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twoshots
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09 Jun 2009, 5:16 pm

ruveyn wrote:
There are many reputable scientists who do not consider the case for CO2 causing the temperature increases as established in a rock solid manner. Now it may be true, but a really solid case has not been made. There are other factors: cosmic ray effects, orbital variations, variation in solar activity including flares, variations in the inclination of the axis of rotation. Until these factors are integrated into a well formed solid theory of climatic practices we are stuck with computer models.

Point taken about nonlinear systems, but where are these scientists who dispute anthropogenic global warming?


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ruveyn
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09 Jun 2009, 5:28 pm

twoshots wrote:
Point taken about nonlinear systems, but where are these scientists who dispute anthropogenic global warming?


You could start here:

http://blog.heritage.org/2009/06/03/glo ... c-dissent/

ruveyn



Michjo
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09 Jun 2009, 5:32 pm

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So there are many unanswered questions: like why did temperatures rise when there was not sufficient human activity to affect them. Why did temperatures fall during a period when CO2 effluence increased (during the so-called Little Ice Age) in Europe. A solid case for anthropogenic climate change has not been made.

You answered this question with your own post.



twoshots
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09 Jun 2009, 5:44 pm

ruveyn wrote:
twoshots wrote:
Point taken about nonlinear systems, but where are these scientists who dispute anthropogenic global warming?


You could start here:

http://blog.heritage.org/2009/06/03/glo ... c-dissent/

ruveyn

I see dissent, but nothing terribly cogent. If there is reputable dissent, why does it not appear in peer reviewed journals, as >>>this<<< article found? Granted that is old, but there is a relative paucity of scholarly material that I've seen dragged up in defense of the "there's a scientific controversy" position.


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09 Jun 2009, 7:03 pm

*Sigh*

See this is exactly what I mean. Even when I try to keep the discussion ON TOPIC, it ALWAYS goes off topic. Guys... really, did you read the original post, and then my follow-up post? If you haven't please do, then post a comment related to it.

Thank you.


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10 Jun 2009, 12:00 pm

ruveyn wrote:
The underlying physical processes to climate is chaotic dynamics which is no where as well understood as say quantum physics where the linear laws of superposition hold.


CO2 have properties. Applied in enough quantity and it will change the effect on the planet regardless. Yes, forest fires and animal explosions generate lots of CO2, but the amount of forest that can absorb all that CO2 is diminishing rapidly.


ruveyn wrote:
There are many reputable scientists who do not consider the case for CO2 causing the temperature increases as established in a rock solid manner.


And there are many scientists around the world that are not paid by the republican party that does not agree.


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10 Jun 2009, 3:50 pm

twoshots wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
There are many reputable scientists who do not consider the case for CO2 causing the temperature increases as established in a rock solid manner. Now it may be true, but a really solid case has not been made. There are other factors: cosmic ray effects, orbital variations, variation in solar activity including flares, variations in the inclination of the axis of rotation. Until these factors are integrated into a well formed solid theory of climatic practices we are stuck with computer models.

Point taken about nonlinear systems, but where are these scientists who dispute anthropogenic global warming?


Passing comment here:

Quote:
But any extra cosmic rays can have consequences. If the trend continues, astronauts on the Moon or en route to Mars would get a higher dose of space radiation. Robotic space probes and satellites in high Earth orbit face an increased risk of instrument malfunctions and reboots due to cosmic ray strikes. Also, there are controversial studies linking cosmic ray fluxes to cloudiness and climate change on Earth. That link may be tested in the years ahead.


from http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2008 ... arwind.htm


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ruveyn
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10 Jun 2009, 4:12 pm

Ichinin wrote:

And there are many scientists around the world that are not paid by the republican party that does not agree.


You might find this interesting:

http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2008/08/r ... -intl.html

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10 Jun 2009, 5:06 pm

ruveyn wrote:
You might find this interesting:

http://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2008/08/r ... -intl.html

ruveyn



Quote:
About two thirds of the presenters and question-askers were hostile to, even dismissive of, the IPCC (International panel on climate change) and the idea that the Earth's climate was responding to human influences.


And who are these scientists? Meterologists or "oogy-woogy i'll throw my bones up in the air"-weather predictors? What country did they come from? What corporations did they work for? What is their experience/background?

Does not say.


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10 Jun 2009, 7:39 pm

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Meterologists or "oogy-woogy i'll throw my bones up in the air"-weather predictors


Same thing? :P

Why dont bookies take bets on weather?


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ruveyn
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10 Jun 2009, 8:37 pm

Ichinin wrote:

Does not say.


For starters look at the list of names on the bottom of this:

http://www.klimamanifest-von-heiligenro ... man-e.html

and this:
long link


I will dig up more names of dissenting scientists. Unfortunetly I can't find a single list on the web thus far, but I shall keep looking.

and this has some more names:
long link


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11 Jun 2009, 4:15 pm

ruveyn wrote:
Ichinin wrote:

Does not say.


For starters look at the list of names on the bottom of this:
<snip>




First list - is just a list of names. Not credentials.

About the second list: Sorry, but titles like "Economist", "Molecular scientist", "Electrical engineer" are pretty irrelevant to the discussion.

Why not bring in an doctor specialising in oncology, a scientist in criminal forensics or a software engineering professor too? Pathetic.

