Poll suggests Dems in big trouble
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ASPartOfMe
Veteran
Joined: 25 Aug 2013
Age: 66
Gender: Male
Posts: 34,419
Location: Long Island, New York
Economic Discontent, Criticisms of Biden Lift the GOP to a Record Early Advantage
Quote:
Republican congressional candidates hold their largest lead in midterm election vote preferences in ABC News/Washington Post polls dating back 40 years, underscoring profound challenges for Democrats hoping to retain their slim majorities in Congress next year.
While a year is a lifetime in politics, the Democratic Party’s difficulties are deep; they include soaring economic discontent, a president who’s fallen 12 percentage points under water in job approval and a broad sense that the party is out of touch with the concerns of most Americans; 62 percent say so.
About as many people see the Republican Party as out of touch (58 percent), and there’s some solace for Democrats in other results. Notably, Joe Biden’s keystone policy initiatives are far more popular than he is, with 63 percent support for the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed by Congress and 58 percent support for the now-nearly $2 trillion social spending bill still under debate.
Yet, with the infrastructure bill secured, Biden gets little credit in this poll, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates.
As things stand, if the midterm elections were today, 51 percent of registered voters say they’d support the Republican candidate in their congressional district, 41 percent the Democrat. That’s the biggest lead for the Republicans in 110 ABC/Post polls to ask this question since November 1981. Indeed, it’s only the second time the GOP has held a statistically significant advantage (the other was +7 points in January 2002) and the ninth time it’s held any numerical edge at all.
Among key factors is the economy: With inflation soaring, 70 percent say it’s in bad shape, up from 58 percent last spring. While just half blame Biden directly for inflation – its worst in 31 years – his approval for handling the economy overall is down to 39 percent, off 6 points just since early September and 13 points from last spring.
Fifty-five percent instead now disapprove of Biden’s economic performance – 6 points more than Donald Trump’s highest disapproval rating on the economy, in September 2017. Just more than a year later, Trump’s Republicans lost 40 House seats in the 2018 midterms.
In terms of Biden’s job performance overall, a new low of 41 percent approve, while 53 percent disapprove – highly similar to his rating on the economy. Biden’s lost 11 points in approval since spring, accelerating with the coronavirus Delta surge and continuing with inflation.
Biden’s overall approval rating sets or matches career lows among nearly all demographic groups, with positive assessments among most down significantly from their peaks in the spring or summer. The exception is those who already were highly critical of the president, such as Republicans, conservatives and rural residents.
It’s notable that Biden gets just 35 percent approval from independents – while 63 percent of independents support the infrastructure bill and 58 percent support the $2 trillion climate change and social policy package.
Even with the GOP advantages in this poll, results on a hot-button issue in the Nov. 2 gubernatorial election in Virginia, education, are nuanced. On one hand, a plurality, 48 percent, says parents should have “a lot” of say in what schools teach their children (as opposed to some, not much or none), and this group tilts heavily Republican. It’s a view credited as a galvanizing issue for the winner in Virginia, Republican Glenn Youngkin.
On the other hand, a broad 70 percent of Americans say public schools should teach a great deal or good amount about how the history of racism affects the country today – an approach criticized by Youngkin and many Republican officeholders generally.
The 2022 vote question asks about generic Democratic or Republican candidate preferences for the U.S. House of Representatives. Also of interest is control of the closely divided U.S. Senate. Evaluating survey results in just eight states expected to have the most competitive Senate races – four currently held by Democrats, four by Republicans – raises further hope for the GOP and risk for the Democratic Party.
In these states – Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – Biden’s overall job approval rating is 33 percent, compared with 43 percent elsewhere.
Differences in congressional vote preferences show the current state of play in likely 2022 battleground groups, with substantial improvements for Republicans compared with 2018.
Demonstrating the role of the economy, those who say it’s in excellent or good shape favor Democratic candidates by 75-19 percent. But among the broad majority who say it’s in worse shape than that – not so good or poor – Republican candidates are favored, 63-28 percent.
