Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

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Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?
Mitt Romney 36%  36%  [ 8 ]
Sarah Palin 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Newt Gingrich 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Herman Cain 5%  5%  [ 1 ]
Ron Paul 14%  14%  [ 3 ]
Donald Trump 23%  23%  [ 5 ]
Other 14%  14%  [ 3 ]
Total votes : 22

minervx
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17 Apr 2011, 6:00 pm

This poll is not on which candidate you do or do not want to win, but rather on which one you think will win the nomination.

I personally think that Romney will be able to connect with a silent majority of moderates in the Republican Party, whereas the other candidates will be dividing the vote of very conservative voters.



pandabear
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17 Apr 2011, 6:08 pm

There are some who want Elmer Fudd to win. He may actually be their best candidate.

Mitt Romney is Mormon. 'nuff said about that character.



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17 Apr 2011, 6:31 pm

God damn, they really have nobody who at least sounds decent. Dwight Eisenhower really was the last great Republican, and I'm sure even then there will be those to dispute that, though compared to most modern Republicans, he was a Saint


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psychohist
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17 Apr 2011, 6:57 pm

Romney would be great, but religious prejudice will work against him in both the primary and the general election. Gingrich is normally very sharp and good a political tactics, but he has hitched his horse to the religious right this time around, and with the ascendancy of the Tea Party I think that's the wrong horse. So, I think "other" is the most likely answer out of that list.



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17 Apr 2011, 7:00 pm

Perhaps Romney. He is the choice of the "sane" Republicans, and I suspect that Tea Party antics after their brief flash in 2010 will have led to a significant backlash against the extremist elements by the time the primaries come around. Already some backlash against the far right of the GOP has been seen; add to that the pressure of trying to field a candidate who is actually electable, and I think the moderates in the Republican Party have a good chance of nominating their candidate.

Vigilans wrote:
God damn, they really have nobody who at least sounds decent. Dwight Eisenhower really was the last great Republican, and I'm sure even then there will be those to dispute that, though compared to most modern Republicans, he was a Saint

Nixon gets a bad rap, but looking at his record, I have to say that he was a pretty good President. His worst crime was pulling some dirty tricks in a political campaign, and I'm inclined to pardon him for that. Just about every politician does the same.

I haven't looked too closely into GHW Bush's record, but from what I see he seems to have been at least decent.


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minervx
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17 Apr 2011, 7:37 pm

Nixon was very liberal Republican, one of our most liberal presidents, in fact, who called for universal health care. GHW Bush was somewhat conservative but more of a "pragmatic" moderate.



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17 Apr 2011, 7:39 pm

New poll, just released:

Mickey Mouse 23%
Huckabee 15%
Trump 15%
Palin 8%
Gingrich 7%
Romney 7%
Paul 5%
Bachmann 3%
Daniels 3%
Pawlenty 2%
Santorum 2%

Seriously, Huckabee and Trump are tied at 19% in the latest CNN poll, but sixty-six percent of Republicans would like to see either Huckabee or Romney run, compared to low 50's for Palin and Gingrich and trump who all have low favorability ratings.

It looks like a battle between Romney and Huckabee. I'm surprised Huckabee wasn't included in the topic poll, since he has been close to the top, in polls for a good while now.

As it stands now, Huckabee would likely win the nomination; he is a more favorable canidate for the tea party. Sad, but the fact that Romney is Mormon might be the deciding factor between these two, among actual voters.

I don't think we can discount the exposure Huckabee has had on Fox, either. Huckabee is big on a fair tax, and Romney has estalished healthcare for his state. Considering the current political climate on tax increases/cuts, spending cuts, and the healthcare reform act, the fair tax idea might not seem radical as it has in the past.

Romney may be the nominee the leadership of the Party wants between the two, but I don't see those that actually show up to vote, as agreeing to this; although the vote will likely be close.

If the Republicans have a hidden savior, it is likely they would have shown their face by now. I don't see anyone else but these two of having a real chance at this point in time.



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17 Apr 2011, 7:43 pm

Good points Orwell and minervx
Nixon wasn't as bad as people seem to think, sure he lied about some things in Vietnam, and there was the whole Watergate scandal, but politics is a dishonest game. I doubt there is any president with clean hands. The difference being Nixon got caught


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aghogday
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17 Apr 2011, 8:09 pm

I remember the Nixon/Mcgovern contest in '72. Our middle school did a mock election and Nixon was the huge favorite. Of course, he was in the nation also, winning 49 states, 520-17 electoral votes, and the highest margin ever in popular vote with 18 million more votes.

At that point in my life, I was shocked and disillusioned over Watergate and the resignation of Nixon. After the pedestal that Kennedy was put on, I thought of all presidents as iconic figures that didn't make mistakes.



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17 Apr 2011, 8:25 pm

aghogday wrote:
At that point in my life, I was shocked and disillusioned over Watergate and the resignation of Nixon. After the pedestal that Kennedy was put on, I thought of all presidents as iconic figures that didn't make mistakes.
Wow that's trippy. Nixon is a saint compared to the Kennedys who have mob ties.



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17 Apr 2011, 8:55 pm

There pretty much haven't been any decent Republicans at all since Theodore Roosevelt.



aghogday
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17 Apr 2011, 9:30 pm

AceOfSpades wrote:
aghogday wrote:
At that point in my life, I was shocked and disillusioned over Watergate and the resignation of Nixon. After the pedestal that Kennedy was put on, I thought of all presidents as iconic figures that didn't make mistakes.
Wow that's trippy. Nixon is a saint compared to the Kennedys who have mob ties.


Amazing how they romanticized his marriage as "Camelot" while he was busy playing the field. It wasn't until years later, that I found out all the issues there with Kennedy. People were good at keeping secrets back then. It would have been a good era for Clinton.

I started to ponder did we really go to the moon; could that many people keep a secret; but there were too many people involved in the project to believe in a conspiracy like that.

I will say though, the craft they used to get there, were tin cans compared to the technology we have today. Easier to understand when you see them in a museum.

Back on Nixon, if it wasn't for his anxiety paranoia, and insistence on recording conversations in his office that secret might have been kept and he might have avoided resignation. His doctor advised him that if he didn't get a handle on his incessant worry he would see an early grave. The pitfalls of intelligence. :(



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17 Apr 2011, 9:40 pm

Trump, Romney, Palin, or Huckabee won't win the nomination. I don't even think Trump, Palin, or Huckabee will even run.



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17 Apr 2011, 9:47 pm

Orwell wrote:
I haven't looked too closely into GHW Bush's record, but from what I see he seems to have been at least decent.


That scumbag strengthened the hold of stupid, draconian, "law and order politics" over America (which really hasn't helped address the problem of crime, BTW). And, yes, I hold the same thing against '88 Gore (back when he was from the Conservative Con Artist wing of the Democratic Party).


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17 Apr 2011, 10:12 pm

I'm just glad that Donald Trump stood up to fill in where the former half-term governor of alaska dropped the ball.

Keep those idiots distracted, Donnie!



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17 Apr 2011, 10:13 pm

Whoever Rush Limbaugh, who is the boss of the Republican Party, wants to win will win.