Mysterious jump in excess mortality among younger cohorts

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hurtloam
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23 Nov 2021, 3:35 am

Isn't this just like ice cream causing more shark attacks?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/magazine/7592579.stm



Mountain Goat
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23 Nov 2021, 8:59 am

The sharks lend money to the ice cream salesmen so they can attract more food (As in people) to the beaches. This is why they are called loan sharks, because they have good profits from their initial investment.

I worked on the railways when the smoking ban in Wales came in on the stations. It was only the stations owned by the railway themselves that took part in the ban as oter stations not owned by the railway such as Fishguard did not have the ban on their platform.
There was a significent noticable drop in the commuters that were travelling from West Wales into Swansea during that time as many regulars who smoked took to their cars to drive into places like Swansea. I used to recieve a ticket bonus, and this dropped during that time. I would say the sales of tickets on those commuter trains that I personally sold dropped by around 15 to 20% after the ban because it was over an hours travel for many commuters and people who smoke were not allowed to smoke on the trains anyway, so they just gave up using the trains and went by car. They had turned to use the trains for two reasons. One was to avoid hitting the traffic queues on the way into the towns and cities, and the second was to destress. The ticket prices were fairly similar to the prices that they paid to put fuel in their cars to commute. We lost a fair amount of regulars when the ban came in.



hurtloam
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23 Nov 2021, 9:49 am

That loan shark comment made me chuckle. :lol:



Mountain Goat
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23 Nov 2021, 10:48 am

Hehe. I have a wierd sense of humour sometimes. Is typical of the things I say.



Mikah
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28 Nov 2021, 10:07 am

Another correlation between excess death and vaccination status:

https://www.unz.com/proberts/german-sta ... accinated/

German Statisticians Find the Same Result in Germany as the UK Health Security Agency Reports: It Is a Pandemic of the Vaccinated.

In Germany the states with the highest vaccination rate have the most excess deaths.

Dr. Ute Bergner, a physicist who is a member of the Thuringian state parliament in Germany, commissioned statisticians to investigate the relationship between vaccination and excess mortality in the 16 German federal states.

The statisticians found that the states with the lowest percentage of the population vaccinated had the lowest excess mortality. In contrast the state with the highest vaccination rate (66%) had the highest rate of excess deaths.

“The correlation coefficient is +0.31. In the eyes of the two data scientists this is ‘astonishingly high.’ Especially since the believers in the vaccine are claiming the opposite but provide no proof for their notion of ‘protection’. One should at the least expect a different relationship: the more vaccinations, the lower the mortality. After all, the intention was to protect people.”

“The excess mortality increases with the increase in the vaccination rate. This requires urgent clarification,” demanded the two statisticians. Furthermore, in view of “the pending political measures aimed at containing the virus this figure is worrying and requires explanation if further political measures are to be taken with the aim of increasing the vaccination rate.”


https://www.globalresearch.ca/german-st ... ty/5762622

UK figures from the last week:

Image


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The_Znof
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28 Nov 2021, 3:28 pm

good thing I just wanted to get into the Gym/Velodrome and wasnt looking for any health benefits!



Mikah
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30 Nov 2021, 6:04 am

Children don't die often, so this isn't actually a huge increase in absolute numbers, but it is another interesting signal nonetheless, one much more closely matched with the vaccine rollout.

https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/uk-se ... ata-shows/

UK sees 44% increase in child deaths after jab rollout for young teens, data shows

LONDON (LifeSiteNews) – U.K. reports on child deaths from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that, in the weeks since the COVID shot has been administered to children between ages 12 and 15, recorded deaths have risen by 44 percent above the 2015-2019 average for the same time period.

According to the ONS’ “five-year average weekly deaths by sex and age group” figures between 2015 and 2019 among children ages 10-14, there were 41 deaths recorded from week 38 (late September) to week 45 (early November). Within the same time period, the weekly figures recorded for the year 2021 show that 59 children died, representing a 43.9 percent rise in deaths over the five-year average.

A report from The Exposé notes that deaths among 10-14-year-olds have been consistently above that of the national five-year average since the shots started being administered to children, save for one week, week 42. Week 38 saw more than double the deaths among the young age group, going from a five-year average of three deaths to eight deaths in 2021.

The single largest weekly death count was observed in week 40, about two weeks after the jab had been rolled out, at which point 11 children died in 2021 compared with the five-year average of four, representing a 175 percent rise in deaths.

