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DeaconBlues
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14 Sep 2009, 8:15 pm

ruveyn wrote:
Jono wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
The problem is that making a mission man-safe (safe in going, landing and coming back) increases the cost by two orders of magnitude. Are the taxpayers willing to stand the cost of a manned mission to Mars which may bring back nothing of significance?

ruveyn


Although the use of in-situ resources would greatly reduce the cost. I thought NASA came up with their own design plan that includes using in-situ resources based on Robert Zubrin's proposal. That is, using the CO2 in the Martian atmosphere to manufacture oxygen for breathing, water and rocket propellant.


Where is the water on Mars. Does it exist NOW?

ruveyn

Yes. Both the north and south polar caps are made primarily of water ice; the northern cap develops a seasonal crust of dry ice about a meter thick, while the southern cap has about 8 meters of dry ice overlaying its much-thicker water ice.

There may or may not be subterranean (sub-arean?) water - the surface in many spots is of a claylike consistency, rather than being the planetary sandy desert predicted by so many scientists and SF writers (Larry Niven speculated that with the planet so dry, and no possibility of the vacuum cementing that solidifies the lunar dust, Mars would be covered in seas of fine sand!).


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Jono
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15 Sep 2009, 4:46 pm

DeaconBlues wrote:
There may or may not be subterranean (sub-arean?) water - the surface in many spots is of a claylike consistency, rather than being the planetary sandy desert predicted by so many scientists and SF writers (Larry Niven speculated that with the planet so dry, and no possibility of the vacuum cementing that solidifies the lunar dust, Mars would be covered in seas of fine sand!).


The existence of subsurface water ice has been confirmed by the Phoenix lander in north polar region. Other than at the poles, don't forget the permafrost. Ruveyn, water on Mars can't exist in the liquid state, other than maybe for short periods, because the atmospheric pressure is too low.



Prof_Pretorius
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16 Sep 2009, 8:19 am

There are no aliens.
We are alone.
Get used to it.


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ruveyn
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16 Sep 2009, 10:18 am

Prof_Pretorius wrote:
There are no aliens.
We are alone.
Get used to it.


We cannot say for sure there are no aliens. We can say for sure we have not detected or found any. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. For 2500 years the existence of atoms was speculated. It is only in the last hundred years we have hard evidence for their existence.

There is no a priori reason for supposing that some kind of life cannot exist elsewhere. We know there are extra-solar planets. Right now we can only see the big one. Eventually we should see smaller planets in the Goldilocks zone of their stars. When we find them, we can reasonably speculate that life could exist on such planets.

The best we will be able to do is detect the existence of water and carbon on other planets. This means it is quite possible for life to exist or have existed there. Unless aliens come to us and we see them plainly, it is unlikely that we will ever be able to go them (if they exist at all).

ruveyn



gbollard
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16 Sep 2009, 5:48 pm

ruveyn wrote:
The best we will be able to do is detect the existence of water and carbon on other planets. This means it is quite possible for life to exist or have existed there. Unless aliens come to us and we see them plainly, it is unlikely that we will ever be able to go them (if they exist at all).


So you're discounting the possibility of silicon based lifeforms? :lol:



ruveyn
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16 Sep 2009, 6:35 pm

gbollard wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
The best we will be able to do is detect the existence of water and carbon on other planets. This means it is quite possible for life to exist or have existed there. Unless aliens come to us and we see them plainly, it is unlikely that we will ever be able to go them (if they exist at all).


So you're discounting the possibility of silicon based lifeforms? :lol:


It is a stretch. Silicon does not quite have the right chemistry. Silicon does not like to form double or triple bonds to the extent that carbon does. I assume if silicon life forms exist, they conditions under which they came to be would be much different from our planet.

ruveyn



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18 Sep 2009, 6:29 am

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DeaconBlues
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18 Sep 2009, 9:43 am

Prof_Pretorius wrote:
There are no aliens.
We are alone.
Get used to it.

The great John W. Campbell, late editor of Astounding Science Fiction and its successor, Analog Science Fiction/Science Fact, was asked to define "intelligent alien". Such an alien, in Campbell's words, "thinks as well as a human - but not like a human."

In short, we are the aliens. :)


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ruveyn
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18 Sep 2009, 3:18 pm

DeaconBlues wrote:
Prof_Pretorius wrote:
There are no aliens.
We are alone.
Get used to it.