Republican advantages in two core groups – non-college-educated white men and women, are more than 20 points broader now than in 2018. And another heartening result for Republicans is among Hispanics: They favor Democrats, but by just a 15-point margin, 49-34 percent. (This result is among all Hispanics, not just those registered to vote, for an adequate sample size. All other vote-preference results are among registered voters.) That compares to the last midterms in 2018, when, according to exit poll results, Hispanics voted Democratic by a 40-point margin
While a year is a lifetime in politics, the Democratic Party’s difficulties are deep; they include soaring economic discontent, a president who’s fallen 12 percentage points under water in job approval and a broad sense that the party is out of touch with the concerns of most Americans; 62 percent say so.
About as many people see the Republican Party as out of touch (58 percent), and there’s some solace for Democrats in other results. Notably, Joe Biden’s keystone policy initiatives are far more popular than he is, with 63 percent support for the $1 trillion infrastructure bill passed by Congress and 58 percent support for the now-nearly $2 trillion social spending bill still under debate.
Yet, with the infrastructure bill secured, Biden gets little credit in this poll, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates.
As things stand, if the midterm elections were today, 51 percent of registered voters say they’d support the Republican candidate in their congressional district, 41 percent the Democrat. That’s the biggest lead for the Republicans in 110 ABC/Post polls to ask this question since November 1981. Indeed, it’s only the second time the GOP has held a statistically significant advantage (the other was +7 points in January 2002) and the ninth time it’s held any numerical edge at all.
Among key factors is the economy: With inflation soaring, 70 percent say it’s in bad shape, up from 58 percent last spring. While just half blame Biden directly for inflation – its worst in 31 years – his approval for handling the economy overall is down to 39 percent, off 6 points just since early September and 13 points from last spring.
Fifty-five percent instead now disapprove of Biden’s economic performance – 6 points more than Donald Trump’s highest disapproval rating on the economy, in September 2017. Just more than a year later, Trump’s Republicans lost 40 House seats in the 2018 midterms.
In terms of Biden’s job performance overall, a new low of 41 percent approve, while 53 percent disapprove – highly similar to his rating on the economy. Biden’s lost 11 points in approval since spring, accelerating with the coronavirus Delta surge and continuing with inflation.
Biden’s overall approval rating sets or matches career lows among nearly all demographic groups, with positive assessments among most down significantly from their peaks in the spring or summer. The exception is those who already were highly critical of the president, such as Republicans, conservatives and rural residents.
It’s notable that Biden gets just 35 percent approval from independents – while 63 percent of independents support the infrastructure bill and 58 percent support the $2 trillion climate change and social policy package.
Even with the GOP advantages in this poll, results on a hot-button issue in the Nov. 2 gubernatorial election in Virginia, education, are nuanced. On one hand, a plurality, 48 percent, says parents should have “a lot” of say in what schools teach their children (as opposed to some, not much or none), and this group tilts heavily Republican. It’s a view credited as a galvanizing issue for the winner in Virginia, Republican Glenn Youngkin.
On the other hand, a broad 70 percent of Americans say public schools should teach a great deal or good amount about how the history of racism affects the country today – an approach criticized by Youngkin and many Republican officeholders generally.
The 2022 vote question asks about generic Democratic or Republican candidate preferences for the U.S. House of Representatives. Also of interest is control of the closely divided U.S. Senate. Evaluating survey results in just eight states expected to have the most competitive Senate races – four currently held by Democrats, four by Republicans – raises further hope for the GOP and risk for the Democratic Party.
In these states – Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – Biden’s overall job approval rating is 33 percent, compared with 43 percent elsewhere.
Differences in congressional vote preferences show the current state of play in likely 2022 battleground groups, with substantial improvements for Republicans compared with 2018.