Breaking down the data into male and female categories, The Exposé showed that although more boys’ deaths were recorded, 2021 has marked a greater percentage of increase in deaths for girls.


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Mikah
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01 Dec 2021, 5:34 am



A short (3:55) video for those who don't like reading. Also contains a nice example of modern medicine/science failing in its duty - according to this cardiologist a medical institution refused to publish research that linked mRNA shots to cardiovascular problems for fear of losing funding from the pharmaceutical giants.


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Mikah
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01 Dec 2021, 4:59 pm

Edit: forum didn't like that link with those brackets.

Code:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanepe/article/PIIS2666-7762(21)00258-1/fulltext

archive link: https://archive.md/DZg01

High COVID-19 vaccination rates were expected to reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in populations by reducing the number of possible sources for transmission and thereby to reduce the burden of COVID-19 disease. Recent data, however, indicate that the epidemiological relevance of COVID-19 vaccinated individuals is increasing. In the UK it was described that secondary attack rates among household contacts exposed to fully vaccinated index cases was similar to household contacts exposed to unvaccinated index cases (25% for vaccinated vs 23% for unvaccinated). 12 of 31 infections in fully vaccinated household contacts (39%) arose from fully vaccinated epidemiologically linked index cases. Peak viral load did not differ by vaccination status or variant type [[1]]. In Germany, the rate of symptomatic COVID-19 cases among the fully vaccinated (“breakthrough infections”) is reported weekly since 21. July 2021 and was 16.9% at that time among patients of 60 years and older [[2]]. This proportion is increasing week by week and was 58.9% on 27. October 2021 (Figure 1) providing clear evidence of the increasing relevance of the fully vaccinated as a possible source of transmission. A similar situation was described for the UK. Between week 39 and 42, a total of 100.160 COVID-19 cases were reported among citizens of 60 years or older. 89.821 occurred among the fully vaccinated (89.7%), 3.395 among the unvaccinated (3.4%) [[3]]. One week before, the COVID-19 case rate per 100.000 was higher among the subgroup of the vaccinated compared to the subgroup of the unvaccinated in all age groups of 30 years or more. In Israel a nosocomial outbreak was reported involving 16 healthcare workers, 23 exposed patients and two family members. The source was a fully vaccinated COVID-19 patient. The vaccination rate was 96.2% among all exposed individuals (151 healthcare workers and 97 patients). Fourteen fully vaccinated patients became severely ill or died, the two unvaccinated patients developed mild disease [[4]]. The US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) identifies four of the top five counties with the highest percentage of fully vaccinated population (99.9–84.3%) as “high” transmission counties [[5]]. Many decisionmakers assume that the vaccinated can be excluded as a source of transmission. It appears to be grossly negligent to ignore the vaccinated population as a possible and relevant source of transmission when deciding about public health control measures.

In a sane world they'd have stopped the vaccination campaign months ago. I can only assume the mandate madness is about covering up the potentially epic magnitude of this screw-up.


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Mikah
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02 Dec 2021, 6:02 am

https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/if- ... lems-youll

Alex Berenson summarising the study referenced above:

A new study of 566 patients who received either the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines shows that signs of cardiovascular damage soared following the shots. The risk of heart attacks or other severe coronary problems more than doubled months after the vaccines were administered, based on changes in markers of inflammation and other cell damage.

Patients had a 1 in 4 risk for severe problems after the vaccines, compared to 1 in 9 before.

Dr. Steven Gundry [EDIT, see note at bottom], a Nebraska physician and retired cardiac surgeon, presented the findings at the Scientific Sessions of the American Heart Association’s annual conference in Boston last week. An abstract is available in Circulation, the AHA’s scientific journal.


...

Dr. Gundry regularly tests patients for early signs of heart problems, such as inflammation and cellular death. The patients are then given a score designed to predict their risk of developing an acute coronary syndrome in the next five years.

What’s an acute coronary syndrome? Glad you asked. Per the Mayo Clinic:

Acute coronary syndrome is a term used to describe a range of conditions associated with sudden, reduced blood flow to the heart. One such condition is a heart attack (myocardial infarction) — when cell death results in damaged or destroyed heart tissue.

