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Inuyasha
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08 Aug 2011, 2:21 am

91 wrote:
An interesting math error though:
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44051683

I still prefer Warren Buffet's statement on the subject, America deserves a AAAA rating;
http://www.novinite.com/view_news.php?id=130921

Not sure who is right though as I am not an economist.


If we are to believe cnbc on this, and quite frankly I don't. We are borrowing 43 cents on every dollar, that is unsustainable.



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08 Aug 2011, 8:29 am

Dox47 wrote:
LKL wrote:
You're claiming that, "Drill, baby, drill!" Palin is tough on oil companies?


Actually, she was. She renegotiated deals with the oil companies that forced them to pay millions, if not billions more to the state of Alaska than they had been previously. Alaskans actually receive a check from the state for their cut of the oil business, kind of like tribal members living on reservations with casinos. Thanks to Sarah Palin, they get bigger checks. Her record in Alaska is very different than the way she's come off on the national scene, there she was more of a bipartisan reformer than a partisan warrior.


This is true. But would she have been a darling of the right if they knew that she went after big oil? Campaign managers were quick to sweep this one under the carpet.



psychohist
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08 Aug 2011, 9:50 am

Orwell wrote:
Are you honestly delusional enough to think the US could default on its debt without having its credit rating downgraded?

Net interest paid by the U.S. government was $197 billion in the most recent full year. Tax revenues were $2162 billion. The U.S. could easily have stayed current on its debt without a debt ceiling increase, by covering interest payments from tax revenues.

Again, $197 billion < $2162 billion.

Perhaps you should try learning how to do basic arithmetic before accusing anyone of being delusional.



Last edited by psychohist on 08 Aug 2011, 9:55 am, edited 1 time in total.

psychohist
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08 Aug 2011, 9:54 am

simon_says wrote:
And it was the Republicans who wouldn't agree to any revenue.

To the contrary, Boehner agreed to $800 billion in revenue increases from closing tax loopholes as part of a $4 trillion ($4000 billion) deficit reduction package. It was Obama who reneged on that agreement, not Boehner.



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08 Aug 2011, 10:25 am

visagrunt wrote:
wcoltd wrote:
This downgrade should have happened a long time ago. The US bond rating should be BB- at the highest. The U.S. is in far worse shape than many people make it out to be. These rating agencies are a farce. The sooner they downgrade the better we will be in the long run. All the high ratings do is allow the U.S. government to borrow and waste more money. The debt and all the unfunded obligations are the problem.


I think you have allowed yourself to be a little uncritical. Sovereign debt become risky when a national government's external debt starts climbing towards the 60% of GDP range.

What's the United States external debt: about 32% of GDP. Now, that's not to say that intra-government and domesticly held public debt are not serious issues--but money that the US government owes itself, or owes its own economy is a much lower risk to ongoing fiscal viability.


What about inflation? how much of the bonds are held externally and owned by the Federal Reserve. Having a country where the largest holder of debt is its own central bank tells you more about the country than any other indicator. It is worse prognosis than having a high percentage of ownership abroad.

Not to mention, the total debt to GDP - which is in excess of 380% is probably the best metric to determine the countries ability to pay back debts. No country has ever survived a 380% debt to GDP and not had some MAJOR crisis. The statistic is far worse when you consider the impact on the economy - what happens when we stop going futher into debt?
The GDP contracts and makes the ratio even worse.

The Federal Reserve is in the process of setting up the largest inflationary collapse in the history of the world. When Breton Woods is abandoned, the value of the dollar will dissapear. This as a direct result of the incestious relationship between the government, the Federal Reserve and the financial industry.



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08 Aug 2011, 10:30 am

psychohist wrote:
To the contrary, Boehner agreed to $800 billion in revenue increases from closing tax loopholes as part of a $4 trillion ($4000 billion) deficit reduction package. It was Obama who reneged on that agreement, not Boehner.


I'm well aware of the Republican talking points. At least you aren't fabricating quotes again here. But the deal was never that close according to Boehner.

Boehner wrote:
The deal was never reached, and was never really close


Boehner walked away with lots of time on the clock. That's not how you negotiate in good faith. He was bending to pressure because the Republicans would not go along with revenue increases. Instead he quit and spent the rest of the week conducting a political sideshow by crafting an entirely Republican plan that had no hope of passing the Senate and WH. And it still took him three tries to pass it with his own Republicans. An absolute waste of time that would have been better spent in negotiations.

Many republicans have signed anti-tax pledges. They've shackled themselves to them and pretend they can't budge. But divided government requires negotiation, not tantrums and ideological purity. He says he got 98% of what he wanted. That's not being reasonable.



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08 Aug 2011, 12:14 pm

simon_says wrote:
But the deal was never that close according to Boehner.

The deal was never that close because Geithner and Obama's other lackeys never came up with more than about $1000 billion in cuts out of the promised $3200 billion.

Quote:
Boehner walked away with lots of time on the clock. That's not how you negotiate in good faith.

Boehner walked away when Obama reneged on the agreed $800 billion in revenues, demanding $1200 billion instead. Once Obama's bad faith had been shown, it was rather pointless to continue negotiations.

The deal that did happen got approved by the center, and voted against by both extremes - half of the Tea Party caucus and half of the Progressive Democrats. It was about as much of a political compromise as any bill ever is.



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08 Aug 2011, 1:29 pm

Yes, yes, and he also promised everyone a pony and Boehner cried when he didn't get it. Both sides are spinning a version of events and both sides had pressures from forces in Congress. Whatever way you slice it Obama was discussing entitlement cuts and spending cuts that greatly outnumbered any revenue enhancement, at the risk of upsetting his own base. The bipartisan gang of six (including conservatives) in the Senate wanted even more revenue. They were elected as well. They get to say something too as much as it might hurt your feelings. It's not personal.

