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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: New monitor, tiny problem with it... |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 25 Aug 2014, 10:34 pm
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Replies: 2
Views: 941
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| Try a different video player program. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Artficial Intelligence today |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 24 Aug 2014, 7:25 am
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Replies: 22
Views: 2,988
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RetroGamer87 wrote: Sometimes predicting the future makes for self fulfilling prophecies.
This is a feature, not a bug. This is the single most useful function of futurism. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Artficial Intelligence today |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 24 Aug 2014, 4:33 am
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Replies: 22
Views: 2,988
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| Surely a sentient machine would be useless. Isn't the point of making machines do tedious work that they won't get bored? Why create a machine that's capable of becoming bored? That would put us back to square one. What happens when the robots become unionized? Sentience doesn't necessarily imply '... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Re: Watching TV Shows & Films Online |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 11 Aug 2014, 3:32 am
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Replies: 3
Views: 838
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Er, yes? For one particular definition of the word 'pirate', anyway...
This is not a reason to start wearing an eyepatch. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 03 Aug 2014, 5:33 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| yes, I deleted my 'flawed' analogy. thank you for pointing that out. I meant to add this ... Weighted only works if you play a lot of hands, then the fact that 61% of the time you still win some money on a loss -- changes the decision making to favor not surrendering. But if you are not around to s... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 03 Aug 2014, 5:21 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| Consider a choice between the following two options in a one-shot (not Blackjack) game: a) 50% to win $1000 and 50% to win $999. b) 50% to win $1000 and 50% to win nothing. By your logic, there is no reason to have any preference between these choices. I have no idea what "one shot" is, however it ... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 03 Aug 2014, 4:44 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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Consider a choice between the following two options in a one-shot (not Blackjack) game:
a) 50% to win $1000 and 50% to win $999.
b) 50% to win $1000 and 50% to win nothing.
By your logic, there is no reason to have any preference between these choices. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 03 Aug 2014, 4:25 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| You cut off the other 61% from choice a. You can't do that and still calculate an accurate expected value. 39% to win means a 61% to lose. It should be obvious that when the second hand loses it cannot be the maximum expectancy. Here is it is .. it is not relevant as you will see ... E(c) = .61 * 5... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 03 Aug 2014, 4:05 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| You cut off the other 61% from choice a. You can't do that and still calculate an accurate expected value. If I understand this right, and correct me if I don't, this is the correct way to do it: Two possible outcomes: a. a 39% chance to walk out of the casino with 250% winning of total bet on both ... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 02 Aug 2014, 7:10 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| Define 'winning expectancy'. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Is it just me? |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 29 Jul 2014, 4:03 am
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Replies: 42
Views: 3,071
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lemmyd95 wrote: I wouldn't get comfortable with a chip-controlled car, it can always malfunction.
It doesn't need perfect safety, it just needs to be safer than a human driver. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 25 Jul 2014, 5:34 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| As I said in the edit of my last post, this all depends on what exactly your goals in playing are, and your existing resources. |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 25 Jul 2014, 4:30 am
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| I'm pretty sure the optimal strategy for playing multiple hands as a single event is to play each hand individually based on probability. I showed an example above where it is not :x No, you've actually played both hands individually based on probability followed by a mathematical rationalization. ... |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Multiple hand "single event" probability blackjack |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 22 Jul 2014, 9:48 pm
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Replies: 37
Views: 2,461
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| Why should the optimal policy for Hand 2 be conditional on Hand 1? |
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Forum: Computers, Math, Science, and Technology Topic: Did you would o undergone genetic modification? |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 01 Dec 2013, 10:14 pm
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Replies: 7
Views: 840
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| So long as there were no negative side effects, I'd be all over this. |
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Forum: Politics, Philosophy, and Religion Topic: What are Men for? |
| Tiranasta |
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Posted: 09 Aug 2013, 12:36 pm
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Replies: 293
Views: 46,821
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| Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. "A voice for men is a rape apologist site" is not an extraordinary claim. http://manboobz.com/2013/07/12/the-dont-be-that-girl-poster-controversy-in-edmonton-and-a-voice-for-mens-history-of-rape-apologia/ Where's the apology there? http://en.wiki... |
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