Gundry found that his patients saw an increase in risk from 11 percent to 25 percent, and the risks persisted for at least 2.5 months after the second dose. His takeaway:

“We conclude that the mRNA [vaccines] dramatically increase inflammation on the endothelium and T cell infiltration of cardiac muscle and may account for the observations of increased thrombosis, cardiomyopathy, and other vascular events following vaccination.”

Which might explain why cardiologists around the world are seeing cases like this:


Image

Just another post-vaccine case of myocarditis, this one requiring a 38-year-old woman to be put on a heart-lung bypass machine to save her her life.

Mild n’ rare, amirite, Dr. Walensky?


So we have so far a strong correlation between the vaccine and the appearance of blood factors that suggest cardiovascular damage and heart attack risk. We have considerable excess deaths compared to the 5 year average, and compared to covid year 0 (2020) and these excess deaths are often related to cardiovascular problems. We have a reasonable model for how this is occurring (spike protein manufacture provoking an immune response that targets the body's own cardiovascular system). It's not quite proved yet, but it is not looking good.


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Mikah
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05 Dec 2021, 6:58 pm

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/stat ... 5447897089

Note to people who are bad at critical thinking: If we someday learn that getting the vax was a huge mistake, please don’t tell me you knew all along. You are guessing just like the rest of us. Someone will guess right.

Scott "The Great Predictor" Adams is in CYA mode as it looks like his previous pro-vaccine beliefs might have been the wrong choice. He is getting a lot of flak for stating that the anti-vaxxers were "guessing" like he was "guessing" the vaccine was safe.

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=244422

Here he is rightly torn a new one.

If we someday learn..... "you were guessing"?

Oh really?

Well let's talk facts eh? None of these are in dispute, by the way.

  • Coronaviruses circulate in humans all the time. Four of them, to be specific. Two are in the same family as Covid-19; they are beta coronaviruses, as is Covid. One of them, OC43, is believed to have caused a pandemic -- in the 1890s. Why doesn't it now? Because it circulates all the time and most kids wind up getting it very young, since the circulation pattern suggests roughly a four year rotation. That's right -- by the time you're eight you've lived through two rotations through the population of this, and the other three, circulating Coronaviruses.

  • These four almost never produce any serious problems for children. Neither does Covid. On the data thus far, and we knew this before the first shot went into the first arm in December of 2020, if all 60 million kids under 18 got Covid-19 about 500 of them would die. That's the data. Likewise, the other 4 common coronaviruses almost never produce serious outcomes. They do produce colds and flus -- as does Covid-19 in kids.

  • All four of these, when someone is infected, produce durable protection against serious and fatal outcomes in the future. The exception is the odd person who is old and has damaged immunity, and their former protection becomes worthless. Yes, occasionally an old person gets killed by OC43 as their prior immunity becomes worthless. Are you noting a pattern here yet or do you already suck at logic?

  • There is no evidence that once infected by Covid-19 and you survive the infection you are at material risk of a second bad infection. There is a small, but non-zero risk, you can get it again, and my presumption is that if it follows the pattern of other coronaviruses, which tend to run in 3-4 year cycles, you will get it again in a few years. But despite this the odds are well under 1 in 1,000 that said second infection will be serious or worse and with each re-challenge your immunity will become broader and deeper, just as occurs with the other four. There are at this point multiple sets of data with confirmed infection counts well over 1,000 in each data set with no critical or fatal outcomes in any of them and several have had zero reinfections of any sort. In other words there is no evidence that the pattern for the other four coronaviruses that circulate among humans is not what we will see here. Gee, are we detecting a pattern yet or do you really suck at logic?

  • There has never been a successful and safe vaccine against coronaviruses in man or beast. None. Ever. All have either (1) proved to be short-lived protection, (2) backfired spectacularly and enhanced infection on re-challenge including every animal under test dying on re-challenge, (3) produced a really nasty side effect profile that over time is more dangerous than the disease -- or some ugly combination of all three. There are no exceptions. A particular example is a chicken coronavirus where vaccination lasts just long enough for a broiler to reach size and be slaughtered -- a bit less than two months. Laying hens must be continually re-inoculated to maintain protection. Attempts to vaccinate cats have killed every cat under test. May I note that felines are one of the animal families that can get and transmit Covid-19? Again, perhaps this is the exception but if it is it will be the first success following an extensive set of failures reaching back decades, many of which produced serious and fatal outcomes. Again: Are you detecting a pattern here yet on the waning of immunity from jabs given the history of prior attempts?

