ABC News: Climate Change No Longer a Theory, It's Happening

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Inventor
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30 Jan 2011, 8:27 pm

Thirty-forty years ago it was people driven, Rachel Carlson, Silent Spring, brought out the damage DDT was doing,

But we were a bunch of Pinko, hippy, fellow travelers, until the report on lead in gas came out, A 10%-20% drop in IQ scores, just as we were going to outsmart Ivan. Gas got cleaned up in a year, and while new cars got pollution controls in 1972, leaded gas was the problem, and the oil companies walked free, claiming that the high lead content in children was because they ate paint chips. A well paid Congress agreed.

The obvious was pulled, DDT, Dioxen, Lead, and after the river in Clevland caught fire, clean water and air acts.

What was not covered was sewer. As long as there were no Cholera or Typhoid outbreaks, everything was certified clean water. When Nitrates were blamed, soap and sewer, it was blamed on farms and cattle. They dump theirs on dirt, cities discharge directly into rivers.

Farms and cattle could be regulated, cities never were.

Stopping it at the source, cleaning up, brought the EPA as an Agency, who blamed private parties, and controlled all complaints. Nothing happened, except the EPA got paid and retired.

No progress in thirty years. Discharges increased, but were certified allowed.

Economics closed the steel mills, that were allowed, just as coal fired electric still is. They do cause acid rain, and release CO2. They have bought Congress, and to avoid building cleaner plants, propose Freedom, everyone has the right to produce CO2, and they can buy those rights, and continue as always.

Cap means a full house, no cleaner burning plant can move in, for we have capped emissions. Trade means a closed steel mill could sell it's emissions quota. As coal and steel had the same owners, then electric, they could sell to themselves, and block any clean plant from being built.

This is what is called an "Industry Solution." Like letting Goldman Sachs take over the Treasury, and The Federal Reserve.

Global Warming has a political start. It was not the old line groups, they were all for reducing the by products of humans. They were for expensive smokestack scrubbers, Cap and Trade is an Industry counter offer, with government payoffs. That is cheaper than using existing technology to clean up the source.

Atomic power is the same, Licensed for twenty years, the license keeps getting extended because of the cost of deactivating a plant. They will be certified safe till they Chernoble.

It was the same for bridges and dams that were built for fifty year use, and are now closer to a hundred.

Such is the will of industry, government always agrees, and only when the people demand, does anything change. The people paid the cost of replacing all of the above, on their electric bill, or when buying gas. Every business includes replacement in the price.

A modern Atomic Plant would make the rest unprofitable, so no new ones get built, as industry controls the regulations.

A Breeder Reactor would ruin, Coal, Atomic, Oil, so research is not funded, and no one can do that on a lab bench. Anti-Matter? The Supercollider was cancelled mid project.

Vested Interests have bought Congress, and with it our future.

Under START, we have a lot of retired warheads, enough to produce fuel rods to light up this country for a thousand years, ours, bought and paid for.

Oak Ridge was an off shoot of TVA, Government produced power. Nothing is stopping building plants at Oak Ridge, and Hanford in Washington, and returning the energy we bought. The plants built thirty or forty years ago were a test. We know how to do it right, decommision in place, and both sites are already hot.

When mandated, sewer is a rich feedstock for materials recovery, Even if it runs at a loss, it is better than what we are doing now. Smoke Stack recovery also produces industrial chemicals. Clean may cost, but it is not an entire loss, and it produces something while keeping a clean world.

We paid, it is no different than Social Security, you took the money then, pay now. Congress will not do this for us.

Mitigating damage is one point. The other is climate does change, we do have an impact on other species, we need the bees, soil microbes, and they need some buffers.

Planting a two hundred mile wide strip down from Canada to Mexico, with food, water, shelter, would keep the wild alive. It would also change the weather, maybe not for a hundred years, but something good sometime. Just watching the Monarch butterflies, the Hummingbirds, is worth it for me.

Like building reefs in the ocean, which works, we need to build long land reefs. We are part of nature, the only one who can use a shovel. Little creatures have kept us alive for thousands of years, it is time for us to repay them.

It is all within our reach, we own it, and our claim comes before those with friends in Congress who would clear cut, strip mine, and use it for a land fill.

Clean cities could be built along the sides, watch the buffalo migrate from the deck, and it would provide jobs for a hundred years, protecting the land, building new and clean, and tearing down the past. Elevated high speed electric rail could cross two hundred miles in an hour, the same north and south, four cities within commuting distance.

We need to start living like backpackers in a wilderness area, inventory everything taken in, and check off every candy wrapper coming out.

