Emergence of a Deadly Coronavirus

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Graphs can be difficult to decipher. Unlike equations. The lines show me it is growing, but not in context. As in it being "10 times more contagious than the flu. In order to put the graphs in context, I would have to compare them with graphs going back ten years.

Last edited by EzraS on 01 Apr 2020, 5:25 am, edited 1 time in total.

The "correct" graph can be very useful for understanding what is going on.

Electrical Engineers use something called a Smith Chart, a very weird looking circular chart, because it makes transmission line calculations very simple.

Engineers will plot the data on different charts looking for straight lines.
Or in the case of the Smith Chart, near perfect circles.

Some people are better able to spot trends with visual data.

I wonder if anyone still looks at stocks by numbers. A ticker tape feed of numbers as stock prices jump up and down.

I am lucky enough to be able to do both. And equations. But, how do you know if an equation is good for experimental data?

Does the ability to objectively remember data from decades ago count as an "Aspie Superpower?"

When I went to school there seemed to be way too much concern about bias and fudging the data.
Why? I just want to learn the best way to do something. Why would I arbitrarily pick a side and fudge the data?

You give me all the epidemic and pandemic graphs gong back 10 years and I will work with them.

This is a common issue at work. I can only remember stuff that I've been told or found out on my own.

Every superpower has its limits.

I don't have all the epidemological curves collected.
This is H1N1 in the US:

and Mexico:


With Covid, most of the world is still on the climbing side of the first curve and we don't really know how it develops further.

No, I don't say we're imminently doomed. The sanitary routines at your home make you unlikely to catch Covid. I just say, comparing a summary of an epidemics that is over to summaries of an epidemics that is still gaining momentum makes no sense.

I agree. That's why I prefer to work with the numbers.

That's O.K. Most of us are Aspies here and we can relate.

Off hand I would say, Yes. IMHO Aspie brains have more interconnects than NT brains. It is like the difference between serial and parallel communications. Aspies utilize parallel processing. Having so many interconnects means the way we learn takes us longer to arrive at a decision because we integrate a wide range of memories into our logic.

When I perform an introspective analysis, it is like my mind is a massive library card catalog. All those memories are on the shelves like books. I do not see the memories. But the brain retains the card catalog, so it allows me to remember that a memory exist and its location and sometimes clues where to look, and a fuzzy premonition of that data and experience. And during the last part of my sleep cycle, my mind is able to zip along at the speed of light retrieving these past memories from the book shelves and deriving the best solutions. And those are a different thought process that NTs use.

The point is simply to flatten the curve so as not to overburden hospitals but media and ppl take it to next level of panicking. Human nature perhaps.

Thats so trueeeeee!! !!

Although I bet having ADD/ADHD too wd mess with the input andprocessing of input too and it wdnt apply in that straightforward of a way. I think i have that too..

Actually numbers (data) are something I don't usually take in, my eyes glaze over with those things... :/ but with interpersonal matters it applies to me

I was trying to post these yesterday but my phone would not allow me to copy any link.

Something Doug Ford and I have in common during this time:
https://www.thebeaverton.com/2020/03/do ... out-bangs/

And this spoof has much truth to it :
https://www.thebeaverton.com/2020/03/ce ... e-to-mock/

Is the Beaverton anything like the onion?

Yes indeed

Spain is catching up with Italy.

US is at past 200k with about 4k deaths which is a mortality rate of about 2%.

Last edited by EzraS on 01 Apr 2020, 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.

I was in CVS Pharmacy a few minutes ago and I would estimate that 60% of the people inside were wearing face mask.

In another article this morning:

While medical face masks should be reserved for health professionals battling the coronavirus amid a shortage of protective equipment, some experts are saying others should consider improvising their own mask.

“Cover your face with cloth — however you want to do that,” Shan Soe-Lin, a lecturer at the Yale Jackson Institute for Global Affairs, told The New York Times. “Cover your face pretty thoroughly from your mouth to your nose to prevent large aerosol droplets coming out or going in.”

New data showing as many as 25 percent of those infected are asymptomatic has led the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to reconsider advising the public not to wear masks, the Times reported.

“I think increasing evidence suggests the virus is spread not just through droplets but through aerosols,” Dr. Gerardo Chowell, an epidemiologist at Georgia State University, told the Times. “It would make a lot of sense to encourage at the very least face-mask use in enclosed spaces, including supermarkets.”

Studies have shown that wearing a mask can lower the risk for respiratory infection, including SARS, the Times reported.

Shan wrote in an op-ed for The Boston Globe that scarves and bandanas can be used if inexpensive cloth masks are unavailable.

Scientists who study airborne diseases advise that thicker fabric will give more protection, and Linsey Marr, an airborne disease expert at Virginia Tech, told the Times that thick cotton or felt are ideal.

She said if you use a bandana, triple it up because the fabric is so thin it likely won’t give much protection.

Cloth masks should be washed every day you wear them.

Scott Gottlieb, a former commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration in the Trump administration, told The Washington Post that homemade masks like bandanas don't protect the wearer from the virus, but could keep the wearer from spreading infected droplets.

“A cotton mask — we should be putting out guidelines from the CDC on how you can develop a mask on your own," he said.

Gottlieb wrote a pandemic-response plan published by the American Enterprise Institute last weekend that calls for “everyone, including people without symptoms...to wear nonmedical fabric face masks while in public.”

Dr. Adit Ginde, a professor of emergency medicine at the University of Colorado School of Medicine, told the Times, “I still believe that masks are primarily for health care workers and for those who are sick to help prevent spreading droplets to others. However, I do believe that for limited circumstances when individuals must be in close quarters with others, a correctly positioned mask or other face cover for a short duration could be helpful.”

Source: Should you wear a homemade face mask?