  • There is no evidence that deleting the "N" protein from the in-use US vaccines in fact eliminates the risk of enhanced disease. That's the hypothesis underlying the decision to do that but there was no evidence for it in actual human testing, which simply was not done in advance and six months -- or in fact a year or two -- is too short to find out. Indeed most of the mutation in a coronavirus takes place in the "S" protein which is the part we're using. This would be reasonably expected to produce evasion over time through natural forces. We did it anyway.

  • We knew prior to release of these vaccines for general use and their "mandates" that the majority of the antibodies produced were not neutralizing; they were binding. A binding antibody can enhance infection. Given that we had decades of history with the non-durability of neutralizing antibodies with attempts to vaccinate against coronaviruses what is the reasonable expectation for what will happen if that occurs this time but binding antibodies are still present? Proof? No; there was no proof. But what evidence existed that this approach was safe? NONE! Indeed, the evidence, such as it was, all ran the other way although it certainly was not conclusive. We did it anyway.

  • Prior to general release (September of 2020) there was published a paper characterizing pathogenic potential for the spike protein alone, absent the rest of the virus. That paper demonstrated the potential for direct injury, specifically to the endothelium (the layer of cells that is the inner lining of your blood vessels!) This was a theoretical paper and it set off a bevvy of other studies. One of them, appearing to confirm that hypothesis, was published in pre-print in December 2020 before the shots went into arms. It was subsequently peer-reviewed and passed upon during that process, being published on a formal basis early this year. We jabbed people anyway despite, at that point, having in-vitro (lab) evidence that the spike protein we were causing to be produced in the human body was inherently and separately dangerous without the rest of the virus being present. This paper, standing alone, was enough to call into question the safety of these jabs even if there was no virus at all! We proceeded anyway.

So no, it is not guessing to take all of these facts, none of which are in dispute, and conclude that:

  • There is no reason to believe we can successfully, on a long-term basis, vaccinate against a coronavirus since we never have before in either man or beast.

  • There is no reason to believe attempting to vaccinate against coronaviruses is safe because in many other instances it was proved to be not, and in some it resulted in fatality of many or all the animals under test upon rechallenge. One specific instance of wildly-enhanced disease occurred in cats, which is a species that we know can become infected by this virus.

  • There is no reason to believe that deliberately inducing the presence of binding antibodies in a person to this virus, which we knew the vaccines did before the EUAs were issued, would be safe on a durable basis. In fact we had every reason to believe that would be unsafe simply based on what that sort of antibody does on a biological basis. You would in fact be crazily homicidal to deliberately infuse only binding antibodies to this or any other virus into a person.

  • There was plenty of reason to believe the spike protein, alone, was dangerous even without the rest of the virus and this was known prior to mass-distribution of the jabs. While getting infected certainly could lead to trouble in this regard infection is not certain where vaccination, once you do it, is. Further, the dosing for the vaccines is set to produce much higher levels of spike protein (and thus antibodies) in the body than does natural infection, so any such risk from the spike would be logically expected to be higher from vaccination than natural infection.

  • As regards children there is not now and never has been an argument for giving them a Covid-19 vaccine. They do not require or benefit from any protection that it might afford on a statistical basis and since we know there are dangers, many of which we have no way to quantify and will not be able to do so for ten or more years it is a rank violation of logic and the Hippocratic Oath, never mind gross negligence and malpractice, to administer or permit to be administered same to kids.

So no, if this turns out to be an utterly insane and disastrous choice to so-state doing this was stupid in advance, as I and some others have done, was not a "wild guess."


...


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Mikah
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07 Dec 2021, 6:03 am

https://goodsciencing.com/covid/71-athl ... ovid-shot/

^ This page is tracking athlete "health incidents" with a potential connection to vaccination in 2021 including:

Heart Attack or Cardiac Arrest
Blood Clots or Thrombosis
Stroke
Irregular Heartbeat
Arrythmia
Neuropathy
Death

So far: 291 incidents, 167 dead (compared to the usual 0-4 a year)


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Mikah
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07 Dec 2021, 6:42 am

For those who can read a great deal check out:

https://www.researchgate.net/publicatio ... accination

Here's a less heavy twitter synopsis by one of the authors:
https://mobile.twitter.com/MartinNeil9/ ... 7762671628

1.Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November mortality data. We conclude that despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness this conclusion is doubtful because of a range of serious inconsistencies and anomalies.
Image

2.The data appear to show lower non-Covid mortality for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated. Odd. Also unvaccinated mortality rates peak at the same time as the vaccine rollout peaks for the age group, then falls and closes in on the vaccinated. This is not natural
Image

3. Consider what we are witnessing here. We have a vaccine whose recipients are suffering fewer non-covid deaths and hence are benefitting from improved mortality. And the mortality rates look to differ significantly from historical norms, as evidenced in mortality lifetables.

