jimmy m wrote:
The United States put up firewalls very early. These were geological firewalls. They tried to prevent the spread of the virus into the U.S.
But there is another type of firewall. I will call this a vulnerability firewall. Take the most vulnerable (mortality rate) and create a strong firewall around them. Let the coronavirus roar through the general population, but minimize the penetration into the vulnerable group. This coronavirus is attacking the elderly and those with compromised immune systems. Those are the ones that are at risk and need protection.
Typical flu symptoms include fever, cough, sore throat, muscle aches, headaches, runny or stuffy nose, fatigue and, sometimes, vomiting and diarrhea, according to the CDC. With COVID-19 reported symptoms in patients have varied from mild to severe, and can include fever, cough and shortness of breath. I believe that I even read that they symptoms in the young and healthy are even milder than the normal flu.
In China, older adults have been hit the hardest. The death rate soars to 14.8% in those 80 and older; among those ages 70 to 79, the COVID-19 death rate in China seems to be about 8%; it’s 3.6% for those ages 60 to 69; 1.3% for 50 to 59; 0.4% for the age group 40 to 49; and just 0.2% for people ages 10 to 39. No deaths in children under 9 have been reported. So if the same ratio holds true in North America, then you might cut the line at age 60 or perhaps age 50 and protect this group also adding in those with compromised immune systems. That would be a vulnerability firewall.
For those younger than the limit, there are precautions to take also. If they get sick, they should isolate themselves at home. Since their primary danger is contracting pneumonia, they should monitor their red blood cells oxygen levels using an oximeter. If it falls below a set number, perhaps 90%, they should immediately be admitted to the hospital for treatment.
Are there any signs that this vulnerability firewall may be taking shape? I think so. The VA has taken steps to restrict visitors to their nursing homes. Also visits to nursing homes nationwide will be temporarily restricted under the national emergency that President Donald Trump declared Friday to battle the novel coronavirus.
Passengers aboard cruise ships have been hit especially hard by this coronavirus. Most of the people who take cruises would fit the elderly category. For what I am observing, several cruise lines are temporarily halting cruises for awhile.
Maybe we just need to set up a quarantine on 60 year olds and older (with or without symptoms) and have them shelter in place instead of the general population.
California Governor Gavin Newsom just ordered isolation of all people 65 and older and people with chronic conditions.