Are we at the edge of another pandemic? H5N1

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It seems plague is being used as a synonym for epidemic, rather than Yersinia pestis strictly.



Effective in what way? I would expect them to be effective at doing what they claim (reducing discomfort), but not at preventing any sort of transmission.



Exactly. At the end of the day antihistamines and anaesthetics can address the discomfort of a bug bite, but they can't do anything about pathogens that might be transferred.

To be called "a plague", it needs to be both extremely contagious and with a very high percentage of victims die from it. We're probably talking of 75% or more.

In terms of mortality, influenza falls at least a magnitude short of being comparable to the plague.

I agree it's a poor choice of wording, but it's not as though his points and claims can't be understood in spite of that.

There's bigger problems with some of what's been claimed than merely the choice of wording, so that seems like a more worthwhile place to focus energy.

In my humble opinion, H5N1/H1N1 is a transitory diseases.

H5N1 made its appearance in North America at the beginning of 2024. There were around 70 cases identified in farm workers in the U.S. and Canada. In general, they were a very mild non-deadly form of H5N1. But at the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025, things began to change when two individuals (one in Canada and one in the U.S. developed a very deadly form of the disease. The elderly man in the U.S. died and the young girl from Canada barely survived.

This deadly form of H5N1 has killed around 50 percent of individuals that have become infected since the year 2003 globally. Approximately 500 people out of 1,000 died since 2003 from H5N1. These are the known cases because many deaths are unreported.

But this H5N1 disease can transition into a very deadly highly contagious form of H1N1, that is extremely deadly to young and middle age adults. H1N1 transitioned across the world beginning in 1918 killing approximately 50 to 100 million people. The disease at the time was called the Spanish flu. It is estimated 500 million people globally contracted this disease. This amounted to about 33% of the world's population at the time. Many were able to recover but even those that recovered carried the damage from the sickness for the rest of their lives. For around 6 percent of the Earth's population the disease was fatal. Since the world population has grown around 5 times in the last 100 years. The threat might impact 2.5 billion people should it materialize today and cause a half a billion deaths. This is an extremely dangerous disease. Generally many people died within 24 hours of showing symptoms.

An explosion of a very deadly form of H5N1 appeared in China during the end of 2023. "Since mid-October 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) has been monitoring data from Chinese surveillance systems that have been showing an increase in respiratory illness in children in northern China. At a press conference on 13 November 2023, China’s National Health Commission reported on a nationwide increase in the incidence of respiratory diseases, predominantly affecting children. Chinese authorities attributed this increase to lifting of COVID-19 restrictions and the arrival of the cold season, and due to circulating known pathogens such as influenza, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Mycoplasma pneumonia and RSV are known to affect children more than adults."
Source: Upsurge of respiratory illnesses among children-Northern China

Reporting that leaked out of China at the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024 showed the number of deaths experienced in China was very severe. It kept the crematoriums working 24 hours a day, 7 days a week for many months.

In my humble opinion, the threat is an antibiotic resistant form of mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP). It is one of the diseases that spring from an explosion of H5N1 and H1N1.

I don't place any credence in those reports. There is so much AI crap going around and much of it is completely fake. One of the most blatant false reports I've seen was about the Chinese naval attack on Guam. The reason you haven't heard of that is that it is completely nonsense.

The news today is less believable than ever.

Regarding the Chinese deaths, there are plenty of claims out there that the population of China is considerably less than the population of the US today? What is their reason? That half a billion Chinese died over a period of two or three years from covid. According to these bogus reports, the Chinese have built many new crematoriums and they are working 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

AI is for the stupid.