4.Correlating unvaccinated mortality with vaccine roll out we see curious patterns (dotted line the proportion of people getting first and second doses). Why are the unvaccinated dying after NOT getting the 1st dose? Why are the single dosed dying after NOT getting the 2nd dose?
Image

5.Plenty of evidence that the vaccinated who die within 14 days of vaccination may be categorized as unvaccinated. Then someone who dies within 14 days of first dose is miscategorised as unvaccinated and a similar thing could occur post second dose.

6. Miscategorization might explain odd phenomena in ONS mortality. To correct the error we can take the difference between the expected mortality for the unvaccinated and the data, and re-allocate this unexpected excess mortality to the vaccinated to get new ADJUSTED estimates.
Image

7. The early spikes in mortality that appear to occur soon after vaccination may be caused by the infirm, moribund, and severely ill receiving vaccination in priority order and thus simply appearing to hasten deaths that might otherwise have occurred later in the year.

8.Turning to Covid mortality, at face value, there appears to be clear evidence of vaccine effectiveness. But……..
Image

9.After vaccination people endure weakened immune response for a period of up to 28 days and may be in danger of infection from Covid or other infectious agent at any time in that period. It therefore makes sense to examine infection date rather than date of death registration.

10.We adjust for this using a temporal offset and see a large spike in mortality for all age groups during the early weeks, when covid prevalence was high, and when the first dose vaccination rollout peaked.
Image

11.After our offset adjustment we observe no significant benefit of the vaccines in the short term. They appear to expose people to an increased mortality, in line with what we know about immune exposure or pre-infection risks,

12.Whatever the explanations for the observed data, it is clear that the ONS data is both unreliable and misleading.
Absent any better explanation Occam’s razor would support our conclusions. The ONS data provide no reliable evidence that the vaccines reduce all-cause mortality.


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Mikah
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11 Dec 2021, 3:28 pm

An interview with one of the authors of the study above ^ (Just over 8 minutes long)


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Mikah
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13 Dec 2021, 6:17 pm

https://dailyexpose.uk/2021/12/06/pfize ... nd-deaths/

A federal judge ordered that the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) must comply with a Freedom of Information Act (FOAI) request that was filed by a government accountability group called Public Health and Medical Professionals for Transparency.

The group which has more than 30 esteemed members, including professors and scientists, asked the federal government to share any and all data that factored into the agency’s hasty decision to grant Pfizer’s experimental mRNA vaccine an emergency use authorization (EUA).

The data amounts to over a massive 329,000 documents, and in what appears an attempt to bury the information, the FDA had previously challenged the FOIA Request in court. Nevertheless, the agency was ordered to release the documents


...

Now that the courts have ordered the compliance with the FOIA stating that The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) must turn over the documents, the FDA has released the first batch related to Pfizer’s vaccine that they granted Emergency Use Authorisation

The First Batch of Documents Shows Over 1,200 Vaccine Deaths WITHIN FIRST 90 DAYS


...

A Total of 42,086 Case Reports Including 1223 Fatal Reactions

As the report only included adverse events to the vaccine that researchers considered “serious cases,” there were thousands more submissions that were left out of this data.

The report states that in all there were a total of 42,086 case reports of individuals who had an adverse reaction to Pfizer’s vaccine worldwide, with the largest number (13,739) coming from the United States and from the UK (13,404).

According to the document’s women (29,914) were over 3x more likely to experience a reaction than men (9182). A total of 1223 individuals had a fatal reaction to the experimental Pfizer vaccine.


Also hilariously:

https://www.theepochtimes.com/fda-says- ... 45410.html

FDA Says It Now Needs 75 Years to Fully Release Pfizer COVID-19 Vaccine Data


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16 Dec 2021, 8:14 am

The last video with Norman Fenton has been memory-holed/taken down. Here is a (lower quality, alas) mirror:


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