Is evolution falsifiable? What would falsify evolution?

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Awesomelyglorious
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05 Dec 2009, 12:00 am

zer0netgain wrote:
This illustrates an important concept for ALL SIDES in any debate. We basically do not do our own research. Frankly, I doubt many could. Too much data. Too little time. We trust sources we feel have earned our trust so that we put great weight in their conclusions.

Well, right, we aren't biologists.

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To that end:

What happens if your trusted source has a bias but keeps it hidden well?

What happens if your trusted source simply makes an error?

What happens if your trusted source WAS credible but becomes biased over time but your trust in its credibility colors you to believe all that comes down after it starts imposing its biases? (for the sake of debate, keep in mind many people aren't super logical about everything they consider)

Ok, that's why we have multiple sources. In any case, if Dent is trusting the opinion of the scientific community, then he isn't trusting "one source" he is trusting a large number of sources on this matter. This eliminations the issue of bias, and error to a great extent. In fact, part of the idea of science is that people do make errors and have biases, but in a large group, this will essentially balance out to a greater extent.

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If you can control the flow of information, if you can color people's perception of sources and issues, you can shape the outcome no matter what the evidence really says.

Ok, but the issue is that there is rarely one source of information, thus controlling the flow of information isn't really as much of a concern. I mean, knowledge is safe because there is competition in providers of knowledge, not because people are saints.

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I have a friend who went to seminary. He believes things that really skirt the edge of what the Bible teaches, and that's because he respects his "godly professors" who based their teachings on what they were taught, which was taught by their professors...and so on. Never the realization that SOMEONE may have been wrong. Nobody in the chain of teaching might have had a bias to distort the information, but simply be wrong and since everything was done by men of good reputation, we infer infallibility in the teaching based on the character of the teacher and not the testability of the material.

I'd think that this is likely more of a problem with seminaries, and perhaps the field of theology, and less of one with teaching. Most professors are also researchers, and these professors are the ones that teach other professors, and the other professors they teach interact with other professors, in many context and the larger scientific community. The notion that this is all just a big chain of distortion thus does not seem plausible given that.

Seminaries on the other hand involve much stricter ideological controls than most other universities(a fact I should not need to source) and the field of theology has much weaker checks on personal bias in general.(if you disbelieve that, then how do you explain the explosion of different "Christian" theologies and nothing to really cull them?)



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05 Dec 2009, 12:03 am

sartresue wrote:
Since evolution is a theory, it is not cast in stone. I suppose nothing really is.


A theory is the second closest thing to being cast in stone there is. Only a law is more certainly true for everything in the universe. The only reason evolution is not a law is because it can not yet be proven that evolution happens to all life in the universe.



Awesomelyglorious
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05 Dec 2009, 12:06 am

Orwell wrote:
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Anyhow, if you wish for a few biologists, though I don't know them so well:

Dr Robert W. Carter Ph.D. Marine Biology, http://creation.com/dr-robert-carter-cv
Dr Georgia Purdom Ph.D. Molecular Genetics, http://creation.com/dr-georgia-purdom
Donald James Batten, B.Sc.Agr. (Hons 1), Ph.D. Plant physiologist, tropical fruit expert, http://creation.com/dr-don-batten-cv

The molecular geneticist is the most relevant, but her CV is rather thin and the fact that she associates with the ridiculous Creation Museum does not help her case.

If you want to know more about Georgia Purdom, here is a 25 minute interview between her and Michael Shermer.

http://skepticblog.org/2009/03/17/a-ske ... tion-land/ (I wanted to offer you the additional opportunity to read what other people thought of the interview, not that it is overly helpful)



Last edited by Awesomelyglorious on 05 Dec 2009, 1:26 am, edited 1 time in total.

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05 Dec 2009, 12:24 am

TitusLucretiusCarus wrote:
ultimately though evolution does not require a deity and is therefore a simpler and more elegant concept.


Naturally.

My sig line by Douglas Adams refers specifically to the theory of evolution


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05 Dec 2009, 12:35 am

zer0netgain wrote:
DentArthurDent wrote:
It is true to say that I have not researched and studied the creationist line, why would I, it has been done for me by others who have a far better understanding on the subject. I have listened to, watched and read enough of the debate to come to the conclusion that 'creationist science' has been discredited.


This illustrates an important concept for ALL SIDES in any debate. We basically do not do our own research. Frankly, I doubt many could. Too much data. Too little time. We trust sources we feel have earned our trust so that we put great weight in their conclusions.

