Crying wolf, foreign agendas and Israel's role in destabilis

Page 1 of 1 [ 5 posts ] 

The_Face_of_Boo
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 16 Jun 2010
Age: 44
Gender: Non-binary
Posts: 33,664
Location: Beirut, Lebanon.

02 Feb 2012, 5:29 am

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinio ... 73520.html


Quote:
Lebanon's total dissolution into five provinces serves as a precedent for the entire Arab world, including Egypt, Syria, Iraq and the Arabian Peninsula, and is already following that track. The dissolution of Syria and Iraq later on into ethnically and religiously unique areas, such as in Lebanon, is Israel's primary target on the Eastern front in the long run, while the dissolution of the military power of those states serves as the primary short term target.

Syria will fall apart, in accordance with its ethnic and religious structure... This state of affairs will be the guarantee for peace and security in the area in the long run, and that aim is already within our reach today... Every kind of inter-Arab confrontation will assist us in the short run and will shorten the way to the more important aim of breaking up Iraq into denominations as in Syria and in Lebanon.* (emphasis added)


-Israeli analyst Oded Yanon, "A Strategy for Israel in the 1980s"



scubasteve
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 17 Dec 2009
Gender: Male
Posts: 1,001
Location: San Francisco

02 Feb 2012, 6:04 am

The whole premise of this article makes no sense to me. Why would Israel want to destabilize Syria? (Or any of their neighbor countries, for that matter?) It is much easier to deal with a centralized enemy than a country full of guerilla combatants like Hezbolah.



Nexus
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 14 Aug 2006
Age: 41
Gender: Male
Posts: 833
Location: On I2

02 Feb 2012, 7:29 am

scubasteve wrote:
The whole premise of this article makes no sense to me. Why would Israel want to destabilize Syria? (Or any of their neighbor countries, for that matter?) It is much easier to deal with a centralized enemy than a country full of guerilla combatants like Hezbolah.


Because it's an ally of Iran and having a country engaged in a civil war would tie up military resources and responsiveness? You can't really attack another nation if your own people are warring with you and each other at the same time. This could be in anticipation to bombing of Iran and an attempt to mitigate a coordinated counter-offensive. If it is, it's very cunning but risky.


_________________
"Have a nice apocalypse" - Southland Tales


JeremyNJ1984
Velociraptor
Velociraptor

User avatar

Joined: 9 Oct 2010
Age: 42
Gender: Male
Posts: 496
Location: Central New Jersey

02 Feb 2012, 8:40 am

Nexus wrote:
scubasteve wrote:
The whole premise of this article makes no sense to me. Why would Israel want to destabilize Syria? (Or any of their neighbor countries, for that matter?) It is much easier to deal with a centralized enemy than a country full of guerilla combatants like Hezbolah.


Because it's an ally of Iran and having a country engaged in a civil war would tie up military resources and responsiveness? You can't really attack another nation if your own people are warring with you and each other at the same time. This could be in anticipation to bombing of Iran and an attempt to mitigate a coordinated counter-offensive. If it is, it's very cunning but risky.



Having worked at the Israel/Lebanon border on IDF bases, i can tell you that a decentralized syria is a lot more fearful to Israelies than a centralized state under one standing army. A guerilla army that can hide behind cover and infilitrate the Golan, Kinneret regions would not be in Israels best interest. Assad is brutal and he is not willing to seriously consider a peace treaty but internally he was able to repress homegrown insurgent group, ( while supporting others in Lebanon). Israel is not taking any sides in this Syria conflict because it doesn't want too....Boo is reading from Al-Jazeera which is nearly always hostile to Israel, because its readership is Arab...its not accurate on this or rehashes old history from 30 years ago...irrelevent to todays politics. Israel is far more focused on Iran right now.



peebo
Veteran
Veteran

User avatar

Joined: 6 Mar 2006
Age: 51
Gender: Male
Posts: 1,624
Location: scotland

02 Feb 2012, 1:42 pm

scubasteve wrote:
The whole premise of this article makes no sense to me. Why would Israel want to destabilize Syria? (Or any of their neighbor countries, for that matter?) It is much easier to deal with a centralized enemy than a country full of guerilla combatants like Hezbolah.


perhaps they are playing a long game of some sort?


_________________
?Civil government, so far as it is instituted for the security of property, is in reality instituted for the defense of the rich against the poor, or of those who have some property against those who have none at all.?

Adam Smith