I think it's perfectly reasonable that I simply rely on climatologists to make the appropriate measurements and render their opinions based on several decades of dedicated study. It is not a guarantee of being right, but they are an appropriate authority.
Furthermore, I think that it's perfectly rational for me to invest more trust in a politician who uses appropriate scientific authority in policy-making, regardless of his personal views. I find it a lot easier to believe that such a person actually has the best interests of his constituents in mind.
ripped wrote:
LKL wrote:
If you want to know about the accuracy of global climate theory, look at the predictions that were being made 10 or 20 years ago. It's kind of scary not only how accurate most of it was, but also how it's all happening on an accelerated timetable.
World's top climate scientists confess: Global warming is just QUARTER what we thought - and computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong.
Leaked report reveals the world has warmed at quarter the rate claimed by IPCC in 2007.
Scientists accept their computers may have exaggerated.
Source:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... wrong.html
Do I really need to respond to someone who cites the Daily Mail? DO YOU NOT REALIZE THAT THIS IS A TABLOID???
In response to the chart pointing out the Eemian warm period, it doesn't make a difference, really. The Eemian warm period had consequences for life on this planet, just as did the following glacial period. And no, these are not predictable cycles. To the naked eye, they may at first look to be, but when you look more closely, you can see that peak-to-peak and peak-to-valley differences are greatly variable, as are their shapes.
Each of these climatic events had causes of one kind or another, be they volcanic events, continental drift, speciation events leading to a vast proliferation of some carbon-gobbling weed/algae, and so on. It is true that we live in a perilous cosmos where bad things CAN happen to us and very suddenly.
However, although we cannot control everything, carbon emissions from human industry is something that we do have control over, and just as we may not be able to stop ourselves from eventually dying of SOMETHING but CAN eliminate a carcinogenic tumor today, buying us a little more time, we are also capable of controlling our carbon emissions and our bladders. If you're not pissing yourself just because you can, then you can rein in your carbon emissions.
Just because a tornado might hit your house tomorrow doesn't mean you have to live in squalor and filth today. Clean up your room, child. If we can avert disaster for the present, then we might actually build up our technology sufficiently that we can figure out how to offset or avert the next super-volcono eruption, which could happen at any instant.