We are still in the game, sea level has been seven meters higher, around 25,000 years ago, and 150 meters lower, around 20,000-12,000 years ago. What survived repopulated the planet.

The only way to preserve ourselves, is to preserve all life.



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30 Jan 2011, 8:58 pm

Awesome post, Inventor.


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ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo
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31 Jan 2011, 12:32 am

If, within twenty years, we experience another mini ice age in the northern hemisphere, we'll know something's going on.



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31 Jan 2011, 12:41 am

we may already be past the point of "pay me now or pay me later." so we might as well buckle our collective seatbelts and hold on, it's going to be a bumpy ride. it's going to be a long time of "mourning in america" before it's "morning in america" again, if ever.



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31 Jan 2011, 2:37 am

Inventor wrote:
Thirty-forty years ago it was people driven, Rachel Carlson, Silent Spring, brought out the damage DDT was doing,

But we were a bunch of Pinko, hippy, fellow travelers, until the report on lead in gas came out, A 10%-20% drop in IQ scores, just as we were going to outsmart Ivan. Gas got cleaned up in a year, and while new cars got pollution controls in 1972, leaded gas was the problem, and the oil companies walked free, claiming that the high lead content in children was because they ate paint chips. A well paid Congress agreed.

The obvious was pulled, DDT, Dioxen, Lead, and after the river in Clevland caught fire, clean water and air acts.

What was not covered was sewer. As long as there were no Cholera or Typhoid outbreaks, everything was certified clean water. When Nitrates were blamed, soap and sewer, it was blamed on farms and cattle. They dump theirs on dirt, cities discharge directly into rivers.

Farms and cattle could be regulated, cities never were.

Stopping it at the source, cleaning up, brought the EPA as an Agency, who blamed private parties, and controlled all complaints. Nothing happened, except the EPA got paid and retired.

No progress in thirty years. Discharges increased, but were certified allowed.

Economics closed the steel mills, that were allowed, just as coal fired electric still is. They do cause acid rain, and release CO2. They have bought Congress, and to avoid building cleaner plants, propose Freedom, everyone has the right to produce CO2, and they can buy those rights, and continue as always.

Cap means a full house, no cleaner burning plant can move in, for we have capped emissions. Trade means a closed steel mill could sell it's emissions quota. As coal and steel had the same owners, then electric, they could sell to themselves, and block any clean plant from being built.

This is what is called an "Industry Solution." Like letting Goldman Sachs take over the Treasury, and The Federal Reserve.

Global Warming has a political start. It was not the old line groups, they were all for reducing the by products of humans. They were for expensive smokestack scrubbers, Cap and Trade is an Industry counter offer, with government payoffs. That is cheaper than using existing technology to clean up the source.

Atomic power is the same, Licensed for twenty years, the license keeps getting extended because of the cost of deactivating a plant. They will be certified safe till they Chernoble.

It was the same for bridges and dams that were built for fifty year use, and are now closer to a hundred.

Such is the will of industry, government always agrees, and only when the people demand, does anything change. The people paid the cost of replacing all of the above, on their electric bill, or when buying gas. Every business includes replacement in the price.

A modern Atomic Plant would make the rest unprofitable, so no new ones get built, as industry controls the regulations.

A Breeder Reactor would ruin, Coal, Atomic, Oil, so research is not funded, and no one can do that on a lab bench. Anti-Matter? The Supercollider was cancelled mid project.

Vested Interests have bought Congress, and with it our future.

Under START, we have a lot of retired warheads, enough to produce fuel rods to light up this country for a thousand years, ours, bought and paid for.

Oak Ridge was an off shoot of TVA, Government produced power. Nothing is stopping building plants at Oak Ridge, and Hanford in Washington, and returning the energy we bought. The plants built thirty or forty years ago were a test. We know how to do it right, decommision in place, and both sites are already hot.

When mandated, sewer is a rich feedstock for materials recovery, Even if it runs at a loss, it is better than what we are doing now. Smoke Stack recovery also produces industrial chemicals. Clean may cost, but it is not an entire loss, and it produces something while keeping a clean world.

We paid, it is no different than Social Security, you took the money then, pay now. Congress will not do this for us.

Mitigating damage is one point. The other is climate does change, we do have an impact on other species, we need the bees, soil microbes, and they need some buffers.

Planting a two hundred mile wide strip down from Canada to Mexico, with food, water, shelter, would keep the wild alive. It would also change the weather, maybe not for a hundred years, but something good sometime. Just watching the Monarch butterflies, the Hummingbirds, is worth it for me.

