Emergence of a Deadly Coronavirus
ASPartOfMe
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Newly published research may offer a way to accurately predict a patient's risk of dying from COVID-19. The authors of a study published Thursday in the journal Nature Machine Intelligence created a model that looks at three biological markers — which can be measured in a drop of blood — that can indicate whether a patient's case might get dangerously severe more than 10 days ahead of time, with at least 90% accuracy.
Taken together, these three clues could "play a crucial role in distinguishing the vast majority of cases that require immediate medical attention," the authors wrote, adding that their model "provides a simple and intuitive clinical test to precisely and quickly quantify the risk of death."
In Wuhan, China, research shows 14%-19% of infected patients became severely sick. Among those critically ill cases, the death rate was higher than 60%.
o identify commonalities between these severe cases, the researchers analyzed blood samples taken repeatedly from 485 coronavirus patients at Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, China, between January 10 and February 18. They tested for myriad kidney, heart, and blood-clotting issues, noted whether those patients had survived or died, then used machine-learning algorithms to look for biological patterns.
The results found that the following indicators can predict whether a patient had a higher risk of death than other infected people:
High levels of the enzyme lactic dehydrogenase (LDH). This is associated with lung damage and the type of tissue breakdown that happens during pneumonia.
Lymphopenia, the term for low levels of lymphocytes — white blood cells that defend the body against invading pathogens.
An increase in high-sensitivity C-reactive proteins, or hs-CRP for short. This indicates inflammation in the lungs.
Using those indicators, the computer model could predict what happened to the hospital patients 10 days in advance of their clinical outcomes.
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“Self Acceptance is a process not a performance”
“You are autistic enough. And you always have been”
Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity.
We are allowed to go outside in my area becaude everyone is so cautious and far apart and wearing masks etc. Not using playground equipment or sports fields for organized sports.. Those are the only rules.
Cops patrol but never say anything otherwise.
Wr went today n yesterday was awesome bcuz of weather! Best antidepressant.
However today I tried to ship a parcel of gifts to my parents for Eid..as a surprise..
And AFTER Id already paid n everything thd guy told me that Abu dhabi is not accepting ANY incoming items due to covid19.
My mom had told me this months ago but I thought by now it would have been lifted??
I mean.. Nothing??
My aunt..
I called her and she said everything is closed in those areas.
.dubai..abu Dhabi..saudi arabia..etc..
Like everything cannot even get delivery for food. Because they don't want people to meet during Eid and get sick
Anyway so I cdnt send my shipment of lots of awesome, useful gifts for my parents who deserve something.
My dad would have loved the cheapest gift of the whole lot.. Flossing sticks.. Since he loves to floss his teeth obsessively.
My fave item shipped to my mom was the Nuxe Florale oil .. I was so excited as she has very good taste in perfume and it has a lovely fragrance in it..
She would have been happy as it has almost entirely natural ingredients..
Since she is basically a hippie.
Now..
Also there was a cool healthy coffee substitute 'mochachino' made of cacao powder, maca powder and vanilla powder that REALLY works. They would both have loved that
ALSO i was sending them a box of masks..
Other things too but those were the ones I was most excited for them to receive..
Bruce lee mode.
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Take defeat as an urge to greater effort.
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ASPartOfMe
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Joined: 25 Aug 2013
Age: 68
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Posts: 39,637
Location: Long Island, New York
Brazil hits record high for new coronavirus cases
The country's health ministry reported 19,951 new cases in the previous 24 hours, bringing the total to 291,579 confirmed cases.
Asked about Brazil's skyrocketing numbers on Tuesday, US President Donald Trump said that he was mulling a travel ban on Brazil.
We are considering it," Trump said, adding: "We hope that we're not going to have a problem. The governor of Florida is doing very, very well testing -- in particular Florida, because a big majority come in to Florida. Brazil has gone more or less herd, and they're having problems.
"I worry about everything, I don't want people coming in here and infecting our people," Trump said, "I don't want people over there sick, either."
Amid the spiraling health crisis, Brazil's lower house of Congress has approved a proposed law that would make use the use of personal protection masks in public spaces mandatory.
