cyberdad wrote:
ouinon2 wrote:
cyberdad wrote:
ouinon2 wrote:
I see no reason to believe that it is a biological weapon. What purpose could it serve?
I spoke to a friend who is [] a micriobiologist and his take is that the Chinese were experimenting with recombining DNA between the HIV virus and common flu to create an airborne transmissable virus that once infected never leaves the body unless (like HIV) you are treated with very powerful antiviral medication. The other alternative is that they were experimenting with a naturally occuring coronavirus from the Pangolin and injecting it in bats in a lab and one of the bats escaped and ended up in a wet market. Either way In all likelihood it was accidentally released.
Why does your friend prefer that explanation for it, rather than the simplest and most probable, which is that, as has previously happened, the virus transferred spontaneously from a wild animal to humans?
He's a virologist and it's just his theory. ... Yes it's also possible it's an "evolved" coronavirus that's jumped from its animal host to a human ... The genetic history behind the current COVID-19 remains a mystery.
I have been reading some more about this, and although I don't believe that it is/was a bioweapon/deliberately bioengineered for military use, I'm beginning to wonder a little about where it came from.
Apparently there is no significant local population of bats in Wuhan, for instance ( contrary to what I had thought and the impression that is usually given/tends to be reported ), the animal which the virus genome indicates it almost certainly came from.
But lots of research on infectious diseases is done by travelling to rural areas with large local bat populations, because they tend to provide sizeable reservoirs of viruses to study, and bringing samples and animals back with them.
So I am now wondering whether the research lab in Wuhan, alone in the whole of China in having the premises and the license to carry out experiments on higher level/most dangerous or infectious diseases, and using relatively rare and/or wild animals for testing purposes, may have accidentally released this virus, via human error ( natural/inevitable ) or human cupidity ( eg the selling of dead laboratory animals/flesh/body parts on to the nearby "wet market" for the large sums of money that certain rare body parts fetch in China ).
*But* a named member of staff/worker at the Wuhan lab has sworn on their life that the lab is not responsible for the virus entering the general population. And the Chinese government has always stated that it came from the wet market.
On the other hand apparently the Chinese government recently, since the outbreak began, issued new directions and regulations to high level disease research labs, ( unnamed but there is only one in China which handles very dangerous ones, Wuhan ), to upgrade and tighten lab security protocols etc.
In the film Jurassic Park the owner and higher level officers could have sworn on their life that the escaped dinosaurs were not their responsibility, but it only took one dishonest disgruntled employee hoping to make money on the side to completely compromise the security systems.
https://www.thestreet.com/latest-news/w ... b-accident So, I am currently less certain that this virus came *directly* from "the wild".
Perhaps it was given a lift, an unnaturally rapid/almost instant transfer from relatively distant isolated rural/forest areas with low density populations to the inner city, via lab testing conditions/situations which, like the camp-hospitals during the Spanish flu in the last half of World War 1, may have inadvertently selected for the most active/adapted to survival in cities.
If this turned out to be true, that perfectly ordinary human error or cupidity caused the outbreak, then in theory, as you and ... commented above, the Chinese government might be held responsible for a a very big bill for costs worldwide arising from the outbreak, and would explain why it made such extraordinarily gigantic efforts to contain it.
But as far as I can see it wouldn't make any difference to how world governments approach it. Only perhaps aggravate the already horribly widespread racial hostility being shown to Asian people.
Last edited by ouinon2 on 29 Feb 2020, 11:51 am, edited 2 times in total.