Interesting Discussion of the Situation in Iran

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Listening to this interview, I get the impression that the situation in Iran is dire. This discussion indicates Iran is rapidly moving towards a government by Military Junta. The hopes and aspirations of the Greens (Mousavi supporters/reformists) are in a firm position to be crushed under the thuggery of million-strong militamen and the Revolutionary Guard.

The popular protests (100 000s strong) don't look like a serious challenge to a million strong militia, not to mentioned the combined effect of the pro-Ahmadinejad Revolutionary Guard and police. Unarmed civillians, as noble as the imagery may appear, seldom stand strong against armed thugs backed by the state.

Foreign anatagonism looks as if it will merely radicalize the Ahmadinejadists and miliary-miliia factions. Foreign military intervention I can see leading to pure chaos.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCF3d-8AAtU&feature=channel_page[/youtube]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xnce_-DEGZo&feature=channel_page[/youtube]

Popular protests can stop military coups- there was an attempted military coup in 1991 in the Soviet Union, complete with jamming communications and media, but protesters stood outside the Parliament building and defended their elected representatives against usurpers. After a brief standoff, most of the military defected, unwilling to fire on their own people, and the coup was defeated.

A similar situation is possible in Iran. Just a reminder that the victor is not always the one with the most guns. Still, I think the situation in Iran is more likely to play out like the situation in Zimbabwe- perhaps Mousavi will be given some government post as a consolation prize, but Ahmadinejad will retain real power.

Soviet Vice-President Gennady Yanayev, Defence Minister Dmitri Yazov, Interior Minister Boris Pugo, KGB head Vladimir Kryuchkov, Prime Minister Valentin Pavlov, and the rest of the State of Emergency Committee deposed Gorbachev in order to prevent the signing of the new Union Treaty that would have renamed the country the Union of Sovereign States... and heavily decentralised the country... this followed the March 17 1991 referendum where Soviet citizens voted to preserve the USSR. Since then Yeltsin went out of his way to usurp the powers of the Soviet state and Gorbachev was giving in to these people.

At any rate, there was a perception by many that the State of Emergency Committee represented a rotten order - even though many wanted the security and supported it quietly. In the case of Iran, Musavi represents a faction in Iran that is considered to be corrupt and run by ostentatiously wealthy people...

In the end, it was the elite that succumbed for the desire to be part of the Western elites and helped tilt things to Yeltsin... one has to wonder if the part of the Iranian elite of similar opinion is able to defeat the Revolutionary Guards and the like.

One tyrant versus another. Same old story. Same old naive masses.

Why should we care what Iran does?

Do we care about Mongolia or Peru or New Zealand or South Africa or Bolivia or Nigeria?

So why is it such a big deal what Iran does or doesn't do?

Too late - Israel has nuclear weapons. "The Arabs have the oil but we have the matches", as they say... now these are maniacs of the first order.

The Islamic Republic of Iran is a model of sanity when compared to the maniacs who, for instance, threatened to bomb Saudi oil fields to retaliate against a Saudi peace initiative in 1981.

"don't want no Ayatollah" topic

Ah, Jimmy Buffet.

more than two dozen have died in the protests that followed the "election." This is sham-ocracy; the pretense of choice of government. that "almond-jihad" fellow must have known all along.

Warning , disturbing image and video of a dead person:

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/us_worl ... _iran.html