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ArrantPariah
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16 Apr 2012, 2:40 pm

Sweetleaf wrote:
And how do you determine who's a smoker and who's not?


We can smell you.



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16 Apr 2012, 2:41 pm

A lot of mechanics say that emission control devices are unnecessary for cars because they impede the cars performance.



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16 Apr 2012, 2:42 pm

Vigilans wrote:
Regardless, the number one cause is considered smoking. Its not like most people who get lung cancer were destined to get it, any more than people who get cancer from asbestos were.


They might have had a genetic pre-disposition. That does not mean they were destined to get it.......it means they where more likely to get it than someone without that genetic-predisposition. Also if the number one cause of lung cancer is smoking where are the studies that prove the majority of people with lung cancer are smokers? and for the second hand smoke how exactly do they determine it was specifically that and not other kinds of smoke or the carcinogens in the air?

I guess I'll look it up...and even if that is the case, how are they so sure there weren't other factors involved like the ones I mentioned in my last post?


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16 Apr 2012, 2:44 pm

ArrantPariah wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
And how do you determine who's a smoker and who's not?


We can smell you.


I meant like how would I determine it? If someones not smoking a cigarette I cannot just assume they are a non-smoker especially around where I live....it would make more sense to assume they are a smoker.

Yeah and sometimes I smell like beer and marijuana to :twisted: or sometimes just straight up BO......what of it?


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16 Apr 2012, 2:50 pm

Los Angeles generates a lot of smog.



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16 Apr 2012, 3:00 pm

Why is it that few people argue that an asbestos miner who gets mesothelioma got it from somewhere other than asbestos, whereas a smoker who gets lung cancer "was probably genetically predisposed, or other factors gave it?" I'll tell you why: Industry


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16 Apr 2012, 3:02 pm

Because a smoker has a subjective opinion.



ArrantPariah
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16 Apr 2012, 3:57 pm

Sweetleaf wrote:
Of course cigarette smoking contributes to lung cancer, and is a major factor....but the government tends to exagerate things and use more emotional terms like 'smoking causes lung cancer!' no it contributes to lung cancer....it is a factor, show me a study that proves all these cases of lung cancer where caused by cigarette smoke alone.


http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 130635.htm



Last edited by ArrantPariah on 16 Apr 2012, 4:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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16 Apr 2012, 4:03 pm

When ever I smoke I always make sure to put body spray on that away they can't smell smoke on me problem solved.



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16 Apr 2012, 4:52 pm

ArrantPariah wrote:
CrazyCatLord wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
well crap I'm going to hide in a sterile room and never touch anything than.


I didn't mean to scare anyone :) I just wanted to show that there is no escaping the natural cancer risk, or the man-made cancer risk that is an inescapable part of modern life. It is important to realize how low the cancer rate is despite all these carcinogenes that we're exposed to on a daily basis. For example, the chance of a 30 year old person to develop lung cancer within the next 10 years is only 0.02%.

Even if smoking increases this risk by a factor of 10, that's still only 0.2%. In comparison, the chance of an American person to die in a traffic accident within a decade is 0.15%, which is pretty much the same. Anyway, my point was that people who berate smokers might have an equally high cancer risk themselves due to factors like overweight, an unhealthy diet, or bad air quality at their place of residence.

Of course it does make sense to try and live healthy, within reason. You can greatly lower your cancer risk if you stop smoking, take a vow of celibacy, move to the countryside, and munch raw vegetables for dinner. The question is, are a few more years really worth all this trouble? Everybody has to decide that for themselves. And since very few of us live in a remote monastery and only eat home-grown food, we have no business berating each other for our potentially unhealthy habits. In other words, let smokers smoke. Just like the thread title says :)


I don't know where the above "facts" come from (maybe a tobacco company's website?), but smokers do seem to be masters at the art of self-deception.

http://www.cdc.gov/cancer/lung/basic_in ... actors.htm

Quote:
Cigarette smoking is the number one risk factor for lung cancer. In the United States, cigarette smoking causes about 90% of lung cancers. Tobacco smoke is a toxic mix of more than 7,000 chemicals. Many are poisons. At least 70 are known to cause cancer in people or animals. People who smoke are 15 to 30 times more likely to get lung cancer or die from lung cancer than people who do not smoke...

