Covert operations maybe, but I don't think a war will even be necessary.
Here is what I base my decision on:
1. The launch of the nuclear reactor in Bushehr, with the spent nuclear fuel going to Russia to prevent Iran from using it other than for the medical reactor fuel it says it is for.
2. The post-election chaos in 2009 exposed the great divides between the majority of the Iranian people (who are mostly younger, and have no memory of the Shah's regime), and the ruling clerics.
3. Israel may launch a pre-emptive strike against the nuclear facilities, as they did with the Osiraq reactor in Iraq in 1981.
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