jimmy m wrote:
I think we are far enough into this pandemic, so I will make the following prediction:
T-60
In sixty days, this coronavirus pandemic will be essentially over in the U.S. There may be a few stragglers but it will be over. That would put it at 13 May 2020.
Personally I don't think enough is known about this virus for me to be that optimistic. Some viruses are not only incurable, they remain in the person for life. Herpes viruses, HIV come to mind. Yes, the common cold is a relative of Covid-19, however there are reports out of China where numerous people "recovered", tested negative only to test positive and get sick again right after "recovery". Theories include:
1) Maybe they never recovered and the negative test results were inaccurate and they had the virus the whole time.
2) Maybe the they didn't fully recover from the virus and it mutated so quickly that their antibodies which almost knocked out the virus couldn't recognize the new mutation enough to prevent them from getting sick.
What if this virus stays in the body like herpes or HIV and mutates so rapidly that the body can't fully eradicate the virus?
Yet schools in my state remain open. Explanations given by our department of education include:
>Children are at low risk....What about their parents and grandparents they bring the virus home to?
>Kids will just congregate in groups on their own if schools are closed.
>Many kids won't eat properly if not in school. Poor nutrition.....This virus is literally life or death to certain people. Poor nutrition?
>"Many" (direct quote) parents are healthcare workers. Kids out of school that can't be left alone means healthcare workers out of the workforce.
>Education is a core function of our society and would be very disruptive to stop.
I emailed the governor in my state urging that the right thing be done and that schools be closed. Bottom line in my opinion: We don't know enough about this new disease that literally no one on the planet has immunity to.