Smoking can cause cancer almost anywhere in the body. Smoking causes cancer of the mouth, nose, throat, voicebox (larynx), esophagus, bladder, kidney, pancreas, cervix, stomach, blood, and bone marrow (acute myeloid leukemia).


I'll first address your citation: We can't know for sure what percentage of lung cancer cases is caused mainly or exclusively by smoking, since smokers tend to be less concerned about their health in general and are exposed to a number of risk factors. Most smokers don't eat enough fruit and vegetables, and therefore have a low antioxidant intake. Regular exercise is also not very popular with smokers, and many smokers drink alcohol and consume convenience food with carcinogenic preservatives. The cancer risk of atypical smokers who eat healthy and get sufficient exercise might be lower.

However, let's assume that this number is correct and smoking does indeed cause 90% of all lung cancers. I wrote that smoking increases the lung cancer risk by a factor of 10. A 10 times higher risk of lung cancer means that 9 out of 10 cancer victims will be smokers, which is exactly the same percentage. I can also support this number with some links from medical and anti-smoking campaign websites:

Quote:
Primary carcinoma of the lung is the leading cause of cancer ... Men who smoke one pack a day increase their risk 10 times compared with non-smokers.

Source: http://www.stop-smoking-programs.org/lung-cancer.html

Quote:
Smoking does increase your chance of lung cancer by 10 times of that compared to someone who has never smoked.

Source: http://www.beverlyfund.org/facts.html

Quote:
If a person, who smokes nothing, has a risk factor of one – then someone who smokes 10 a day will be 10 times more likely to develop lung cancer ...

Source: http://www.netdoctor.co.uk/healthy-livi ... cancer.htm

Now for the 0.02%. Ironically, I found this number on the exact same Center for Disease Control website that you quoted:

Quote:
Percent of U.S. Men Who Develop Lung Cancer over 10-, 20-, and 30-Year Intervals According to Their Current Age, 2005–2007†

Current Age ... 10 Years ... 20 Years ... 30 Years
30 ......................... 0.02 ............. 0.19 .......... 0.93
40 ......................... 0.17 ............. 0.93 .......... 2.97
50 ......................... 0.78 ............. 2.89 .......... 5.99
60 ......................... 2.29 ............. 5.64 .......... 7.60

Source: http://www.cdc.gov/cancer/lung/statistics/age.htm

So, my statement "the chance of a 30 year old person to develop lung cancer within the next 10 years is only 0.02%" was also correct, according to this CDC statistic. Multiply this percentage by 10, and you get the lung cancer risk of a 30 year old smoker over a decade, which is 0.2%.
Finally, the comparable risk of death that people are willing to take every time they enter a car or cross a road:

Quote:
... in 2003 about 45,000 Americans died in motor accidents out of a population of 291,000,000. So, according to the National Safety Council this means your one-year odds of dying in a car accident is about one out of 6500.

Source: http://reason.com/archives/2006/08/11/d ... terrorized

One in 6500 equals a chance of 0.015%. Over a decade, the chance increases to 0.15%. So if a 30 year old person stays at home and smokes ten cigarettes a day, he has only a very slightly higher chance of dying in the foreseeable future than a non-smoking health nut who drives to work every day (0.2 vs. 0.15% within 10 years).

As you can see, my numbers check out. We've even used the same source. I always do my research prior to posting any statistics, and I don't fall for misinformation by the tobacco industry. And, as I've previously posted here on WP, I'm not even a smoker. I gave up smoking years ago because it worsened my Crohn's symptoms. It appears that this statement...

ArrantPariah wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
And how do you determine who's a smoker and who's not?


We can smell you.


...wasn't quite true :D Or at least it doesn't work reliably over the internet.