To that end:

What happens if your trusted source has a bias but keeps it hidden well?




In debate that has a reasonable amount of credibility on either side I will take the time to investigate both sides, however this is no such case. For the proponents of evolution to have such a significant bias that hides the fact they are wrong would amount to a world wide conspiracy. No such conspiracy exists, the bias in this matter is on the side of the creationists who continually distort scientific findings, take statements out of context and commit out right lies.

AG thanks for that link to Savarti and the ark here is a paragraph from the text, which btw is not taking this foolish genius out of context

"Certainly, dinosaurs would have been on the Ark: God told Noah to take two of every kind of land animal (seven of the few ‘clean’ animals). Dinosaurs were land animals, and they must have been alive then, because so many of them were fossilized in the Flood."

How anyone can take this sort of nonsense seriously is beyond me, to place humans and dinosaurs into the same time frame is an absurdity. Really if you creationists stand by this then you have zero credibility.


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Last edited by DentArthurDent on 05 Dec 2009, 12:59 am, edited 1 time in total.

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05 Dec 2009, 12:52 am

DentArthurDent wrote:
In debate that has a reasonable amount of credibility on either side I will take the time to investigate both sides, however this is no such case. For the proponents of evolution to have such a significant bias that hides the fact they are wrong would amount to a world wide conspiracy. No such conspiracy exists, the bias in this matter is on the side of the creationists who continually distort scientific findings, take statements out of context and commit out right lies


I think people get accustomed to familiar modes of thought, ideas, and even manners of speaking. When someone presents an idea or says something that deviates too far from what they are familiar with, it tends to usually repulse people. Even saying a familiar idea in a manner which is awkward will cause repulsion in some. It is not a conspiracy at all that gives evolutionary origin proponents such a strong bias, but how familiar and even familial the notion is to them, that anything that would contradict it, or even just speak against it slightly, has the appearance of evil to their ears.



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05 Dec 2009, 1:25 am

iamnotaparakeet wrote:
I think people get accustomed to familiar modes of thought, ideas, and even manners of speaking. When someone presents an idea or says something that deviates too far from what they are familiar with, it tends to usually repulse people. Even saying a familiar idea in a manner which is awkward will cause repulsion in some. It is not a conspiracy at all that gives evolutionary origin proponents such a strong bias, but how familiar and even familial the notion is to them, that anything that would contradict it, or even just speak against it slightly, has the appearance of evil to their ears.


What a complete and utter load of BS, it is not that ''anything would contradict it, or even speak slightly against it" the fact of the matter is that creationism has no scientific basis. The reason people like myself get so upset with creationism is not that it offers a viable alternative and therefore challenges my strongly held misguided beliefs, no it is because creationists like Ham, Savarti lie, manipulate, and feed pure subjective drivel to kids, and impressionable adults

What you wrote above seems a far better fit to people who believe in the biblical explanation of things.


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05 Dec 2009, 2:48 am

iamnotaparakeet wrote:
I think people get accustomed to familiar modes of thought, ideas, and even manners of speaking. When someone presents an idea or says something that deviates too far from what they are familiar with, it tends to usually repulse people. Even saying a familiar idea in a manner which is awkward will cause repulsion in some. It is not a conspiracy at all that gives evolutionary origin proponents such a strong bias, but how familiar and even familial the notion is to them, that anything that would contradict it, or even just speak against it slightly, has the appearance of evil to their ears.

I don't think that this phenomenon explains much of the revulsion. I mean, it could be part of it, however, this is an extreme case of rejection of an idea, to an extent that it is utterly unlike anything else I have seen anywhere else. Not only that, but there seems to be too many other reasons for these strong reactions: as Dent spoke about creationists have put a lot of effort trying to persuade laymen and children but have not focused nearly as much in trying to build their case within the system, the conclusions of creationism strongly contradict the conclusions drawn in geology and biology and cosmology, a lot of the foundation for going towards creationism is not driven scientifically but rather seems theological as can be seen in Michael Shermer's interview with Georgia Purdom given her continual reference to scriptural truth giving her the age of the earth, even in religious circles creationists are attacked as mainstream churches attack creationism and old earth creationists attack young earth creationists all on the grounds of intellectual integrity.

I mean, let's put it this way: if this is just a matter of "modes of thought" then can you give other examples of cases as strong as the rejection of creationism?



