Will Democrats lose for a decade or go far-right?

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androbot2084
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21 Jun 2012, 8:13 pm

Republicans will continue to use the word socialist to attack their opponents.



AstroGeek
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21 Jun 2012, 8:31 pm

androbot2084 wrote:
Republicans will continue to use the word socialist to attack their opponents.

Which ticks me off, because "socialist" is a word used to describe opponents. It is not inherently negative. If they're going to call Obama a socialist then they'd better actually give a cohesive argument as to why socialism is bad. They rarely bother to do this and instead just rely on the word's shock factor.



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21 Jun 2012, 8:58 pm

AstroGeek wrote:
Which ticks me off, because "socialist" is a word used to describe opponents. It is not inherently negative. If they're going to call Obama a socialist then they'd better actually give a cohesive argument as to why socialism is bad. They rarely bother to do this and instead just rely on the word's shock factor.

I don't think that we generally hold people to that standard when they criticize marginal beliefs. I mean, most people in general don't have a cohesive worldview, and this probably includes most politicians. Additionally, I'm pretty sure that on the smarter areas of the right-wing, lots of criticism of socialism occurs, and that this criticism is informed, so your concern strikes me as odd. Particularly given that I don't know what you actually mean by "socialism", as the term has often been applied to welfare states, but it's also applies to more radical non-capitalist economic organizing structures. The latter is utterly unlike the former, but the latter is the one that originally had the title, and for efficiency sake, we are actually better off describing the latter as "socialist" and the former as "welfare state" or some other similar word. The latter also has a lot of academic-level criticisms against it.



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21 Jun 2012, 9:04 pm

Awesomelyglorious wrote:
AstroGeek wrote:
Which ticks me off, because "socialist" is a word used to describe opponents. It is not inherently negative. If they're going to call Obama a socialist then they'd better actually give a cohesive argument as to why socialism is bad. They rarely bother to do this and instead just rely on the word's shock factor.

I don't think that we generally hold people to that standard when they criticize marginal beliefs. I mean, most people in general don't have a cohesive worldview, and this probably includes most politicians. Additionally, I'm pretty sure that on the smarter areas of the right-wing, lots of criticism of socialism occurs, and that this criticism is informed, so your concern strikes me as odd. Particularly given that I don't know what you actually mean by "socialism", as the term has often been applied to welfare states, but it's also applies to more radical non-capitalist economic organizing structures. The latter is utterly unlike the former, but the latter is the one that originally had the title, and for efficiency sake, we are actually better off describing the latter as "socialist" and the former as "welfare state" or some other similar word. The latter also has a lot of academic-level criticisms against it.

I don't doubt that there is some intelligent criticism of socialism. What I'm complaining about are the sound-bytes that make it into the news. And actually the vagueness you're talking about is part of what bugs me. I think that it is kind of exploited to create the impression that a welfare state is anti-capitalist. I guess a second reason why I dislike the use of "socialist" as an insult is because most people don't seem to have a good idea of what the word means.



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21 Jun 2012, 9:14 pm

AstroGeek wrote:
I don't doubt that there is some intelligent criticism of socialism. What I'm complaining about are the sound-bytes that make it into the news.

That sounds just like it's politics.

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And actually the vagueness you're talking about is part of what bugs me. I think that it is kind of exploited to create the impression that a welfare state is anti-capitalist. I guess a second reason why I dislike the use of "socialist" as an insult is because most people don't seem to have a good idea of what the word means.

I agree with you on this. I simply hate the terminological confusion. I can see you hating this because of the conflation between different concepts that occurs.



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21 Jun 2012, 9:33 pm

Dox47 wrote:
For Christ's sake, if you're going to attack Obama at least attack him for his many, many legitimate failings and not for this vague "far left socialist" meme that isn't supported by evidence.

Did he push through a national healthcare law? Yes. Who did it benefit? Insurance companies. Pretty left wing, right?


That's not exactly true Dox47, Obamacare doesn't benefit insurance companies one bit, it's actually cheaper for companies to simply pay the fine instead of continuing to carry insurance for their employees.

Coupled with the requirement to have to pay for pre-existing conditions, and all the hoops many smaller insurance companies may end up closing their doors permanently...

Dox47 wrote:
How about foreign policy. W invaded Afghanistan and Iraq; Obama has continued those wars (on W's timetable), while also attacking people in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia, Libya, and probably a few more I'm either forgetting or don't know about. He's established a f*cking assassination czar. Now state sponsored hit squads may be a feature of authoritarians of all stripes, but the American left certainly wouldn't endorse such a policy on their own. Now keeping mum because it's "their" guy in office is another story.


Hate to break it to you Dox47, but the left actually would endorse that kind of behavior. In fact a lot of people on the left honestly want to make it so the FCC can shut down Fox News...

Why do you think the left wants to bring back the "fairness doctrine..." That's a rhetorical question.

Dox47 wrote:
Immigration? Obama has deported record numbers of immigrants, and his temporary reprieve is just a drop in the bucket compared to the pace he's set, a naked political stunt to pander to the Latin vote. That sound like a lefty socialist?