What is true beyond the spin is that the House walked away a week early because the R caucus didn't want revenue enhancers. Most Republicans have signed the no tax pledge. They are crying about the potential for revenue in the super congress plan as we speak. They are inflexible.

S&P noted the resistance to taxes. And they also commented on the use of the debt ceiling as a "political chip". And they didn't like it.



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08 Aug 2011, 3:14 pm

There would be no debt ceiling debate if we hadn't upped spending in the first place. The blame can be placed equally between Bush and Obama. Obama has spent nearly as much in 3 years as Bush did in 8. Blaming the downgrade on the debate is honestly the most laughable thing I've ever heard. I find myself having a hard time getting mad at S&P about this downgrade, I mean realistically we're not going to be paying this debt off any time soon and probably never will. In the year 2000 we ran a 237 billion dollar surplus(the largest in US history) and without crunching the numbers, that would take about 60 years of that to pay off the debt starting now. Our trillion deficits don't seem to have any end in and that's just piling on more and more debt. These supposedly huge cuts we made over the next decade are literally nothing. Instead of adding something like 15 trillion in new debt, we'll only 13 trillion. Real default seems inevitable.



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08 Aug 2011, 3:22 pm

psychohist wrote:
Orwell wrote:
Are you honestly delusional enough to think the US could default on its debt without having its credit rating downgraded?

Net interest paid by the U.S. government was $197 billion in the most recent full year. Tax revenues were $2162 billion. The U.S. could easily have stayed current on its debt without a debt ceiling increase, by covering interest payments from tax revenues.

Again, $197 billion < $2162 billion.

Perhaps you should try learning how to do basic arithmetic before accusing anyone of being delusional.

You're kidding? OK, let's just immediately shut down the entire government, including the military. Then we can continue making payments on the debt.


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08 Aug 2011, 3:42 pm

Orwell wrote:
psychohist wrote:
Orwell wrote:
Are you honestly delusional enough to think the US could default on its debt without having its credit rating downgraded?

Net interest paid by the U.S. government was $197 billion in the most recent full year. Tax revenues were $2162 billion. The U.S. could easily have stayed current on its debt without a debt ceiling increase, by covering interest payments from tax revenues.

Again, $197 billion < $2162 billion.

Perhaps you should try learning how to do basic arithmetic before accusing anyone of being delusional.

You're kidding? OK, let's just immediately shut down the entire government, including the military. Then we can continue making payments on the debt.


We don't have to shut down the military either.

We would have enough to meet obligations, it's just every pet project of the President and Congress would end up being closed down.



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08 Aug 2011, 3:51 pm

jacoby wrote:
Blaming the downgrade on the debate is honestly the most laughable thing I've ever heard.


You can laugh at S&P but I don't know that it helps.

Quote:
"We lowered our long-term rating on the U.S. because we believe that the prolonged controversy over raising the statutory debt ceiling and the related fiscal policy debate indicate that further near-term progress containing the growth in public spending, especially on entitlements, or on reaching an agreement on raising revenues is less likely than we previously assumed and will remain a contentious and fitful process."


Quote:
"The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as America's governance and policy making becoming less stable, less effective, and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in the debate over fiscal policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our view, the differences between political parties have proven to be extraordinarily difficult to bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting agreement fell well short of the comprehensive fiscal consolidation program that some proponents had envisaged until quite recently."



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08 Aug 2011, 4:43 pm

The fact that we've piled such an enormous amount of debt is still the ultimate cause for the downgrade. I don't buy that the debate is the issue, you will never get any meaningful reform unless you have debate. If you actually want compromise, debate is necessary. It doesn't just happen spontaneously.

For what I know, Obama is still lobbying for more spending so forgive me and the rest of the sane people in this country to not be so enthusiastic about raising taxes. I wouldn't even consider a tax increase until government gets it's spending in order. Maybe when we have a balanced budget and end these wars, you can debate raising taxes for specific projects. Otherwise, whats the point? Give them more money, they just spend more on bombs and bailouts.



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08 Aug 2011, 5:05 pm

Blue_Jackets_fan wrote:
Thanks alot, Lord Obamort. Now we can collapse like Greece and Italy.


Is there some initiation into the conservative Republican club that entails killing the parts of your brain that have knowledge on the monetary system of the US? You know, the fact that unlike Greece or Italy, American PRINTS ITS OWN MONEY??! !

The ignorance of conservatives and right-libertarians who want deflationary policies disgusts me.


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08 Aug 2011, 5:18 pm

Master_Pedant wrote:
Blue_Jackets_fan wrote:
Thanks alot, Lord Obamort. Now we can collapse like Greece and Italy.


Is there some initiation into the conservative Republican club that entails killing the parts of your brain that have knowledge on the monetary system of the US? You know, the fact that unlike Greece or Italy, American PRINTS ITS OWN MONEY??! !

The ignorance of conservatives and right-libertarians who want deflationary policies disgusts me.


:roll: Yes printing 14.3 trillion dollars will so help the economy, because hyper-inflation is such a good thing. :roll:



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08 Aug 2011, 5:19 pm

Master_Pedant wrote:
Blue_Jackets_fan wrote:
Thanks alot, Lord Obamort. Now we can collapse like Greece and Italy.


Is there some initiation into the conservative Republican club that entails killing the parts of your brain that have knowledge on the monetary system of the US? You know, the fact that unlike Greece or Italy, American PRINTS ITS OWN MONEY??! !

The ignorance of conservatives and right-libertarians who want deflationary policies disgusts me.


Why should deflation upset you?