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05 Dec 2009, 2:58 am

Awesomelyglorious wrote:
If you want to know more about Georgia Purdom, here is a 25 minute interview between her and Michael Shermer.

http://skepticblog.org/2009/03/17/a-ske ... tion-land/ (I wanted to offer you the additional opportunity to read what other people thought of the interview, not that it is overly helpful)

That was painful to watch.

1) She dodged almost every question. When she didn't dodge, her answers were inadequate.
2) Biologists, whether creationist or evolutionist, are not qualified to challenge dating techniques. That area belongs to physicists who actually understand radioactive decay. Also, she did not answer why it is possible to reject multiple different methods which lead to the same result. In combinatorial mathematics, a similar technique called "double counting" (doing something two different ways and getting the same result) is a common proof method. If the principal is rigorous enough for mathematics, it's more than adequate for geology.
3) I hate the claim fundies make about how you shouldn't interpret Scripture because it "interprets itself" or some other such nonsense. This is just plainly false. The act of merely reading something must necessarily involve some interpretation. This is just a cheap ploy to attempt to discredit the large number of Christians (myself included) who happened to come to different conclusions than they did after reading the same Scripture.
4) In a few cases she just seemed to completely fail to understand what she was being asked, or what the interviewer's point was. No honest intellectual inquiry can occur when you are utterly incapable of even hypothetically understanding the other side. Eg: the whole question of how she can claim to be different from people who used the Bible to justify slavery, racism, etc. She just didn't understand the point of the question at all.

The interviewer had the patience of a saint. I would have lost my temper at Purdom's idiocy before five minutes had passed.

I actually live only a short drive away from the Creation Museum. Some friends and I considered going to it just for the entertainment value, but I knew I would be far to frustrated and infuriated by the blatant inaccuracies I saw. Plus, each person who visits contributes $20 to be spent undermining science education in America.


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Awesomelyglorious
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05 Dec 2009, 3:26 am

Orwell wrote:
That was painful to watch.
I can understand that, I am probably more used to such things, so I could avoid wincing. I've probably known more conservative Christians than you have.

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1) She dodged almost every question. When she didn't dodge, her answers were inadequate.

Yes, I believe that to be the case. She kept on referring back to the Bible and "man's view", rather than the actual analytical issues at stake.

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2) Biologists, whether creationist or evolutionist, are not qualified to challenge dating techniques. That area belongs to physicists who actually understand radioactive decay. Also, she did not answer why it is possible to reject multiple different methods which lead to the same result. In combinatorial mathematics, a similar technique called "double counting" (doing something two different ways and getting the same result) is a common proof method. If the principal is rigorous enough for mathematics, it's more than adequate for geology.

She could have been able to step out of her field and studied enough to challenge the issue. In this case, it seems highly unlikely that she knew a lot about what she was talking about. I mean, the notion of double counting is hard to refute, and she did just dismiss the matter.

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3) I hate the claim fundies make about how you shouldn't interpret Scripture because it "interprets itself" or some other such nonsense. This is just plainly false. The act of merely reading something must necessarily involve some interpretation. This is just a cheap ploy to attempt to discredit the large number of Christians (myself included) who happened to come to different conclusions than they did after reading the same Scripture.

She utterly missed the point. I could be sympathetic, but her point was rather bad. I mean, she seemed to hold to only two positions: either words have meanings that are directly apparent, or language is meaningless, there was not that third option that you seem to straight-up recognize. This issue is even greater given that a text as important as the Bible has a few issues:
1) It is big
2) It is written in a different language and under a different culture
3) Often people are taught what it means before they read it, meaning that certain patterns are already sought while others are rejected. This can lead to a dancing bear kind of issue, where some issues are seen but others are not.

Quote:
4) In a few cases she just seemed to completely fail to understand what she was being asked, or what the interviewer's point was. No honest intellectual inquiry can occur when you are utterly incapable of even hypothetically understanding the other side. Eg: the whole question of how she can claim to be different from people who used the Bible to justify slavery, racism, etc. She just didn't understand the point of the question at all.

Absolutely correct, she had no recognition of the issue, or real ability to answer the question in a meaningful sense.

At least now you know who Georgia Purdom is though and how she thinks about the matter.

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The interviewer had the patience of a saint. I would have lost my temper at Purdom's idiocy before five minutes had passed.