Didn't think you'd fall for that Dox...

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But in reaching 392,862 deportations, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement included more than 19,000 immigrants who had exited the previous fiscal year, according to agency statistics. ICE also ran a Mexican repatriation program five weeks longer than ever before, allowing the agency to count at least 6,500 exits that, without the program, would normally have been tallied by the U.S. Border Patrol.

When ICE officials realized in the final weeks of the fiscal year, which ended Sept. 30, that the agency still was in jeopardy of falling short of last year's mark, it scrambled to reach the goal. Officials quietly directed immigration officers to bypass backlogged immigration courts and time-consuming deportation hearings whenever possible, internal e-mails and interviews show.

Instead, officials told immigration officers to encourage eligible foreign nationals to accept a quick pass to their countries without a negative mark on their immigration record, ICE employees said.

The option, known as voluntary return, may have allowed hundreds of immigrants - who typically would have gone before an immigration judge to contest deportation for offenses such as drunken driving, domestic violence and misdemeanor assault - to leave the country. A voluntary return doesn't bar a foreigner from applying for legal residence or traveling to the United States in the future.

Once the agency closed the books for fiscal 2010 and the record was broken, agents say they were told to stop widely offering the voluntary return option and revert to business as usual.

Without these efforts and the more than 25,000 deportations that came with them, the agency would not have topped last year's record level of 389,834, current and former ICE employees and officials said.

Washington Times

Dox47 wrote:
Even on guns, my pet issue, he's really done nothing overt to arouse me ire, SCOTUS appointments and Eric Holder aside. Even in the area where I'm most concerned, his Supreme Court appointments, I don't think gun control was really the point, it was more incidental to the type of justices he was going to appoint period. I'm (for the moment) putting Fast and Furious squarely on Holder, though this invocation of privilege concerning it certainly suggests executive involvement. I don't think he wants the political fight that taking on America's gun owners directly would bring, so I remain fairly unconcerned in this area.


There was a CBS News article I've been posting on multiple topics that may be of interest to you Dox47.

Dox47 wrote:
Leaks? Obama has been the most aggressive prosecutor of whistleblowers and (non-sanctioned)leaks EVER. Again, perhaps universal to authoritarians (Obama's TRUE color), but hardly liberal.


Yes and no Dox47, when the leak makes the Obama White House look bad, he tends to go ballistic, but all these other leaks like the most recent ones, were probably deliberate.

Dox47 wrote:
Drugs? Obama has escalated the drug war to record levels and ruthlessly pursued federal charges against people obeying state law with regards to medical marijuana, among other things. Yet again, not exactly left wing.


I didn't bring up illegal drugs...

Dox47 wrote:
With all the legitimate reasons to attack Obama, why f*ck around with the BS? Go after him from the right and from the left, he's guilty no matter which angle you look from.


It took some time but after doing some serious digging online, I managed to find some information to debunk a fair bit of what you assert is true. I seriously hope you don't believe the unemployment numbers from this administration, which are the result of accounting gimmecks.



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21 Jun 2012, 11:16 pm

Watch me take my own advice and ignore baseless criticism... :P


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Inuyasha
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22 Jun 2012, 12:09 pm

Dox47 wrote:
Watch me take my own advice and ignore baseless criticism... :P


If that was a cheap shot directed at me, I will point out that I actually provided some sources to debunk what you stated when you tried to slam me...

I seriously suggest you read The Great Destroyer by David Limbaugh.



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22 Jun 2012, 12:25 pm

Inuyasha wrote:
Dox47 wrote:
Watch me take my own advice and ignore baseless criticism... :P


If that was a cheap shot directed at me, I will point out that I actually provided some sources to debunk what you stated when you tried to slam me...

I seriously suggest you read The Great Destroyer by David Limbaugh.


The Limbaugh name carries serious weight amongst the credible


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Inuyasha
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22 Jun 2012, 12:32 pm

Vigilans wrote:
Inuyasha wrote:
Dox47 wrote:
Watch me take my own advice and ignore baseless criticism... :P


If that was a cheap shot directed at me, I will point out that I actually provided some sources to debunk what you stated when you tried to slam me...

I seriously suggest you read The Great Destroyer by David Limbaugh.


The Limbaugh name carries serious weight amongst the credible


At least he's honest about the fact he has a bias, unlike the dishonest left-wing trolls that you listen to whom call themselves reporters... So he certainly has more credibility than the sources you get your news from on the left.



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22 Jun 2012, 12:52 pm

Inuyasha wrote:
Vigilans wrote:
Inuyasha wrote:
Dox47 wrote:
Watch me take my own advice and ignore baseless criticism... :P


If that was a cheap shot directed at me, I will point out that I actually provided some sources to debunk what you stated when you tried to slam me...

I seriously suggest you read The Great Destroyer by David Limbaugh.


The Limbaugh name carries serious weight amongst the credible


At least he's honest about the fact he has a bias, unlike the dishonest left-wing trolls that you listen to whom call themselves reporters... So he certainly has more credibility than the sources you get your news from on the left.