The proposed law would require people to wear any form of face covering in areas that are accessible to the public, including parks, sidewalks, public transportation and even private buildings where there is a high level of foot traffic. Individuals not wearing masks would be fined up to $52.
The proposal needs approval by the Senate and Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who rarely wears facial coverings. It is unclear when the Senate vote will happen.
Health system on the brink
Brazil's alarming numbers come days after Sao Paulo's mayor warned that its health system could be overwhelmed very soon if residents don't follow social distancing guidelines. Officials in the major city of 12 million have declared a five-day holiday in a bid to get residents to stay home.
By Monday, Brazil achieved the grim record of having the third-highest number of coronavirus cases in the world, behind the United States and Russia.
Yet Bolsonaro continues to dismiss the threat of the virus, saying quarantines and lockdowns could have a worse impact on Brazil's economy.
He has repeatedly dismissed Covid-19 as a "little flu" and urged businesses to reopen, even as many governors scramble to implement social isolation measures and slow the spread.
The country lost its second health minister in a month last week. Nelson Teich stepped down after clashing with Bolsonaro over the country's coronavirus strategy. In April, Bolsonaro fired his predecessor, Luiz Henrique Mandetta, after a prolonged standoff.
Teich clashed with Bolsonaro over the use of malaria drugs to treat the virus and social isolation measures.
Despite the political crisis, the populist leader continues to tout chloroquine as a potential wonder drug against the new coronavirus -- like his US counterpart Trump -- even though it is an unproven treatment for Covid-19.
Bolsonaro tweeted on Wednesday that there will be new guidelines to expand the use of chloroquine.
"Today we will have a new protocol on chloroquine" issued by the Ministry of Health, Bolsonaro wrote, calling it "a hope, according to the many who have used it."
Brazil's medical authority approved the use of hydroxychloroquine -- which has been described as the less toxic derivative of chloroquine -- in April in serious cases of coronavirus if the doctor and patient agree. Bolsonaro has since pushed for approval to use the drug in less serious cases.
_________________
“Self Acceptance is a process not a performance”
“You are autistic enough. And you always have been”
Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity.
i started working at my current job in mid-march, right when everything here was starting to close. like the second week in we switched to our "pandemic hours" (we close at 7:30 instead of 9:30 now) and it has been like that since.
everyone refers to the old schedule as "normal hours" but to me the pandemic schedule is the "normal hours"
haha!
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הייתי צוללת עכשיו למים
הכי, הכי עמוקים
לא לשמוע כלום
לא לדעת כלום
וזה הכל אהובי, זה הכל.
jimmy m. – It’s a discussion board whose members…
Mr. Rabbitt – You mean some kind of group that believes in aliens.
jimmy m. – Well, no! There might be a few members that do. But not…
Mr. Rabbitt – So do you believe in aliens.
jimmy m. – What! The message board is composed of Aspies.
Mr. Rabbitt – What is an Aspie? Is that some form of aliens?
jimmy m. – No, but some of the members of the message board feel like they are aliens. Not aliens, like illegal’s coming from below the border, but aliens from outer space.
Mr. Rabbitt – So I think I understand. You believe you are an alien from another planet?
jimmy m. – No, I am an elderly citizen who created a DIY to help with the coronavirus pandemic.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you don’t think you are a space alien?
Alex just approved this new logo for Covid-19 WP mirror page
It is a little more complex because I proposed using a stocking made out of thick bamboo material as a face mask because it had anti-microbe properties. It would be nice to have a face mask that kills the virus on contact.
Well I don't think anyone took the concept seriously.
Here is the original post:
-----------------------------------------------------
Mr. Rabbitt – Hello, this is KWRM Radio News Report, J. Rabbitt from sunny Corona, California with an interesting story for you today. I have with me an elderly gentleman that has come up with a unique DIY invention to help with the severe shortage of face mask due to the coronavirus pandemic currently devastating our nation. Let me introduce jimmy m.
jimmy m. – Thank you Jack. I’m glad to be on your show this morning.