I really respect Michael Shermer. He's a smart guy. Has a masters in psychology, a PhD in the history of science, and currently teaches economics for a graduate college. He seems relatively honest as well. And, well... has the patience of a saint as well apparently.

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I actually live only a short drive away from the Creation Museum. Some friends and I considered going to it just for the entertainment value, but I knew I would be far to frustrated and infuriated by the blatant inaccuracies I saw. Plus, each person who visits contributes $20 to be spent undermining science education in America.

You need to relax and let your cynicism roam free.



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05 Dec 2009, 5:50 pm

Awesomelyglorious wrote:
Ok, that's why we have multiple sources. In any case, if Dent is trusting the opinion of the scientific community, then he isn't trusting "one source" he is trusting a large number of sources on this matter. This eliminations the issue of bias, and error to a great extent. In fact, part of the idea of science is that people do make errors and have biases, but in a large group, this will essentially balance out to a greater extent.


Ah, but there's the rub.

The "scientific community" for decades has been heavily influenced by the evolutionist sect in their midst. Anyone who disagrees risks being discredited by their evolutionist peers. It's the the equivalent of a researcher finding hard proof that the WTC was in fact brought down by controlled demolitions and the government's "experts" calling the researcher a "conspiracy theorist"...effectively discrediting his research in the public eye via slander because people don't want to associate with a "conspiracy theorist."

We've seen people who believe in God and creation be threatened with not being awarded college degrees because they will not state to their department heads that they accept evolution as FACT. Yes, this has happened. So much for freedom of thought or difference of opinion.

The evolutionist camp amongst the "scientific community" is nowhere near a super majority. However, they speak for the whole as if they are...often deriding those who do not agree by calling them names and applying derogatory labels.

Scientists are humans. We already see with "global warming" and "climate change" hard evidence that if you don't sing the "global warming" song, you don't get research grants. There is a lot of politics behind science (which there should not be) and when you can dictate the welfare of a researcher by cutting off funding if they do not back your agenda, it's amazing how many you can get to join your camp.



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05 Dec 2009, 6:04 pm

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Ah, but there's the rub.

The "scientific community" for decades has been heavily influenced by the evolutionist sect in their midst. Anyone who disagrees risks being discredited by their evolutionist peers. It's the the equivalent of a researcher finding hard proof that the WTC was in fact brought down by controlled demolitions and the government's "experts" calling the researcher a "conspiracy theorist"...effectively discrediting his research in the public eye via slander because people don't want to associate with a "conspiracy theorist."

We've seen people who believe in God and creation be threatened with not being awarded college degrees because they will not state to their department heads that they accept evolution as FACT. Yes, this has happened. So much for freedom of thought or difference of opinion.

The evolutionist camp amongst the "scientific community" is nowhere near a super majority. However, they speak for the whole as if they are...often deriding those who do not agree by calling them names and applying derogatory labels.

Scientists are humans. We already see with "global warming" and "climate change" hard evidence that if you don't sing the "global warming" song, you don't get research grants. There is a lot of politics behind science (which there should not be) and when you can dictate the welfare of a researcher by cutting off funding if they do not back your agenda, it's amazing how many you can get to join your camp.


why do you talk as though creationists have no incentive to have creationism accepted?
how many people have creationist bodies kicked out for rejecting the idea that god created the world?
you're also using a bad company argument, just because some people who argue against creationism call you names doesn't mean that the position of all who argue against it is equally anti-rational.
I'm yet to see a single creationist offer evidence that god exists/existed - cry all you like about conspiracy theories and freedom of speech etc, it is impossible to evidence this (to take a Kantian line) without eliminating (if god did create the world) the entire point of free will, that is that humans praise god not because they know he exists and that they will definitely have a place in heaven, but without this guarantee. God belongs to the noumenal and scienmce to understanding the phenomenal ( if we posit the possibility that a god exists), access to the noumenal to prove His existence would turn us into mechanical puppets and would defeat the entire point of creation. Is this not correct?

aside from this tangential foray into Kant. I don't see how you challenge the point that creationism hinges on the existence of god. evolution does not require the existence of an omnipotent and omniscient entity and is therefore a simpler and more elegant concept that fits the available information. evolution is science/reason. Creationism is ideology.



Last edited by TitusLucretiusCarus on 05 Dec 2009, 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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05 Dec 2009, 6:15 pm

zer0netgain wrote:
We've seen people who believe in God and creation be threatened with not being awarded college degrees because they will not state to their department heads that they accept evolution as FACT. Yes, this has happened. So much for freedom of thought or difference of opinion.