And you somehow forgot to highlight this name:
"Albert Jacobs, a geologist, worked in the oil industry in Canada"

Sorry, but that list have very few names/titles that actually matter.

Link to the Third list didnt work for me, but the word "Minority.Blogs" in the link could probably sum it up.


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Ichinin
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11 Jun 2009, 4:16 pm

Fuzzy wrote:
Quote:
Meterologists or "oogy-woogy i'll throw my bones up in the air"-weather predictors


Same thing? :P



Actually, supercomputers simulating the weather are way more precise than throwing bones up in the air...


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ruveyn
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11 Jun 2009, 4:35 pm

Ichinin wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
Ichinin wrote:

Does not say.


For starters look at the list of names on the bottom of this:
<snip>




First list - is just a list of names. Not credentials.



Go to a library and look up journal articles by these guys. That is the credential. If they are published in a refereed scientific journal it means that are qualified to publish. It does not necessarily mean they are right.

You asked for names. You got name. You want more, go to the indexes for the scientific publications and read the dissenting articles.

The fact of the matter is that qualified scientists who publish in genuine refereed journals dissent from the U.N. report. That means there is not consensus on the question.

And that is to be expected. We do not have, as yet, a solidly based science of climate. We have a lot of data gotten from various sources (such as ice core samples, for example) and we have computer models. What we don't have is a solid scientific theory (yet) such as we have in physics and chemistry. And that is why I hesitate to accept recommendations and policy initiatives grounded on such flimsy evidence. These guys are asking us to give up our industrial civilization based on a "chicken little" scenario. I am not ready to swear an oath of poverty on such a flimsy basis.

That being said, I am very much in favor of backing off from hydro-carbon energy sources and going to nuclear power. Why? Because being dependent on resources under the control of hostile nations puts us in danger. The less we have to depend on middle east source for our energy the stronger we shall be as a nation.

I am also in favor of integrating so-called renewable energy sources into the mix. The more non-hydrocarbon energy we have the safer and more prosperous we shall be.

At this moment there is only one high energy density alternative to hydrocarbons for energy and that is nuclear fission. Let us build reactors from coast to coast. The French ( can you imagine that -- The French!! !) generate 30 percent of their energy by nuclear fission. Why can't we?

We can also help ourselves economically by using the energy we currently have more efficiently. If we could reduce current inefficiency by as little as twenty five percent we would no longer need to depend on middle eastern sources of oil. We wast a great deal of energy which we are paying for dearly. That should stop.

The sooner we can generate more electricity than we currently need (or the sooner we can use our electricity more efficiently) the sooner we shall have the much hyped hydrogen economy.

So my stand is save money, be efficient and f*ck Gaia. Screw the environmentalists and treat our wallets and bank accounts with more respect. Doing that we shall have a kinder and cleaner environment. Cheaper is better, cheaper is cleaner and more efficient is the key to a better environment.

ruveyn



Michjo
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11 Jun 2009, 4:56 pm

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And that is to be expected. We do not have, as yet, a solidly based science of climate. We have a lot of data gotten from various sources (such as ice core samples, for example) and we have computer models. What we don't have is a solid scientific theory (yet) such as we have in physics and chemistry.

I agree, but i'd disagree with anyone who says human-made climate change doesn't exist. The question isn't wether it's there, the question is how much of an impact are we having. We might be having a 0.1% effect on natural changes, or a 15% change on natural changes. The time scale to change could be thousands of years, or it could be mere hundreds. We need to know.

Quote:
We can also help ourselves economically by using the energy we currently have more efficiently. If we could reduce current inefficiency by as little as twenty five percent we would no longer need to depend on middle eastern sources of oil. We wast a great deal of energy which we are paying for dearly. That should stop.

I agree, i think the best way to achieve change is from an economical veiw. People will change when they realise they can save money.



Ichinin
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12 Jun 2009, 5:39 am

ruveyn wrote:
Go to a library and look up journal articles by these guys. That is the credential.


Is not my job to argue that the scientist know what they are talking about. You are the one referring to them.


ruveyn wrote:
If they are published in a refereed scientific journal it means that are qualified to publish. It does not necessarily mean they are right.


Well, you got that point right. And it does not make them the RIGHT scientists to open their mouths. "Scientist" is not a generic term.


ruveyn wrote:
You asked for names. You got name. You want more, go to the indexes for the scientific publications and read the dissenting articles.


No, i asked for credentials. And since very few of the people you refer to are actual scientist with any real insight into the matter, your argument is still weak.

ruveyn wrote:
The French ( can you imagine that -- The French!! !) generate 30 percent of their energy by nuclear fission. Why can't we?


We? Oh... you're American. I also live in a country where a large percentage of the energy is produced by domestic nuclear energy.


ruveyn wrote:
So my stand is save money, be efficient and f*ck Gaia. Screw the environmentalists and treat our wallets and bank accounts with more respect. Doing that we shall have a kinder and cleaner environment. Cheaper is better, cheaper is cleaner and more efficient is the key to a better environment.


Lots of assumptions.

And No - it isnt. Cheap is capitalism. Green is not the cheapest or the most effective, but it is the greenest. I do not have a problem with capitalism as such, but it is one major contributor to environmental problems. And the major capitalistic environmental problems caused today are caused by.... (ready for it?)... China, the only "communist" country left on the planet.


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