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GoonSquad
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22 Sep 2014, 8:08 am

So, the economic eggheads are FINALLY catching up with me....

From Foreign Affairs (click)

Quote:
Today, most economists agree that like Japan in the late 1990s, the global economy is suffering from insufficient spending, a problem that stems from a larger failure of governance. Central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, have taken aggressive action, consistently lowering interest rates such that today they hover near zero. They have also pumped trillions of dollars? worth of new money into the financial system. Yet such policies have only fed a damaging cycle of booms and busts, warping incentives and distorting asset prices, and now economic growth is stagnating while inequality gets worse. It?s well past time, then, for U.S. policymakers -- as well as their counterparts in other developed countries -- to consider a version of Friedman?s helicopter drops. In the short term, such cash transfers could jump-start the economy. Over the long term, they could reduce dependence on the banking system for growth and reverse the trend of rising inequality. The transfers wouldn?t cause damaging inflation, and few doubt that they would work. The only real question is why no government has tried them.

...

Governments must do better. Rather than trying to spur private-sector spending through asset purchases or interest-rate changes, central banks, such as the Fed, should hand consumers cash directly. In practice, this policy could take the form of giving central banks the ability to hand their countries? tax-paying households a certain amount of money. The government could distribute cash equally to all households or, even better, aim for the bottom 80 percent of households in terms of income. Targeting those who earn the least would have two primary benefits. For one thing, lower-income households are more prone to consume, so they would provide a greater boost to spending. For another, the policy would offset rising income inequality.


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22 Sep 2014, 9:53 am

GoonSquad wrote:
Quote:
The government could distribute cash equally to all households or, even better, aim for the bottom 80 percent of households in terms of income. Targeting those who earn the least would have two primary benefits. For one thing, lower-income households are more prone to consume, so they would provide a greater boost to spending. For another, the policy would offset rising income inequality.


They did that here in Australia, 3 or 4 years ago. Gov't handed out something like $900 to each low income household, to stimulate spending. Anecdotally, a lot of TV's were bought. As a stimulus, it copped a lot of criticism and didn't seem to give business more than a fleeting boost, if any at all for most businesses. And once it was spent, low income households went straight back to being as they were.

Flip side, I imagine a few would have done something they wouldn't have been able to afford, like take the kids camping or update the fridge.


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GoonSquad
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22 Sep 2014, 10:00 am

Yeah, we have done one time lump sums here too. This would be more like a few $100.00/month for an indefinite period.


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22 Sep 2014, 10:13 am

GoonSquad wrote:
Yeah, we have done one time lump sums here too. This would be more like a few $100.00/month for an indefinite period.

Hmmm a tax break.


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GoonSquad
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04 Oct 2014, 4:30 pm

Exploding the MYTH of the holy job creator...
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bBx2Y5HhplI[/youtube]

Can you say FORDISM?


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