Like building reefs in the ocean, which works, we need to build long land reefs. We are part of nature, the only one who can use a shovel. Little creatures have kept us alive for thousands of years, it is time for us to repay them.

It is all within our reach, we own it, and our claim comes before those with friends in Congress who would clear cut, strip mine, and use it for a land fill.

Clean cities could be built along the sides, watch the buffalo migrate from the deck, and it would provide jobs for a hundred years, protecting the land, building new and clean, and tearing down the past. Elevated high speed electric rail could cross two hundred miles in an hour, the same north and south, four cities within commuting distance.

We need to start living like backpackers in a wilderness area, inventory everything taken in, and check off every candy wrapper coming out.

We are still in the game, sea level has been seven meters higher, around 25,000 years ago, and 150 meters lower, around 20,000-12,000 years ago. What survived repopulated the planet.

The only way to preserve ourselves, is to preserve all life.

Hmmm... there might be support for some of your ideas once there is money for it, and in order fior there to be money for it, we will need to rebuild our industry big time. Also, rushing out to replace every old factory and power plant is not cost efficient (you haven't got your money's worth out of the old facilities) or environmentally friendly because you are making extra emissions building a replacement for something that is still usable.


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31 Jan 2011, 10:40 pm

ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo wrote:
If, within twenty years, we experience another mini ice age in the northern hemisphere, we'll know something's going on.


Good news! You won't have to wait that long. It has already started. (Look out your window)
The big question is whether it is a mini ice or the return of the "big one".

For the last few million years the pattern has been 100,000 years of ice age followed by a 10,000 year interglacial period. The last big ice age ended around 10,000 years ago. Whoops.

More good news (for me). I looked up what happened to Australia during the big ice age.

It was actually two degrees WARMER with more rain. (Boy, did we ever get more rain this year!)
Why?
Because during an ice age the Gulf Stream stops. The Gulf Stream pumps heat from the Southern Hemisphere to the Northern Hemisphere. Without it the heat remains in the Southern Hemisphere making it warmer here.



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01 Feb 2011, 12:08 am

Wombat wrote:
Good news! You won't have to wait that long. It has already started. (Look out your window)
The big question is whether it is a mini ice or the return of the "big one".

For the last few million years the pattern has been 100,000 years of ice age followed by a 10,000 year interglacial period. The last big ice age ended around 10,000 years ago. Whoops.

More good news (for me). I looked up what happened to Australia during the big ice age.

It was actually two degrees WARMER with more rain. (Boy, did we ever get more rain this year!)
Why?
Because during an ice age the Gulf Stream stops. The Gulf Stream pumps heat from the Southern Hemisphere to the Northern Hemisphere. Without it the heat remains in the Southern Hemisphere making it warmer here.

Excess carbon dioxide could be speeding up the process, so the glaciers melt faster, causing abrupt disruption of the gulf stream current, maybe causing this massive snowstorm that's about to hit. It's supposed to be one of the worst storms we've ever had around here. This wasn't the only one. We had a few worse than average ones last winter, too.
If it becomes a yearly event, with each year getting worse, we will know something is up. Even the hardcore deniers will have to admit the climate is changing, for whatever reason.



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01 Feb 2011, 12:57 am

We are not only post industrial age, we are post information age.

The next thing to base an economy on is Biological. Bio tourism would be big. A few million buffalo, Hummingbirds, butterflies, enough ducks to darken the skies for days in their passing, and the last refuge of song birds. I have not seen a Bluebird since childhood.

As for funding, we are spending money on people who do nothing, will be doing nothing for at least five years, and those who are graduating from the University who cannot find any job, and the Student Loans are due.

We need a WPA style project that is large enough to stop these people from becoming roving bands of cannibal pirates.

Inputs are little needed, clear land, houses, fences, roads, powerlines, cultivate, fertilize, plant, here some sewer and feed lot wastes could do good, and plant tall grass. One hundred and fifty years ago there were 90,000,000 buffalo.

They eat grass and die, killing most of the males, old females, leads to more grass for the young females and young, and a pile of good lean meat. They also keep the grass, which prevents drought. We would lose some marginal farmland, and gain rainfall.

Last time it ran without management for thousands of years. Even two million buffalo will produce a billion pounds of meat a year. That is income from bio industry. People also pay $5,000 to shoot an Elk. Deer, Elk, will always overpopulate. Africa has lost the big game market.

There are few good investments, Bonds would work. Private Capital with a return based on land producing grass, producing meat. Look at all the money invested and lost in the tech bubble, this one has a set outcome.

We have cities in decline due to the river boats quit coming, barge traffic, manufacturing ended, and we can leave them as ruins, like Detroit, or reduce them by half, and perhaps save half. That will cost, is non productive, but clears the ground for another cycle.