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16 Apr 2012, 4:52 pm

Sweetleaf wrote:
And how do you determine who's a smoker and who's not?


I notice a lot of long term smokers have short coughs they get when they haven't smoked for a while. I find their skin gets a subtle grayish tinge and is lined in a certain way. Usually it is just the smell though. Or if they have nicotine and tar stains on their teeth or fingers


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16 Apr 2012, 4:54 pm

Vigilans wrote:
Sweetleaf wrote:
And how do you determine who's a smoker and who's not?


I notice a lot of long term smokers have short coughs they get when they haven't smoked for a while. I find their skin gets a subtle grayish tinge and is lined in a certain way. Usually it is just the smell though. Or if they have nicotine and tar stains on their teeth or fingers


I've got the orange fingers going on fer sure :lol:


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16 Apr 2012, 5:01 pm

Vigilans wrote:
Why is it that few people argue that an asbestos miner who gets mesothelioma got it from somewhere other than asbestos, whereas a smoker who gets lung cancer "was probably genetically predisposed, or other factors gave it?" I'll tell you why: Industry


Why is it that when a person who smokes ten cigarettes a day and eats at McDonald's five times a week is diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer, statisticians and medical experts automatically blame the cigarettes and not the addictive drugs with carcinogenic food additives that are sold at fast food temples?



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16 Apr 2012, 5:03 pm

I know that when I took up cigar smoking, I checked with my insurance company to see what if any affect it was going to have on my premium. According to them, my 3-5 cigars a week is negligible and they can't detect any health effects below a threshold of 2 cigars per day, which is a far greater rate of consumption than myself, or really any other cigar smoker I know. Considering the amount of pleasure I receive from say a Padilla Miami robusto, or a 601 La Bomba, the marginal risk is worth it to me, in much the same way that I'm willing to brave the risks of alcoholic beverages, dangerous sports, fast driving and exotic foods in order to enjoy them.


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16 Apr 2012, 5:03 pm

CrazyCatLord wrote:
Vigilans wrote:
Why is it that few people argue that an asbestos miner who gets mesothelioma got it from somewhere other than asbestos, whereas a smoker who gets lung cancer "was probably genetically predisposed, or other factors gave it?" I'll tell you why: Industry


Why is it that when a person who smokes ten cigarettes a day and eats at McDonald's five times a week is diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer, statisticians and medical experts automatically blame the cigarettes and not the addictive drugs with carcinogenic food additives that are sold at fast food temples?


That would be a poor research method. Where has this happened, though? Blaming gastrointestinal cancer on smoking is pretty far fetched. I have read somewhere tobacco can be good for certain bowel disorders, strangely enough


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16 Apr 2012, 5:18 pm

Btw, in addition to all the other cancer risk factors that I posted a few days ago, there is one major risk that very few people are aware of:

Quote:
Radon gas is the second leading cause of lung cancer deaths in the U.S. according to the American Lung Association (ALA) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).. Radon gas comes up through the soil and seeps through the cracks in foundations and walls in homes and buildings. It can also enter through gaps in insulation, cracks in pipes, and drains. The ALA says that Radon gas causes 12% of all lung cancer deaths each year in the United States. Radon is a gas that you can't see or smell and the only way to detect is to measure radon levels. 1 Where does it come from? Radon is a natural by-product of decaying uranium in the earth's soil. Outdoors, radon exists in low concentrations that are generally not a health concern. In enclosed spaces, however, such as basements, radon can accumulate and may be cause for concern.

Source: http://www.beverlyfund.org/facts.html

No matter how healthy your lifestyle is, your environment may kill you. Which is not all that bad I assume. Who wants to be a senile, bed-ridden 95-year-old who would love to call it quits, but the medical staff won't allow it? I live relatively healthy these days, but I wouldn't want to reach that age. I'm only 40, and I'm already bored to death and don't like what I see in the mirror anymore. If I live to see my 60th birthday, I think I'll have been around long enough and will likely be thoroughly fed up with living.