Ragtime wrote:
Nan wrote:
Not meaning to feed the paranoia of those afraid of cosmic cataclysms, but these things happen all the time - check spaceweather.com and at the bottom of the page there is a list of known neos and how close they came/will come to the earth. (Note "LD" is the distance from the earth to the moon.) I think the closest one I noticed was a year or two ago one passed at 0.1 LD (which is pretty darned close!), but I could be remembering it wrong.

The article says this was 1/7th LD, so it was one of the closest. How big was that other one (the 0.1 LD)?
Don't remember.... actually, lemme check.... hmmm I think it was this one. A lot more recent... (memory goes once you pass 18, you know).
Object (2009 EJ1)
Close-Approach Date Ascending (TDB) YYYY-mmm-DD HH:MM ± D_HH:MM 2009-Feb-27 19:44 ± 02:32
Miss Distance Nominal (LD/AU) 0.2/0.0004
Miss Distance Minimum (LD/AU) 0.1/0.0004
mag 26.9
Lovely websites:
old comet misses are here
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/ca/historic_comets.html
color-coded potential impact risk here
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/
here's the "by distance" table for recent
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/neo_ca? ... ble&show=1
Now, for the really paranoid, who plan to be alive in 700 years, there's this...
"1950 DA is an asteroid for which there is some possibility of impact in March of the year 2880. The case is extraordinary because the current orbit of 1950 DA is very precisely known, which allows us to explore centuries into the future, much farther than is usually possible. The Sentry automatic monitoring system is tailored for objects with poorly determined orbits and it searches for potential impacts only over the next 100 years. More information on 1950 DA."