Demonstrating the role of the economy, those who say it’s in excellent or good shape favor Democratic candidates by 75-19 percent. But among the broad majority who say it’s in worse shape than that – not so good or poor – Republican candidates are favored, 63-28 percent.
Republican advantages in two core groups – non-college-educated white men and women, are more than 20 points broader now than in 2018. And another heartening result for Republicans is among Hispanics: They favor Democrats, but by just a 15-point margin, 49-34 percent. (This result is among all Hispanics, not just those registered to vote, for an adequate sample size. All other vote-preference results are among registered voters.) That compares to the last midterms in 2018, when, according to exit poll results, Hispanics voted Democratic by a 40-point margin
_________________
Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity
It is Autism Acceptance Month
“My autism is not a superpower. It also isn’t some kind of god-forsaken, endless fountain of suffering inflicted on my family. It’s just part of who I am as a person”. - Sara Luterman
Yes, It's True, For Now at
Least, "The Dems" Are In Big Trouble
With Inflation Skyrocketing, After A Pandemic,
WHere There is Much More Demand Than Supply
And For All of those Americans Living Pay Check to
Pay Check, Lord Knows Even 50 Percent of Those MaKing
50,000 Dollars to 100,000 Dollars, Keeping Up With the "Jones
Version of Capitalism Addicts;" Yes, it Is Practically the End of the
World Still, Even More So, For Scarcity In Frigging Abundance; All These
Frigging Flavors;
Why So Salty;
Yes, When Ya
Always LiVE iN SCaRCiTY
Spending to the Max for that
Next Dopamine High of Buying Stuff,
So Much Stuff, So Much Stuff That Just
Sits in the 300,000 Dollar Home's Double
Car Garage, With the Newest Four Wheel Drive
Monster Truck That Yes Uses the Most "Dino Juice"
Financed for 0 Percent Interest for 72 Months to Afford
That 70,000 Dollar Truck, And the Other Two that Will Not Fit in
The Garage Reserved for the Next Walmart Garage Sell Inside
And Outside
too As the
Cup of
(Runneth
Over)
Walmart
CR8P, The
Core Symbol
6-Pointed Star
of American
Capitalistic
Success
And ULTiMaTE
Failure of Obtaining
Any Real Inhale of Peace
Exhale of Love Ever Comes Now Real
Naked, Whole, Complete, And Enough;
Oh, The Poverty of Not Knowing One'S Own
Self; oh, the Poverty of Never Learning to Generate
One'S Own Happiness Within Practically For Free with
An Autotelic
Flow At
Hand of
Mastery Within!
AND THAT'S NOT ALL,
THE SAME CORE GENERAL DEMOGRAPHIC
WATCHING FOX NEWS, ARGUING ON SITES
LIKE FACEBOOK, AND EVEN THE 'WRONG PLANET'
AS ANGER BECOMES AN ADDICTION AS SCIENCE SHOWS
TO THE CORTISOL, DOPAMINE, ADRENALINE, NORADRENALINE,
THAT COMES WITH THE FIGHT OR FLIGHT BASE ANIMAL SHADOW INSTINCT
FOR SURVIVAL
As Fear and Anger
Pays And Paves the
Way For the Addiction of
Anger Even More, as More and
More Folks Just Argue in Misery Loves
Suffering Even More, Never Understanding
That the Real Riches of Life Come From Generating
Happiness in Autotelic Flow Within, Meditating, Contemplating
Life, Inhaling Peace, Exhaling Love Increasing Human Love Potentials
In Complexities Even More, in Effortless Ease of Emotional Regulation
and Sensory Integration, From Head to Toe, With A Dance And Song Of
Moving,
Connecting,
And Co-Creating
This Way Practically for
Free Where All that's Left
Over Are the Riches Within
And The Fumes of Paradise to
Spread to Others; Yet of Course only For
Those With Organs Developed And Wired
To Taste And Smell Inhaling Peace and Exhaling Love
More Than
Fear and
Anger
of What's
Left Over from
The Reptile Brain
Just to Barely Get
By on the Addiction of Fear/Anger...
