European leaders travel to Kyiv
They were prime ministers of Poland, Czechia and Slovenia (yes, this time Slovenia not Slovakia).
That's just the dateline.
He can't go further without an effective force to assign the campaign to and that appears to be an issue.
Russia has a larger percentage of their forces engaged in Ukraine than the US had committed during the peak of the invasion of Iraq; of those forces they're essentially 100% committed. This means whether they like it or not they are likely reaching the culmination of that campaign within the next week or two whether they like it or not.
Of course, that's a fair bit of time for Russia to make gains, but so far it appears their advance has lost momentum. We'll see how things unfold, but I'm anticipating they will fail to capture Odessa, they will fail to capture Kyiv and their forces will start to show more issues as morale plummets.
This is my assessment, also.
If they capture, say, Azov Sea shores, and it gets de facto accepted, they will try again with another chunk next decade.
It started in Georgia 2008. It doesn't have to end with Putin's death, he can have a "worthy" successor.
Accepting this kind of slow progress is enabling more of it. And more. And more.
Cheap gas often tastes like blood, doesn't it?
There is a good chance pootin will be dead by that time, even if it is of natural causes.
Stalin only survived to 74.
funeralxempire
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If you're not careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed, and loving the people who are doing the oppressing. —Malcolm X
Just a reminder: under international law, an occupying power has no right of self-defense, and those who are occupied have the right and duty to liberate themselves by any means possible.
As I explained, Putin can have a successor.
The KGB-based system is older even than KGB itself, and it won't die with Putin.
The imperial narrative of Great Russia is 500 years old.
So are the methods of terror and outright lies employed to push the narrative.
It can perfectly go on with someone other than Putin on the top.
One can't just neglect the threat. We're Slavs. In our world, symbols carry meanings that live longer than people - and shape very real reality. That's why people stick their heads out for things they believe in.
Putin is just another incarnation of "Great Russian" tsarist/soviet reality. It can incarnate again and again, unless deep social changes disable it from within.
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The KGB-based system is older even than KGB itself, and it won't die with Putin.
The imperial narrative of Great Russia is 500 years old.
So are the methods of terror and outright lies employed to push the narrative.
It can perfectly go on with someone other than Putin on the top.
One can't just neglect the threat. We're Slavs. In our world, symbols carry meanings that live longer than people - and shape very real reality. That's why people stick their heads out for things they believe in.
Putin is just another incarnation of "Great Russian" tsarist/soviet reality. It can incarnate again and again, unless deep social changes disable it from within.
pootin has crippled Russia for some time to come.
*That* will change things.
funeralxempire
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*That* will change things.
Indeed, although geography and other factors seem to ensure even when Russia shatters it ends up reforming. Conceivably the Northern Caucasuses could break off because of a distinct regional identity but most of the rest is likely to still ultimately view itself as part of a nation centred on Moscow.
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There's no such thing as a free market.
If you're not careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed, and loving the people who are doing the oppressing. —Malcolm X
Just a reminder: under international law, an occupying power has no right of self-defense, and those who are occupied have the right and duty to liberate themselves by any means possible.
In the meantime, look what this "cripple" is doing in Mariupol.
I don't want it to happen again 30 years from now, when the economy gets rebuilt enough.
It's not about Putin alone, it's about the system that enabled all of them, from Ivan IV to Stalin.
This system must be proven not to work anymore.
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The_Face_of_Boo
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pootin's military machine is hurting, bad:
*He has lost at least 12 generals through being killed in battle or through forced resignation.
*He is begging his historic enemy, China, for military and economic help.
*The corruption in the Russian military complex has produced an ineffective fighting machine.
*His best troops have been committed to this war and yet it has been a failure, whatever the final outcome.
*Its officers haven't been paid for months.
*Its conscripts are abandoning vehicles.
*Morale is extremely low.
*Sanction have eaten into his ability to finance his war.
*It will take him decades to rebuild his forces.
Even if pootin was truly insane, he doesn't have the means to regain his imagined Greater Empire.
Unless Russia itself is attacked, the nuclear option is off the table, imo.
At the end of the war, Hitler was pushing "ghost" divisions around the map.
How did that work out?
^ there's even rumors that he's recruiting mercs from Syria for guerilla warfare.
And that Syrians don't want to fight for Russians but may consider it as an opportunity for easy access to EU.
Still, only rumors.
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The_Face_of_Boo
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Part of me wants them to die in the muds of war there, so we get rid of them.
