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carlos55
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26 Mar 2023, 6:39 pm

NCSA give an interest breakdown on the recent rise of ASD debunking the claim of the rise being down to milder cases

https://www.ncsautism.org/blog//cdc-aut ... or-1-in-36


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ASPartOfMe
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26 Mar 2023, 10:21 pm

carlos55 wrote:
NCSA give an interest breakdown on the recent rise of ASD debunking the claim of the rise being down to milder cases

https://www.ncsautism.org/blog//cdc-aut ... or-1-in-36

They are saying more people of color are being diagnosed.


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carlos55
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27 Mar 2023, 2:45 am

Quote:
Among the 4,165 (66.7%) children with ASD with information on cognitive ability, 37.9% of them were classified as having an intellectual disability (ID) (an increase from two years prior), 23.5% had borderline ID (an increase from two years prior), and 38.6% had no ID (a decrease from two years prior)


They are saying more than a third have ID with another 23.5% borderline ID. We know from other studies this 23.5% splits in half at 18 to add on to that 37.9% leaving 49.65% of autistic people with ID.

This is rather serious since it suggests approx. 50% of these kids will be ID when they reach 18, so maybe the rise is not due to more mild cases being diagnosed.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4876598/

Quote:
However, the results of this study suggest that the concept of delay may not be meaningful for children with ASD with the lowest scores, as children with NVIQ in the ID range by age 3 were unlikely to move out of that range by age 19. Similarly, individuals who scored in the average range or above by age 3 tended to receive scores in that range at age 19, although there was inter-individual variability. The greatest variability was observed for individuals in the borderline range: only 11% retained this designation at age 19 (about half moved into the average category; the remainder moved into the ID range).


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CarlM
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27 Mar 2023, 9:59 am

The other question not answered here, is whether the rate of ID with or without ASD is also increasing. If not, then either there is a greater co-morbidity group or milder ASD with ID is being diagnosed.

Here is a study showing the rate of ID has not been increasing, but the rate of co-morbidity has been growing.
Trends in the prevalence of autism spectrum disorder, cerebral palsy, hearing loss, intellectual disability, and vision impairment, metropolitan atlanta, 1991-2010


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