And Of Course, When Ya Do Stuff
For Ya Happiness That's Practically Free,
The Money Just Accumulates to the Point
Where If Gas is 50 Dollars A Gallon, Ya Just
Say Okay
Boomer
For Real
i LiVE iN The
Golden Age for Real So, SO WHAT!
It only Raises my Retirement Pay even
More Adjusted By Cost of Living That
Never Costs too
Much As Long
As You Don't Spend too Much
And Set Your Self Free Now with
The Richest of Mastering the Within...
It's Worth Noting, You Don't Have to Be
61 Years-Old to Be The Strongest, Smartest
And Happiest, You've Ever Been; Yet in Deed
iN A World
WHeRE
Money
Is God;
The EYe of the
Needle is Smaller
Than Ever And the Camel is
More Obese than ever before...
Meanwhile, the Republican Leaders Are Busily
WoRKinG to Destroy Democracy As Assessed for Real...
Meanwhile,
The Folks
In Scarcity
Are only
Worrying if they
Can/Will Pay Their
Frigging Gasoline Bill,
No Matter if they Make
50,000 Dollars A Year
or 100,000 Dollars a
Year in Close to 50 Percent of
The Cases of the Capitalism DiSEase...
Of Addiction
To All Except
For Generating
Happiness Everlasting Within Now...
Yawn, Another Ripple in the Pond;
*Eve Please Pass the Popcorn,
Got Naked Love
Business Enough,
Whole, And Complete
To attend to Next; Yet First
i Do Believe i Will Take A Casual
Dance Around the Block Clothed
The Same Way to Say Hello to
My Fellow
Boomers
Living in
A Golden
Age Wiser
Within too
Setting Them Selves
Free from the American
DiSEaSE, Sadly For Many Folks,
So Few Years Left Eternally Now
When They Finally Arrive; Yet True,
Trust Me or not; This Place Free of the
American DiSEaSE is Better in An Instant
Than Decades
in the Place
of Ignorance
And PRiSoN Before
As that Relates to
Both Church and State
Ignorance Still now As 'That
Human Pandemic' Continues to Spread too...
So Far
Away From
Naturally Loving
Naked, Complete,
Whole Enough ACTuALLY
LoViNG Free Eternally now..
Anyway, Thanks For Sharing the
Bad News, i've Evolved to the Point
As A Human Where i Can and Will Practically Change the Night into Day;
Of course That's Just A Metaphor; That i Would Have Likely Never Understood
Before in Hell
Or Purgatory Then
on Earth Within Yet Yes,
Nothing Really New Under
The Sun or Moon From the
Playbooks of Yes the Sages
of the Ages of Past And Present Now..
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/nearly-40-percent-of-americans-with-annual-incomes-over-100-000-live-paycheck-to-paycheck-301312281.html
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/culture-shrink/201508/angers-allure-are-you-addicted-anger
_________________
KATiE MiA FredericK!iI
Gravatar is one of the coolest things ever!! !
http://en.gravatar.com/katiemiafrederick
True, Science Based Studies May
Be More Reliable than Polls And
Here is One Such Study That Shows
Republicans Comprise 60 Percent of
Unvaccinated Folks, And Democrats
And 'Pure Independents' Comprise
17 Percent of the Unvaccinated
For Each Of those Non-Republican
Demographics; Indeed, Republicans
Are in 'Deep Stuff' oF Deadly Ignorance
This Way As One Might Not Get the Political
Leader in Politics They Desire Yet We Don't Get
To Replace One Life
To Live With
An Excuse
Of Ignorance
Now Anymore
Than Any Other
Life Taking Circumstances of Life...
https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/press-release/unvaccinated-adults-are-now-more-than-three-times-as-likely-to-lean-republican-than-democratic/
_________________
KATiE MiA FredericK!iI
Gravatar is one of the coolest things ever!! !
http://en.gravatar.com/katiemiafrederick
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