Sources for this alleged persecution? The Creationists have an entire university that won't even accept students who refuse to sign a waiver of their intellectual freedoms.

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The evolutionist camp amongst the "scientific community" is nowhere near a super majority.

BS, they are beyond being a supermajority, they are nearly unanimous.


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05 Dec 2009, 6:17 pm

I'm not sure I would want to employ someone who believes the earth is flat and at the centre of the universe either... it doesn't say much about their reasoning skills.



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05 Dec 2009, 6:30 pm

zer0netgain wrote:
The "scientific community" for decades has been heavily influenced by the evolutionist sect in their midst. Anyone who disagrees risks being discredited by their evolutionist peers. It's the the equivalent of a researcher finding hard proof that the WTC was in fact brought down by controlled demolitions and the government's "experts" calling the researcher a "conspiracy theorist"...effectively discrediting his research in the public eye via slander because people don't want to associate with a "conspiracy theorist."

Umm... you mean that the scientific community has generally agreed that evolution is correct. Many of the cases of "being discredited" are overstated, as the cases put forward in the movie Expelled have all been shown false. So, I don't see very much basis at this point.

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We've seen people who believe in God and creation be threatened with not being awarded college degrees because they will not state to their department heads that they accept evolution as FACT. Yes, this has happened. So much for freedom of thought or difference of opinion.

Well, as I pointed out, the cases put forward in the movie Expelled are false, and if there were great non-false examples, then why wouldn't the movie makers use those instead? In any case, the case for evolution is generally considered overwhelming to the extent that many scientists do consider it a "scientific fact" in as much as such things exist.

Quote:
The evolutionist camp amongst the "scientific community" is nowhere near a super majority. However, they speak for the whole as if they are...often deriding those who do not agree by calling them names and applying derogatory labels.

Orwell already posted Project Steve somewhere on this forum. Project Steve is based upon the idea that the evolutionist camp is a super-duper majority, and that the number of evolutionist scientists named Steve outstrips the number of creationist scientists altogether.

Quote:
Scientists are humans. We already see with "global warming" and "climate change" hard evidence that if you don't sing the "global warming" song, you don't get research grants. There is a lot of politics behind science (which there should not be) and when you can dictate the welfare of a researcher by cutting off funding if they do not back your agenda, it's amazing how many you can get to join your camp.

Ok, but you are still a conspiracy theorist. It is not as if creationists and Intelligent Design people show much sign of being less biased, as most of them are pretty solidly Christian and see their efforts as outgrowths of apologetic work. They are clearly biased. I mean, Georgia Purdom shows her position quite clearly in an interview with Michael Shermer that I posted on another one of these threads, and William Dembski seems to have a clear theological motivation: "Thus, in its relation to Christianity, intelligent design should be viewed as a ground-clearing operation that gets rid of the intellectual rubbish that for generations has kept Christianity from receiving serious consideration.", "I think at a fundamental level, in terms of what drives me in this is that I think God's glory is being robbed by these naturalistic approaches to biological evolution, creation, the origin of the world, the origin of biological complexity and diversity. When you are attributing the wonders of nature to these mindless material mechanisms, God's glory is getting robbed. [...] And so there is a cultural war here. Ultimately I want to see God get the credit for what he’s done — and he's not getting it.".

So, really, who do you think I will be more willing to trust? The overwhelming majority of scientists, mainstream researchers, and a community that seems based around following the evidence, or a small group of fundamentalists who just want to promote the Bible? The former, obviously.

(Note: by this point, I am no longer clear which evolution-creation thread is which.)



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05 Dec 2009, 7:03 pm

zer0netgain wrote:
Awesomelyglorious wrote:
Ok, that's why we have multiple sources. In any case, if Dent is trusting the opinion of the scientific community, then he isn't trusting "one source" he is trusting a large number of sources on this matter. This eliminations the issue of bias, and error to a great extent. In fact, part of the idea of science is that people do make errors and have biases, but in a large group, this will essentially balance out to a greater extent.


Ah, but there's the rub.

The "scientific community" for decades has been heavily influenced by the evolutionist sect in their midst.


There is no such "sect". The theory of evolution is a branch of science and is not in anywise a cult or religion. Creationism is a manifestation of the young earth sect of the Protestant faith, which is to say the biblical literalists.

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