sonofghandi wrote:
I am not going to say that there is absolutely no chance that you will end up with ebola, but let me try to put it a little more into perspective:
number of cases of ebola (est.):
10,000
population of Africa:
1,111,000,000
Which means that months and months of ebola spread has resulted in <0.0009% of the population of Africa becoming infected. This low percentage even in the middle of poor avail;ability of facilities and sterile supplies, shortages of health care workers, lack of education about the disease, improper body handling and burial, a custom of touching the body of the deceased (particularly the face), and poor sanitary living conditions in many areas.
The chances of a widespread outbreak in the US is minimal.
The best thing we could do is contain and control the pandemic at the source. But I guess all we'll really do is provide significantly less cash, supplies, and manpower than is needed while convincing ourselves that experts in epidemiology and infectious disease don't know what they are talking about.
All true, but Doctors Without Borders called this progression months ago, and now others are agreeing, the next 10,000 cases will come within a month, and twice that in two months. Children's Hospital of Boston put out a chart showing the same curve, and another on halfchan follows the progression, till Aug. 2016, when everyone on earth is infected.
Even the 30% who survive are not safe, as being immune does not last, nor does it cover other versions, mutants, and survive is not recover, it was rightly described as being hit by a bus.
Of course, this is just about people, but as it spreads it will infect bats, dogs, and other animals that do not die from it, they just play host till some ape comes along. The Ebolas had a limited range, limited population, and could hardly damage a village in Uganda ten years ago. They were rural and barely surving.
Now the Ebolas have found a food supply, a place to breed, and their population, which recently could have been several kilos or less, is progressing to hundreds of kilos. Real numbers may be much smaller, the combined biomass is still growing.
They do now have access to domestic animals, dogs, pigs, to expand their range, and any organism that undergrows a population boom, develops mutants.
With the 1918 Flu, and Andromina Strain, it mutated into a non lethal form. This one seems to be going for more lethal, 70%. It is also jumping to non traditional hosts, dogs, pigs, and likely birds.
Also, as with humans, Typhoid Mary was a rare case. She was only found because everyone she cooked for died. HIV, a killer, that in some people never progresses from HIV to AIDS, and some with AIDS, do not get sick and die.
So expose enough, and some will look healthy but carry death for all they come in contact with.
Screening can never work, because some will be infected at the airport, and show no signs for 21 days. Some will never show signs, and only lab tests can show they are infected.
So what? People in Africa do die a lot from being Black! Truth is, they each die once, just like everyone else. Along the way they do host most of the HIV on earth, and now have an almost exclusive on Ebola.
Africans live less than fifty years, some five million dying before they are five every year. Over twenty-five million a year die, and the population goes up. A doubling of the deaths would not affect population much.
A doubling of deaths from Ebola, and it would follow the same paths HIV did to leave Africa. The differance is, HIV is hard to catch. The HIV trail is a natural for Ebola to follow, weakened immune systems.
We are trying to contain a few cases, and failing, a constant twenty-five million in Africa, would be much harder to contain.
Other problems,
we will run out of body bags.
When tens of thousands a month come down with Ebola, anyone with half a brain will flee.
Those that gather the dead are already overloaded. When that breaks down, the dead are everywhere, there will be no place for the living.
African Borders, are millitary borders, the answer to Ebola coming is shoot on sight, leaving bodies to feed the dogs. Vultures may host Ebola. None of this will slow the spread of Ebola. It is like trying to stop a forest fire with a machine gun.
The ultimate African weapon, the bribe, will get a passport from somewhere else, and a ticket to Europe.
Like Mexicans, everybody has family and friends in the US, illegally.
Like Columbus, who only once landed in the new world, and killed seventy-five million, because he and his crew never bathed, and carried a collection of new disease. He also brought rats.
Once the undocumented cultural ambassators discover that contacts of the dead are tracked, no dead will be found.
I have saved the worst for last, quit reading if you are weak, West Africa produces most of the worlds Chocolate. Like Coffee, it takes a perfect climate, soil, and lots of child labor that has to work for pennies a day. Without the Fountain of Excess Youth, there will be no one to learn the joys of growing crops, from dawn to dusk, picking, processing, loading containers, in exchange for several small meals, being allowed to sleep in the fields, and being paid, minus costs, at the end of the season.
Europes gift of cultural enrichment to Africa will be lost. They will have no other chance at contract labor, in death. These children have a right to be worked to death in the fields!
There are many orphans that could become the property of the growers, to keep this tradition alive. Healthy children checked by a Vet, restricted to the plantation, where they will have a secure place for life. Orphans need support, and they are not charged for that and the training through labor.
Save The Children! The Chocolate Must Flow!
14 Oct 2014, 10:16 pm