You actually have no idea what my sources are so I would appreciate it if you don't try to speak for me
Limbaugh is not a credible source, no matter how you put it. He is an entertainer. Your entire paradigm is based off of an entertainment industry. When I see you and your ilk who listen to Fox talking "politics", what I really feel I am watching is people discussing their favorite soap opera


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22 Jun 2012, 9:23 pm

Dox47 wrote:
Master_Pedant wrote:
Problem is one side's "generous spending" was seven times greater than the other.


But what did all that money actually buy them?:

Doug Mataconis wrote:
What this election gave us is a rare and precious thing: a gubernatorial rematch. Walker and Barrett faced each other less than two years ago. Walker beat Barrett by five points back then, after raising $11 million to Barrett’s $6 million. That is, Walker raised 65% of the funds raised by the Republican and Democratic candidates that year and he won 53% of the two-party vote. This week, Walker raised about 88% of the funds raised by the two candidates and he won — wait for it — 54% of the two-party vote.

So there’s your money effect, folks. Go from a 2:1 money advantage to a 7:1 money advantage, and it could increase your vote share by a full percentage point! Woo hoo!

I don’t mean to sound snide, but I’d say in general that if you pair the same candidates up against each other for the same office, you’ll probably get similar results. And I’d say that the real lesson here is how little the electoral results changed after a vast change in financing.

http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/how-mu ... y+|+OTB%29


The author of that article makes a logical fallacy in assuming that the effect of Walker outspending Barrett by 7:1 rather than 2:1 only added a single percentage point to his lead. He cannot make that claim without knowing the null hypothesis, i.e. how would the rematch election have turned out had Walker only outspent Barret 2:1 the second time around rather than 7:1. I can't claim to know precisely how much effect money had on that particular election result, but this author's argument is a blatant fallacy. Plenty of polls seem to show that Walker's clear lead didn't develop until rather late in the run up to the recall election. I can't claim to know how much effect the advertising had in widening the gap, as there could have been other factors as well, but to claim it only effected the results by 1% is just outright baloney.

The argument that campaign finance is ineffective in changing election results doesn't hold water in general either. It's like claiming internet phishing scams are ineffective because only a small number of people fall for the scam. It only takes a few to fall for it and you've hit the jackpot. It's the exact same principle with close elections. If people who are loaded with money are desperate enough for a particular candidate to win in a close election they might as well outspend their opponent 100:1 in order to tip the balance in their favor. Considering what these people might have to gain in terms of a more "business friendly" government, the return on their investment is still well worth it, provided they have the money on hand. If advertizing didn't largely work there wouldn't be this kind of money involved in politics. Nobody would ever spend that kind of money if there were no results to come from it.



Last edited by marshall on 22 Jun 2012, 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Declension
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22 Jun 2012, 9:25 pm

Inuyasha wrote:
This is the United States of America, the only people that should be voting in our elections are US citizens.


Debatable. You're not the ones who get invaded.



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22 Jun 2012, 9:32 pm

Dox47 wrote:
Master_Pedant wrote:
Dox, do you really believe that or is this just part of your "Devils Advocate to the Left" game? Because polls on the public position clearly showed that Scott Walker was on the losing side of the issue. Why did so many of Walker's ads deal with crime if the public was solidly against public sector unions?


Which polls? I can show you polls from various stages of the election that show exactly the opposite of what you're claiming, among other results. There's a reason that I'm not particularly trusting of poll data of any sort, and in this case I'm simply debating on "harder" information than the poll numbers. A guy outspends his opponent whom he's previously and recently faced by that amount and only gains one point, it tells me that political advertising isn't as effective a tool of persuasion as many believe it to be. Remember that another poll, an exit poll in this case, found that many people who voted to retain Walker also said they planned to vote Obama, which if the poll is to be believed, might indicate that the union issue is simply not that important to many Americans, even Democrats.


And you're wrong here as you can't prove that he only gained one percent unless you knew what the election results would have been had both candidates spent the same amount as they did in the first election. I'm not seeing any "harder" evidence here.



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23 Jun 2012, 7:20 am

Declension wrote:
Inuyasha wrote:
This is the United States of America, the only people that should be voting in our elections are US citizens.


Debatable. You're not the ones who get invaded.

True. And considering the president is referred to as "the leader of the free world," you'd think that the rest of the free world would actually have a say. I think most of Europe would not choose to be represented by Obama (and certainly not by a Republican).



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23 Jun 2012, 1:43 pm

AstroGeek wrote:
Declension wrote:
Inuyasha wrote:
This is the United States of America, the only people that should be voting in our elections are US citizens.


Debatable. You're not the ones who get invaded.

True. And considering the president is referred to as "the leader of the free world," you'd think that the rest of the free world would actually have a say. I think most of Europe would not choose to be represented by Obama (and certainly not by a Republican).


Hey if I don't get to vote in their elections, so they have no business voting in my country's elections. Furthermore, I would go so far as considering an attempt by a foreign country to rig a US election to be an act of war.