Nothing will restore the manufacturing past. We have machines for that. What we need are jobs, and Deconstruction has the potential to remove many from the workforce, which will drive up wages.

City Planning comes after the fact, and has never come first. Plan a city where there is water, transport, and hire the economically displaced to build it and live there. Jobs and food supply should come first.

We have cities that have lost people, I live in one. Houses stand in ruins becaue no one wants to live here. Suburban sprall worked with cheap gas, but now we need to bring people closer.

Our oil problem would end with half the miles driven, there would be a market glut.

Electric costs would drop by half if all production went into a supercooled net. Just transmission loss is 25%, and with no loss shifting power across the country, production could be steady, much cheaper than trying to produce peak power, then shutting down. Tesla laid out how to do it a hundred years ago. Westinghouse wanted powerlines, because they were cheaper to build in the short term. He was thinking Niagra Falls to New York City, times have changed.

We do not have any problems that cannot be solved.

I do not consider speculators losing in the stock and housing markets a problem, no more than the losers in Vegas.

Our last National plan was the Interstate Highways. That works for me, and take up as much room as my land reef. Time for an upgrade, piping water, power, running rails, forming a national grid.

We need a future to move to.

"Where there is no vision the people perish."



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01 Feb 2011, 7:11 am

ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo wrote:
If it becomes a yearly event, with each year getting worse, we will know something is up. Even the hardcore deniers will have to admit the climate is changing, for whatever reason.


Oh yes, the climate is changing but it has nothing to do with CO2 or humans.

It has everything to do with variations within the sun and variations in the Earth's orbit.

The "warmists" are taxing New Zealand farmers for their cows farting.

How much crud went into the air last year from forest fires or the volcano in Iceland?

Gee, they didn't mention that did they? They just want to double my electricity bill so that I can't afford to use my clothes dryer.

Global warming? I wish. Warmer temperatures and more CO2 means that crops will grow better.

Colder temperatures mean we die. Millions of Europeans starved during the "Little Ice Age" a few hundred years ago.



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01 Feb 2011, 10:43 am

Wombat wrote:
Oh yes, the climate is changing but it has nothing to do with CO2 or humans.

Why would you think humans would have no impact on the planet? There's plenty of proof that industrialization affects the environment. You only have to google "Love Canal," and that's just one example. What we do does influence the atmospheric quality, ground water, and soil.
Are you saying industrialization can pollute but cannot cause climate change?
Why not just admit you don't know for sure, no more than anyone else.

Quote:
It has everything to do with variations within the sun and variations in the Earth's orbit.

What about volcanoes and methane? They have no impact on the planet? What about meteorites? It's all because of the earth's orbit, with no other variables. Is that what you honestly believe? There cannot be any other possibilities?
How can you be sure?

Quote:
The "warmists" are taxing New Zealand farmers for their cows farting.

The earth is warming up, but it won't necessarily mean we will be basking in the sunlight. We could experience unique weather phenomena that we are not easily adapted to. "Warming" is a bit misleading. "Dramatic climatic impact" is a more fitting description...

Quote:
How much crud went into the air last year from forest fires or the volcano in Iceland?

They only add to the problem...

Quote:
Gee, they didn't mention that did they? They just want to double my electricity bill so that I can't afford to use my clothes dryer.

It's better to just find alternate technology than to hamper services or make them very costly to the consumer.

Quote:
Global warming? I wish. Warmer temperatures and more CO2 means that crops will grow better.

Actually, no. That's not what it means. Earth has complex weather which would be and is greatly impacted by such additions.
The warming of the globe doesn't mean the weather will be compatable everywhere on earth. The results will be devestating to some.

Quote:
Colder temperatures mean we die. Millions of Europeans starved during the "Little Ice Age" a few hundred years ago.

Just buy some polar parkas, insulated gloves and boots. Always carry a cigarette lighter with you in case you need to light a fire for warmth. You should do alright ;)



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01 Feb 2011, 1:29 pm

Inuyasha wrote:
Okay, why does one put ice in a drink on a hot day...


Because as the ice melts it cools the drink, the same thing will happen as iceberg's melt climate change is natural.


But is the drink warmer than it should be, in the first place? That is not meant to be flippant, I think that there is a serious question here. Is the planet warmer than it would have been but for our presence. I think the answer to that one is a pretty easy, "yes." The more difficult question is does that have an impact on climate. I think the answer is a pretty definite, "maybe."

Quote:
There have been warm periods followed by ice ages before humans existed.


And during human history, as well. I don't think that anyone is denying that there is natural climate change.

