have been immunized.

As many as 50% of Israel’s new cases are among vaccinated people, officials said, though there is not yet enough data to draw any conclusions on how effective the vaccines are against the Delta variant, Alroy-Preis said.


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27 Jun 2021, 9:38 am

Two-week lockdown for Greater Sydney, Blue Mountains, Central Coast, Wollongong and Shellharbourdef

Quote:
Residents of Greater Sydney, the Central Coast, the Blue Mountains, Wollongong, and Shellharbour are now subject to stay-at-home orders after coronavirus lockdown restrictions were extended.

Residents will only be allowed to leave home to shop for essential items, exercise or for care and compassionate reasons.

Work or education that can not be performed at home is also an exception.
Premier Gladys Berejiklian gave just four hours notice for the two-week lockdown at 2pm on Saturday.

She said her hands had been tied by the escalating outbreak of the Delta variant, after "putting everyone on notice" for a wider Sydney lockdown that morning.
"I said that this the scariest time since the pandemic started and that's proven to be the case," Ms Berejiklian said

Twenty-nine locally acquired cases of COVID-19 were detected in the 24 hours to 8pm last night, 17 of which we already knew about.

COVID-safe weddings can take place this weekend, but they will be banned from Monday.
Funerals can still go ahead, the premier said.

Ms Berejiklian said some restrictions would be imposed on parts of regional NSW not in lockdown.


Threat of delta variant looms large in unvaccinated South
Quote:
Dr. Rachael Lee is still haunted by memories of the last surge.

She recalled emotional weeks in January when cases of Covid-19 peaked in Alabama, threatening to overwhelm her hospital in Birmingham. In the months since, the situation in her city — and across the United States — has improved significantly, but Lee can’t help but feel a new looming sense of dread.

“I think it's hard for some people to understand that this has not gone away," said Lee, an assistant professor of medicine at the University of Alabama at Birmingham. "And it's easy to forget that we're seeing the spread of these variants, and the delta variant in particular."

In Alabama, vaccination efforts have hit a wall just as the delta variant of the coronavirus, a more contagious variant first detected in India, is gaining a foothold and spreading rapidly in the country.

The variant is well on its way to becoming the dominant strain in the U.S., with cases doubling every two weeks, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. As of June 19, the variant was responsible for 20 percent of new cases.

That could be worrisome for many states, particularly in rural parts of the Southeast, where areas with low vaccine uptake remain vulnerable to delta and potential future variants like it. The country’s patchwork recovery, with uneven vaccination rates between states and sometimes even bigger discrepancies at the local level, could mean the U.S. is on the cusp of a new wave of infections — one punctuated by local surges that disproportionately affect rural communities and pockets of the country where vaccinations have lagged.

Just under 32 percent of people in Alabama are fully vaccinated against Covid-19, compared to Vermont, one of the best-performing states, where 64 percent of its population is fully vaccinated, according to the CDC.

The situation is similar nextdoor in Mississippi, where the number of fully vaccinated individuals sits below 29 percent, leaving the vast majority of residents vulnerable to infection.

Many Mississippians who remain unvaccinated are from poor, rural areas of the state and may not be able to afford transportation to towns with adequate supplies of vaccines.

And resources in many rural areas are already strained, making it challenging for these communities to deal with Covid-19 outbreaks and hampering outreach efforts to combat vaccine hesitancy.

“This past decade we’ve seen a large number of rural hospitals and associated doctor’s offices close,” said Timothy Callaghan, an assistant professor at Texas A&M University School of Public Health who studies rural health issues. “There are just fewer physicians and medical providers in general in these rural areas, so they may not have the infrastructure in place to convince people to get vaccinated

Low vaccination rates in rural Tennessee are driving new Covid-19 cases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center in Nashville, said Dr. Todd Rice, director of the center's medical intensive care unit.

Patients we're seeing now are transferred to us from a rural area," he said, such as Macon, Trousdale and Smith counties in Tennessee. Vaccination rates in those counties hover around 20 percent, while nearly 45 percent of those living in Nashville's Davidson County are fully vaccinated.

"They're scared. They're sick. They don't feel well. They have Covid," Rice said of his patients. "When they come in, they all say, 'I should have gotten vaccinated.'"

As Tennessee shows, a state’s overall vaccination numbers can offer an incomplete picture, especially in places where there are stark differences in vaccine uptake from county to county.

“It’ll play out as sporadic tragedies that are preventable,” said Jeremy Kamil, an associate professor of microbiology and immunology at Louisiana State University Health Shreveport. “It’s unlikely that we’ll see a replay of January 2021 in August 2021, but we’ve already had 600,000 deaths in this country. How much more do we want?”

Walke, of the CDC, said he’s particularly concerned about the potential for surges in the fall and winter, especially in areas with lower vaccine uptake.

There are several ways through which scientists can evaluate whether a newly identified variant is more contagious, whether it causes more severe disease and what kind of response it has to existing vaccines. The first part involves mining epidemiological data, which can reveal insights about the specific variant involved, the community where it was spreading, any symptoms the patient developed and whether the person was vaccinated or not.

But researchers can also drill down into the virus’ sequenced genome to identify specific mutations that are acquired as the pathogen replicates and evolves. These random mutations are often inconsequential, but occasionally some will make the virus better able to hijack human cells, thus making it more contagious, or change what the virus can do after it invades the body, potentially enabling it to cause more severe illness.