The great John W. Campbell, late editor of Astounding Science Fiction and its successor, Analog Science Fiction/Science Fact, was asked to define "intelligent alien". Such an alien, in Campbell's words, "thinks as well as a human - but not like a human."

In short, we are the aliens. :)


John Campbell had a rule for -Astounding-. There were to be no stories in which aliens are smarter than humans.

ruveyn



Fuzzy
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18 Sep 2009, 4:12 pm

ruveyn wrote:
DeaconBlues wrote:
Prof_Pretorius wrote:
There are no aliens.
We are alone.
Get used to it.

The great John W. Campbell, late editor of Astounding Science Fiction and its successor, Analog Science Fiction/Science Fact, was asked to define "intelligent alien". Such an alien, in Campbell's words, "thinks as well as a human - but not like a human."

In short, we are the aliens. :)


John Campbell had a rule for -Astounding-. There were to be no stories in which aliens are smarter than humans.

ruveyn


The terms 'as well' and 'smarter' can be understood as not equal. I think his rule was: smarter in the sense of "the humans always win". I have haven known many people with a possibly 80 IQ that were more fundamentally practical than people with 140 IQ. I take 'as well' to mean: achieves the same technological level. Both sides have space ships, guns, et cetera.

Do we both agree that a work horse beats a race horse over long distance? A race with an average IQ of ninety and a singular dedication would beat the pants off a goal deficit race with an IQ of 130.

Does your pragmatic mind agree? Possession is nine tenths of the law, and effort is 90% of success.


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pakled
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19 Sep 2009, 7:09 pm

Just noticed; it's extra terrestrial; no hyphen. They just mean more of what's already here...;)



ruveyn
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19 Sep 2009, 7:28 pm

Fuzzy wrote:

Do we both agree that a work horse beats a race horse over long distance? A race with an average IQ of ninety and a singular dedication would beat the pants off a goal deficit race with an IQ of 130.

Does your pragmatic mind agree? Possession is nine tenths of the law, and effort is 90% of success.


Most of the necessary tasks are done by less than brilliant people. But most of the New Stuff is invented by geniuses with talent.

It takes all kinds to keep the sheebang running.

ruveyn



Fuzzy
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19 Sep 2009, 8:45 pm

ruveyn wrote:
Fuzzy wrote:

Do we both agree that a work horse beats a race horse over long distance? A race with an average IQ of ninety and a singular dedication would beat the pants off a goal deficit race with an IQ of 130.

Does your pragmatic mind agree? Possession is nine tenths of the law, and effort is 90% of success.


Most of the necessary tasks are done by less than brilliant people. But most of the New Stuff is invented by geniuses with talent.

It takes all kinds to keep the sheebang running.

ruveyn


Incremental invention and serendipity are much more potent forces than applied genius.


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ruveyn
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20 Sep 2009, 7:23 am

Fuzzy wrote:

Incremental invention and serendipity are much more potent forces than applied genius.


Not necessarily. Working incrementally, we never would have gotten to the General Theory of Relativity and to GPS.

Working incrementally, it is unlikely that we would have gotten Maxwell's Equations, that is the equations of the electromagnetic field, in the 19th century. It would have taken much long. Maxwell and Faraday did very counter intuitive stuff.

ruveyn



DeaconBlues
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25 Sep 2009, 10:37 am

Well, by "we", I meant us Aspies - we do, generally, "think as well as a human, but not like a human." :)

More confirmation - Martian permafrost!


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showman616
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25 Sep 2009, 4:14 pm

I suspect that we are not alone.
But for practical purposes- we are alone.

Intelligent being are so thinly dispearsed in the univese that they never contact each other.

Life is rare. intelligent life- a million times rareer.
I suspect that only one inhabited planet in a thousand has life that got above the bacterial stage. Earth itsself took over 3billion years to get beyond bacteria, and it took almost four billion years to evolve multicellar life big enough to see with naked eye.

Once multicellurity has evolved intelligence probably is a slow but straight shot.
After the appearance of multicellurity on earh - it only took 600 million years to get to us.
And if we screw up and wipe ourselves out ( or the supervolcano in yellowstone, or an asteroid gets us) the raccoons will step in and take our ecological niche and evolve into a new terran civilization.