Mona Pereth wrote:
magz wrote:
I'm sure a lot of people are plotting to assassinate Putin.
I'm sure Putin knows it, too.
How likely do you think it is that any such plot will succeed at any time in the near future?
Local commenters don't have much hope. He's extremely caucious, experienced with assassination techniques, and he's reducing people in contact with him even further. On the other side, he has very strong base of hardcore supporters.
Maybe if he loses the war... in such case, his hardcore support group would melt as they would stop seeing him as strong and imperial. But that would require losing the war first, so it's not a way to cut the war short.
Another gossip is that he might have cancer and soon die of natural causes. In such case, it's unpredicatble what comes next. The KGB/FSB circles are likely to try to hold power. They can steer further towards totalitarian imperialism or towards relative calming down and opening. Hard to predict. Probably some hybrid mix, a bit similar to Chinese approach, so the power over the population is near absolute but the money flows.
In such case, another attack in a decade or two would be very likely.
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Let's not confuse being normal with being mentally healthy.
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