Researchers pan blood test for autism as premature

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ASPartOfMe
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05 Mar 2019, 2:35 am

https://www.spectrumnews.org/news/researchers-pan-blood-test-autism-premature-clinical-use/

Quote:
Doctors can now order a blood test that its makers say may help flag autism, but experts say the test is not appropriate for use in clinics. The test may even delay children’s diagnoses, according to one expert, and at an added expense to parents.

Wisconsin-based Stemina Biomarker Discovery, made the test available 1 November. The test measures proportions of blood metabolites and is based on a September study funded by Stemina1. The company’s staff declined to provide sales figures but say they receive, on average, one inquiry a day from interested doctors.

The promise of a biological test for autism has long interested — but eluded — scientists. Still, although Stemina’s test may be useful as a research tool, experts say, the evidence so far does not support its use for screening for or diagnosing autism.

“As a researcher, I think this work is really interesting and worth continuing to pursue; as a clinician, I can’t think of a situation where I would send this test,” says Jeremy Veenstra-VanderWeele, a child psychiatrist and professor of psychiatry at Columbia University.

The test is intended to identify children as young as 18 months who should be evaluated for autism, not to diagnose them with the condition. Clinicians would send a child’s blood sample to Stemina, which would then return the results within two weeks. The test results are scored only as ‘positive’ — flagging the child for further evaluation — or ‘negative.’ A negative result doesn’t preclude a child from having autism, however, so parents would still need to follow up with a specialist.

Clinical tests such as this one do not require approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, but they do need to be approved by individual states, some of which have more stringent standards than others. Stemina’s test is approved for use in 48 states and approval is pending in the 2 others, Donley says. It is not yet covered by insurance, however, and it costs $750. That is a steep price, given that the test does not provide definite answers, experts say.

“There is such a big need, and parents are desperate for anything, so I feel like if people are jumping into commercialization, it’s not necessarily driven by the science,” says Maria Chahrour, assistant professor of genetics and neuroscience at the University of Texas Southwestern in Dallas.

The September study is based on data from the Children’s Autism Metabolome Project, which is intended to include 1,100 children. This project is exploring the idea that some autistic people have abnormalities in their metabolic pathways. The work was published in Biological Psychiatry.

Led by David Amaral, director of research at the University of California, Davis MIND Institute, the study team analyzed blood samples from 516 autistic children and 164 typical children aged 18 months to 4 years. About 17 percent of the autistic children have unusual ratios of amino acids — the building blocks of proteins — in their blood, the team found. These ratios correctly identified 94 percent of the children in this group as having autism.

Stemina’s website says the test identifies about 30 percent of children with autism overall, but this figure is based in part on unpublished data, according to the company’s officials.

To be useful, the test would need to distinguish autistic children from those who have closely related conditions, such as attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. The company has not validated the data in these groups, however.

The researchers initially intended to analyze blood from 500 children with conditions other than autism. Amaral says 95 such children signed up for the study — too few for meaningful analysis. The September publication alludes to this group but does not describe it in detail. (Amaral declined to comment on the test’s launch but says he played no role in its commercialization.)

Some experts take issue with this omission.

Asked about these criticisms, Donley says recruiting children in this group was more expensive and difficult than the researchers had anticipated, and they do not intend to recruit any more.

Critics of the test cite other concerns. For example, they say, the researchers did not do enough to make sure the participants in the control group do not have autism. (The researchers screened 65 of the 164 controls for autism, flagged 9 for further evaluation and ultimately diagnosed 4.)

Stemina is raising money to test a dietary supplement in a subset of children from the study. Its researchers are also analyzing additional panels of blood metabolites in the participants.


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Trogluddite
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05 Mar 2019, 7:02 pm

Quote:
These ratios correctly identified 94 percent of the children in this group as having autism.

And what proportion of the people not in this group had similar ratios?

Quote:
based in part on unpublished data

Oh, there they are!

Without knowing the false-positive rate, the 94% figure is just meaningless cherry-picking. Autism is a low-prevalence condition; most estimates are below 2% of the population. A false-positive rate of only a few percent would result in far more false positives than true ones when applied to randomly selected subjects, such that a positive test is more likely to be wrong than right (the base rate fallacy). It's the oldest trick in the book for these claims of "accurate" screening tests. No doubt the people who like to fleece $$$ from panicked parents won't mind too much, though.


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SocOfAutism
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06 Mar 2019, 12:27 pm

Get out of line, guys! :roll:

Anyone else deeply disturbed that anyone is TRYING to develop a blood test for autism? Like they REALLY need to identify you?



sly279
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07 Mar 2019, 10:57 pm

SocOfAutism wrote:
Get out of line, guys! :roll:

Anyone else deeply disturbed that anyone is TRYING to develop a blood test for autism? Like they REALLY need to identify you?

It’s quite disturbing.
Imagine if they developed a blood test for gay people. The backlash would be high.


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kraftiekortie
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08 Mar 2019, 6:36 am

There’s many “autisms”. I really doubt they will develop a blood test that will be absolutely diagnostic for autism.