The big Tea Party wave saw her only squeak by, and there's no presidential tailwind in a state Romney won to rely on in 2014, though I agree that redistricting shored her up good. Bob Etheridge, who she beat that year, was a regular old North Carolina education vet with 1% of the name rec and national fundraising Aiken could draw if he actually runs. Ellmers would surely impugn his sexual orientation by whatever insinuations she can (politics is what it is), but her reputation isn't exactly Teflon with the base after she opposed the same (successful) civil unions bill Aiken did and supported the sequester compromise instead of total shutdown like they went for last year. A primary challenger may push her far right enough to restore her street cred, but gaffes like the initial ad against the Ground Zero non-mosque and her whining about her paycheck while voting against re-opening the government aren't doing her any favors with independents. I agree Aiken could be vulnerable to charges of reverse carpetbagging or coasting on his fame.
Any thoughts on whether a Congressman with a special ed background (actual career experience, not the Sarah Palin variety) could be an effective advocate for IDEA funding?