slightly less super tuesday

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Mississippi primary, Michigan primary, Idaho primary, and the Hawaiian primary are all tonight.

Polling has showed Trump with fairly solid leads in Michigan/Mississippi but Kasich and Cruz are making their pushes. It seems like the establishment is abandoning Rubio and must think he cannot win Florida, there was this story about Rubio being pushed to drop out before Florida on RCP which the Rubio campaign denied.

Lyin' Ted of course couldn't resist himself from some more dirty tricks



On the dem side it's just Mississippi and Michigan, Sanders will probably get blown out in Mississippi but he really needs a strong showing in Michigan to show he can run a viable national campaign. Not looking good for Bernie in Michigan either.

Mississippi now called for Trump (R) and Clinton (D), both expected, with Cruz a strong second.

Sanders just barely ahead in Michigan at the moment.

DONALD TRUMP DESTROYS THE COMPETITION IN MICHIGAN AND MISSISSIPPI!! !

Looks like Hillary will be our next president. I'm not all that happy about it, but there you go.

For anybody who actually believes Trump could beat Hillary, I'd like to know what color the sky is in your world. No way could he ever get enough of the independent and moderate votes. Americans are stupid, but hopefully not that stupid.

bernie's still ahead in mich by 3% with 68% reporting. don't count him out.

Ironic result of the night: Sanders wins Clinton County.

Pretty yuge upset if Bernie can hold on and win Michigan, the delegates are going to get split either way so getting the win would be all the difference. The polls were completely wrong, maybe the most wrong polling thus far since polls were showing Hillary up big. It seems like Bernie cut into Hillary's lead with black voters in Michigan, he can't lose 90% of the black vote and have a chance at winning but maybe he can lose 65%.

michigan has been called for bernie.

Cruz now has a strong lead over Trump in Idaho, although it hasn't been called yet (26% reporting).

Idaho is called for Cruz, 43/28 over Trump.

And to wrap up the evening, Trump takes Hawaii, with Cruz second, 45/32 with 50% reporting.

At this point Bernie Sanders seems to have become a liability for the Democrats.

Sanders likely can't capture enough delegates to win the nomination. To illustrate, Clinton currently has a 39 % delegate lead over Sanders (super-delegates not included), which is in no way as close as the race between Obama and Clinton in 2008, where Obama led by only 7 % in March 2008.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democrati ... 2008#March

Yet Sanders can't lose so decisively - so far - that the Clinton nomination can be considered a foregone conclusion, either. As such, the Democrats need to waste effort and money on campaigning against Sanders (who will likely lose anyway) instead of campaigning against the GOP.

The polls suggest that Clinton will defeat Sanders across the board on March 15, including the (likely) most important state: Florida. However, the polls also incorrectly predicted a victory for Clinton in Michigan (with a whopping 20 point margin, even), so I guess we'll just have to see what happens next week.

Bernie is down about in the polls in Ohio and Florida by about the same margin they had him down in Michigan so who knows. If Bernie can cut into Hillary's slice of the black vote even just a little bit it would help him a lot but while we have comeback narrative in Michigan there is more of the same in Mississippi where Hillary crushed him by more than 60 points. One thing that benefited both Bernie and Trump in Michigan is that it is an open primary whereas Florida is not and I'm not really sure how the other states work but they're not 'open' like Michigan was so i presume it will be harder to cross over and vote as independent.

Surprised to see Trump win in Hawaii, the idea was that he loses a closed caucus and I thought the Hawaiian GOP would of been more up Kasich/Rubio's ally. With Rubio's campaign crumbling and Kasich also being behind in his home state, if Trump wins both he wins the nomination. Trump should have a good chance of winning Illinois and who knows about Missouri which is the only place i think Cruz can compete in next week. Couple pretty non-state caucuses between now and then; American Samoa, Guam, and DC. Trump winning any of those would be bad sign for the establishment.