Every mutation buys the virus a lottery ticket. Sometimes that lottery ticket comes up with a mutation which enables it to transmit to more people," said Bill Hanage, an associate professor of epidemiology at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

And if breakthrough infections — meaning infections in fully vaccinated people — do occur, they appear to be mild. "You've taken something that would have been serious and turned it into something which is manageable," Hanage said.

As the delta variant continues to take hold in the U.S., epidemiologists are paying close attention to what's happening in Southeastern states like Alabama, Florida and Mississippi — particularly in those areas with low vaccination rates.

"It was about this time last year that the South started demonstrating to us that yes, this can transmit in the summer," Hanage said. "It'll be very interesting and quite valuable to see what happens."


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28 Jun 2021, 6:25 am

You've filled most of this page so far with a string of huge quotes with no comment of your own at all. No one's going to wade through all that. If you've got a point or points to make, say them succinctly in your own words, and only then by all means link to supporting sources if desired.



Last edited by envirozentinel on 28 Jun 2021, 8:40 am, edited 1 time in total.: removed potentially offensive content

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28 Jun 2021, 7:36 am

^ Yes, members are encouraged to actually comment on quotes from news or other sources, rather than simply regurgitating long quotes without any of their own input. Not doing so defeats the object of posting and is against the WP ules. Just be more tactful please... :wink:


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28 Jun 2021, 9:00 am

envirozentinel wrote:
^ Yes, members are encouraged to actually comment on quotes from news or other sources, rather than simply regurgitating long quotes without any of their own input. Not doing so defeats the object of posting and is against the WP ules. Just be more tactful please... :wink:

Looking back to page one I was under the impression that this thread was news about the coronavirus not necessarily comments about the coronavirus. I am not a epidemiologist and adding my opinions to what is an evolving situation with often contradictory information would accomplish nothing. So would saying I am confused, this is bad and so on. I have faith that the membership here can make sense out of the information I provide.

That all said I do sometimes comment on the type of coronavirus thread where members discuss their personal policies as far as mask wearing etc. I discuss my policy and why.


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28 Jun 2021, 11:22 pm

I don't mind the quotes, I feel like it makes it easier to skim through and see if it's worth clicking the link to the full article.


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01 Jul 2021, 1:32 pm

MjrMajorMajor wrote:
It is overhyped. Be more worried about the flu...


little did we know what would become of this virus. I love looking back at this thread and watching the chaos unfold.



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01 Jul 2021, 1:53 pm

Delta variant ramping up here.


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01 Jul 2021, 1:58 pm

The Delta Force is strong here too - has been spreading like margarine on steroids! But fortunately vaccinations are happening slowly but surely.

I believe in strengthening the immune system through extra vitamins and minerals, and keeping mind and body strong.


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01 Jul 2021, 7:14 pm

Delta cases are to 44 percent of NYC cases compared to 20 percent of cases last week. Sounds scary but the percentage of positive test cases is minuscule.

I think we won’t know if the pandemic is if not over, manageable in this area until the e fall and winter months.


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06 Jul 2021, 8:23 am

Three threads in the Politics Section about Political Implications of COVID-19 including leadership decisions to reopen. In this thread I will stick to straight news about the pandemic and scientific efforts to stop it.
96 Percent Of Democrats Think Pandemic Is Not Over
What If Due To Anti Vaxxer’s Herd Immunity Is A Pipe Dream?
Anyone Afraid To Take The Covid Vaccine Because Of Fauchi?




Israel confirms vaccine less effective against Delta variant, eyes third dose

Quote:
Israel’s Health Ministry released data on Monday showing that the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID vaccine appears to largely prevent hospitalization and serious cases, but is significantly less effective against preventing the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus.

According to the ministry, the Pfizer vaccine’s effectiveness in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 has dropped by some 30 percent to 64%, given the spread of the Delta variant. The data shows that during May, when the strain was less prevalent, the vaccine was 94.3% effective.

The Delta variant, which is believed to be twice as contagious as the original strain of COVID-19, is thought to be responsible for 90% of new cases in Israel over the past two weeks.

The data, however, also shows that the vaccine is still highly effective against preventing serious symptoms and hospitalization. During May, that figure stood at 98.2%, and during June, it was 93%


As Delta variant turns into dominant strain in California, scientists detect 'Delta plus'
Quote:
The Delta variant continues to spread across the U.S. and now scientists are reporting a new version of this variant, the Delta plus.

Working to stay ahead of these mutations and studying the Delta variant is UCSF's Dr. Nevan Krogan and his team at the Quantitative Biosciences Institute at the University of California San Francisco.

Last week Dr. Krogan met with nearly 50 scientists in New York City to understand how the Delta variant is mutating and morphing into new strains like the Delta plus.

“It's mutating compared to other viruses incredibly quickly. I think a big part of that is because there is a significant percentage of people who are getting infected and are asymptomatic," said Dr. Krogan and added, "So the world is really a huge petri dish."


The Delta variant is causing more than 80% of new COVID-19 infections in 4 US states, including 96% of new cases in Missouri
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Kansas, Arkansas, Missouri, and Connecticut have the highest proportion of Delta cases, Scripps Research data shows.


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Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity

“My autism is not a superpower. It also isn’t some kind of god-forsaken, endless fountain of suffering inflicted on my family. It’s just part of who I am as a person”. - Sara Luterman