Heh, I wish you could get some healthy stability in Lebanon, too.
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An alternative scenario from a Russian-friendly source. I don't know what to believe myself, the only thing you can be certain of in wartime is that everyone is lying to one degree or another.
https://johnhelmer.net/the-zelensky-sum ... nsky-also/
https://archive.is/hD7F6
The summit meeting of East European leaders, hosted in Kiev by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky on March 15 was fabricated by the Polish government, with Polish secret service agents playing the part of journalists, and fake photographs of the meeting, press briefing, and train journey prepared by Zelensky’s press office.
The operation was designed by the Poles to promote their role in support of the Ukraine, the Ukrainian refugees, and in defence of Europe against Russia, and seek new European, American, and NATO alliance funds and military equipment.
According to the Ukrainian publicity, the operation was designed to promote the appearance that Zelensky’s regime is in control of Kiev, and to accelerate their application for admission to the European Union (EU).
The Anglo-American media have reported the meeting, as announced by Petr Fiala, the Czech prime minister, with “the aim…to express the European Union’s unequivocal support for Ukraine and its freedom and independence,”
The result of the summit meeting, according to the Financial Times in London, was “a show of European solidarity even as Russian shelling continued on residential neighbourhoods in the Ukrainian capital. The trip by the prime ministers of Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovenia is the most high-profile visit to Kyiv since Russia invaded the country on February 24.”
...
In a report published by the Associated Press (AP) bureau in Warsaw, “the long journey over land from Poland to Kyiv by Morawiecki, Poland’s deputy Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski and Prime Ministers Petr Fiala of the Czech Republic and Janez Jansa of Slovenia sent the message that most of Ukraine still remains in Ukrainian hands.”
The evidence gathered from sources in Warsaw and from analysis of the videos and photographs published on the meeting proves there was no “long journey”; no meeting in Kiev or in Lvov, the Galician region capital, which is the operating headquarters of the Ukrainian government. From the evidence provided by the Poles and also by Zelensky’s publicity staff, it is now clear that only a small part of western Ukraine remains in Ukrainian hands. Zelensky himself is now in Polish hands.*
The Warsaw sources say the idea for the summit meeting was initiated by Polish Deputy Prime Minister Jaroslaw Kaczynski. Since the death of his twin brother in an aircraft crash at Smolensk, Russia, in 2010, Kaczynski has been one of the most influential politicians in Poland; he is in charge of the defence, security, interior and justice ministries. He is fiercely anti-Russian.
*There were multiple reports early on in the war that Zelensky had escaped to the US embassy in Poland.
...
The Polish sources believe there was no possibility that Kaczynski, Prime Minister Morawiecki, or the Czech and Slovenian delegations would have applied to Moscow for safe conduct to Kiev; nor would they have risked their own security by running the gauntlet of Russian electronic and air surveillance and missile attack on a two-hour train journey from Przymysl to Lvov, or on the seven-hour journey to Kiev.
Instead, the Czech and Slovenian officials flew into Rzeszow Jasionka, the nearest airport to Przemysl; the airfield is also a NATO logistics and security base. They then drove to Przemysl. There the Ukrainians had despatched one of the luxury versions of the regular train service between Przemysl, Lvov, and Kiev. This had been fitted up for fabricated photographs of the Polish, Czech and Slovenian officials meeting as they purportedly travelled towards Zelensky in Kiev. The press which has published these pictures knows them to have been faked and has assisted in concealing the real location.
...
shadows at the feet of the official group photograph reveal the picture was taken in the open-air, sun-lit section of Przymysl station as revealed in the photograph at bottom. All photographs confirm the paving design of the rail platform is specific to Przemysl.
...
The platform paving is similar in Kiev and Lvov but quite different at Przemysl. The roofing of the two stations covers the length of the platform and allows no open-air section as at Przemysl.
...
The Associated Press (AP) – a US-owned corporation based in New York — has provided the most detailed bulletin on the meeting, its participants, and what they discussed. The agency byline reveals that its reporters filed their story from Warsaw; they were not present at the events they claim to have verified. The only direct source for the AP report was reported to be a Polish official who was reported as saying: “The visit had been planned for several days but was kept secret for security reasons, said Michal Dworczyk, chief of staff for Morawiecki”.
In the fine print under AP’s publication of photographs of the meeting, the agency issued a source disclaimer. The images came from “video provided by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Office”, AP said.
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