But I think the reference to natural climate change makes the supposition that our civilization can survive climate change. And if climate change is going to have a devastating impact, is there anything that we can do to ret*d change or to mitigate its impact?


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01 Feb 2011, 2:48 pm

Besides, the ice in the glass is not anything like a glacier melting. A glass of water doesn't have currents in it, like the ocean. It doesn't have weather systems and climate, either.

If the glaciers melt, it will be nothing like a few ice cubes melting inside your Big Gulp. You can see, your watered down Dr Pepper is not going to affect anyone but whomever tries to drink it and thinks it tastes weak.
When the glaciers start to melt full force, the northern hemisphere will get extremely cold. Canada will be virtually uninhabitable. Parts of the northern US will be covered by glaciers, depending on how severe the climate change is.
Imagine living on Greenland...

So, if your plan is to migrate someplace near the Tropic of Cancer, Capricorn or equator, you should do okay. There's going to be a lot of people wanting to live there, so expect crowds.



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01 Feb 2011, 2:57 pm

ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo wrote:
Besides, the ice in the glass is not anything like a glacier melting. A glass of water doesn't have currents in it, like the ocean. It doesn't have weather systems and climate, either.

If the glaciers melt, it will be nothing like a few ice cubes melting inside your Big Gulp. You can see, your watered down Dr Pepper is not going to affect anyone but whomever tries to drink it and thinks it tastes weak.
When the glaciers start to melt full force, the northern hemisphere will get extremely cold. Canada will be virtually uninhabitable. Parts of the northern US will be covered by glaciers, depending on how severe the climate change is.
Imagine living on Greenland...

So, if your plan is to migrate someplace near the Tropic of Cancer, Capricorn or equator, you should do okay. There's going to be a lot of people wanting to live there, so expect crowds.


The cooling as a result of the ice would offset the temperature changes and in fact could cause the opposite effect. I am well aware of oceans and weather patterns or are you saying that ocean temperature has no effect on climate, only CO^2 and man made emissions do?



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01 Feb 2011, 3:07 pm

Inuyasha wrote:
ooOoOoOAnaOoOoOoo wrote:
Besides, the ice in the glass is not anything like a glacier melting. A glass of water doesn't have currents in it, like the ocean. It doesn't have weather systems and climate, either.

If the glaciers melt, it will be nothing like a few ice cubes melting inside your Big Gulp. You can see, your watered down Dr Pepper is not going to affect anyone but whomever tries to drink it and thinks it tastes weak.
When the glaciers start to melt full force, the northern hemisphere will get extremely cold. Canada will be virtually uninhabitable. Parts of the northern US will be covered by glaciers, depending on how severe the climate change is.
Imagine living on Greenland...

So, if your plan is to migrate someplace near the Tropic of Cancer, Capricorn or equator, you should do okay. There's going to be a lot of people wanting to live there, so expect crowds.


The cooling as a result of the ice would offset the temperature changes and in fact could cause the opposite effect. I am well aware of oceans and weather patterns or are you saying that ocean temperature has no effect on climate, only CO^2 and man made emissions do?

This would take a long time. The hemisphere would be in a cooling pattern, cut off from the warmth of the ocean currents affecting climate. It would be a cycle of cooling that would be hard to break. The glaciers would keep the northern hemisphere cold with or without the oceanic currents. These glaciers up north have been receding for quite some time. They are what is left of what was once over a good portion of the northern continents.

Of course, climate change has happened before. Scientists say it is happening much faster than it would, naturally, because of industrialization. They are not saying industrialization is the only culprit or factor in such events. They simply mean industrialization is speeding up the process, much like massive volcanic eruptions or a large meteorite would.
Solar activity might play a role, not a large one, perhaps, but a medium to small role. We need more studies.



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03 Feb 2011, 3:52 am

Jacoby wrote:
climate change is natural and won't hard the planet


If so then good - I like my planets soft and chewy, not crunchy :lol:

Seriously, in NZ our spring has shifted from meadows filled with flowers and frolicking lambs to ice and snow storms and... well, lots of dead lambs. Tropical depressions are more intense, droughts longer lasting, rainfall more sudden and heavy.


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03 Feb 2011, 4:59 am

The problem is not that the climate is changing so much as it is the rate that the climate is changing. The fear is many forms of life will not be able to adapt. Many forms of oxygen producing life. And that could cause a chain of mass extinctions that includes humans.

That said, life will persist. There are deep, dark places in the ocean where life would continue on as normal even should all organisms on the surface perish.

Nobody is saying humans caused climate change. They're saying we're speeding it up to dangerous levels and extremes.