Will Trump be pulling a Richard Nixon on us?

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This says that if Trump refuses to vacate the White House after losing in 2020, he would only have the White House in his position and not necessarily any control over the government. The arms of the US government, the federal agencies and the military may consider him to no longer be President and refuse any orders from him, instead taking orders from his successor. Any order he issues may be challenged in court as illegitimate, and the states may refuse to recognize his actions.

Also, anyone appointed by Trump in such an event, would not be legitimate either. So any decisions they make may be challenged in court, and where the decisions they make affect what the states can do, any of the states may ignore them. Vetoes by Trump would not be recognized; if Congress recognizes someone else as President, then they would look for vetoes from that person. Heck, they wouldn't even send the bills to Trump to sign.

So, it looks like that there are mechanisms to deal with a recalcitrant Trump. The only issue that could come up is if any of the agencies or the military sides with Trump, but I find that unlikely. The military's leadership is not particularly happy with Trump, and they have all sworn or affirmed to uphold the laws and Constitution "against all enemies, foreign and domestic." So they would look to the law to find out who is their Commander in Chief.

So I think this threat may actually be overblown. And again, we only have an issue if federal agencies or the military side with Trump, which I consider unlikely.

So violence in this case seems unnecessary. In fact, to avoid an issue with that, Congress may just let Trump lounge in the White House: They'll just cut off all funding for it and direct it to the real President. The White House would probably end up in a rather dilapidated state, which would be kinda sad, but Trump would not be running things.

I believe Trump would (unwillingly) cede power to the next President, while creating a "martyrdom" for himself after he gets out of office.

He's probably not stupid enough to try to hold onto power in the event he loses the election.

I think most likely Trump is going to be removed soon, someway somehow, and be replaced by Pence (who might turn out to be worse...)

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I doubt that he will be removed. I believe it's more likely that he'll resign.

He's not likely to be convicted in an impeachment trial at this point; though future revelations might change this.

He could also lose the next election...

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I would say it's at least somewhat likely that he'll lose the next election.

He won at least five states by a less than 1% margin during the 2016 elections, including Florida. And he lost the popular vote.

I would say a heavier Democratic turnout would be conducive to Trump getting thrashed.

Also didn't be pretty much start losing support in Kentucky, Georgia, and Louisiana recently?

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Yep. But I wish those three states had more electoral votes.

If he loses support in states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin--then my optimism will really bloom.

Virginia is also wholly Democratic in its government now.

Well I at least feel better that people in The Peach State are starting to wise up.

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I think his ego and his history will prevent him leaving. Yes all sorts of people will be telling him he can’t get away with it, this time he has gone too far which is exactly what he has proven wrong time and time again and again and again.

I just do not have confidence in the congressional Republicans siding with the constitution. Whether it is because they are deathly afraid of their own voters or they never believed in the law applying to them or both they have not given me any reason that this time they will do the right thing long term for the country especially if the election is close.

Maybe this time it will be too far, probably the fear of a bunch a 60 year old MAGA’s with homemade weapons is overblown. Of course the Democrats and a few Republicans will try to enforce the constitution, and maybe the federal employees also but what of state and local governments?. If they arrest Trump as they should (assuming they figure out who should arrest him) how will his supporters react?

I envision more anarchy then civil war, the clusterf**k of all clusterfucks, the shitstorm of all shitstorms.

You can correctly argue we have been tested before and have come through worse but how many times can we keep metaphorically driving to the edge of the cliff before driving over it? Assuming what happened in the past will happen again is human but there is always a time when it doesn’t.

Wishful thinking on your part, OP. Get ready for another 4 years... Trump will never give up and he will be re-elected.