Mr. Rabbitt – Now tell us a little about your invention.
jimmy m. – Yes, it is a simple little thing. I took one sock and used a bit of VELCRO from my wife’s sewing supplies.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you made this thing out of a sock?
jimmy m. – Well yes, one of my socks.
Mr. Rabbitt – Well where did you get the sock from?
jimmy m. – Yes, I took it from my drawer, my sock drawer.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you took the sock from your drawer.
jimmy m. – Yes, my sock drawer. You know the one under my bed.
Mr. Rabbitt – Was it a used stocking.
jimmy m. – Well not exactly. I had bought it a few months ago. The thought crossed my mind and I discussed it with some people on Wrong Planet. Bamboo Clothing
Mr. Rabbitt – This WrongPlanet, what is that?
jimmy m. – It’s a discussion board whose members…
Mr. Rabbitt – You mean some kind of group that believes in aliens.
jimmy m. – Well, no! There might be a few members that do. But not…
Mr. Rabbitt – So do you believe in aliens.
jimmy m. – What! The message board is composed of Aspies.
Mr. Rabbitt – What is an Aspie? Is that some form of aliens?
jimmy m. – No, but some of the members of the message board feel like they are aliens. Not aliens, like illegal’s coming from below the border, but aliens from outer space.
Mr. Rabbitt – So I think I understand. You believe you are an alien from another planet?
jimmy m. – No, I am an elderly citizen who created a DIY to help with the coronavirus pandemic.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you don’t think you are a space alien?
jimmy m. – We are really getting off topic here. Let me show you. Here is what I used.

I attached a VELCRO to the sock and put it around my head like this.

Mr. Rabbitt – Doesn’t it smell?
jimmy m. – No, I thought I already told you it was a new stocking.
Mr. Rabbitt – Did you ever think of becoming a professional model.
jimmy m. – Well, No!
Mr. Rabbitt – Good, I don’t think you could cut it.
jimmy m. – Hold on young whippersnapper. I ain’t senile yet. This is serious stuff.
Mr. Rabbitt – And you are going to use this DIY to stop the coronavirus?
jimmy m. – Well, sort of. Not the virus itself but what comes after. You see the stocking is very special.
Mr. Rabbitt – You mean like some sort of magic stocking.
jimmy m. – No it is not magic. It is made out of a special material.
Mr. Rabbitt – You mean like a magic material? Or are we talking alien technology?
jimmy m. – Why are you hung up on the word “magic”? It is made out of bamboo.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you made the face mask out of magic bamboo? Did it come from China?
jimmy m. – No it has nothing to do with magic. I don’t know if it came from China. It is only a very thick athletic stocking made out of bamboo. One of the properties of bamboo is that it has antibiotic properties. I experimented with it and it works well.
Mr. Rabbitt – So how did you test it?
jimmy m. – Well I put the sock on my foot and walked around wearing it for over couple weeks.
Mr. Rabbitt – And that was your experiment?
jimmy m. – Well, Yes! You see I have smelly feet and the foot odor is caused by bacteria. I wore the socks for a couple weeks and took them off and put the stockings up to my nose and they smelt fresh. Just like the day I pulled them new out of the box.
Mr. Rabbitt – So you are going to use this magic bamboo stock to stop the pandemic. You do know that the coronavirus is a virus; not a bacteria.
jimmy m. – Yes of course I know that. That’s not the point.
Mr. Rabbitt – I think it is. You are using a magic stocking to kill a foot odor, which is caused by bacteria on a coronavirus.
jimmy m. – No, you are mixing my words all up. I am using bamboo with antibiotic properties to kill bacteria. The coronavirus attacks the throat. It weakens the immune system. Then the bacteria creeps in and infects a person. And in a day or two they are pushing up daisies.
Mr. Rabbitt – So the stocking prevents daisies?
jimmy m. – No! “Pushing up daisies” is an expression for “becoming dead”. You go to the hospital because you are sick and you pick up another bacterial infection that kills you deader than a doornail. The virus may have made you sick but the bacteria is the one that finishes you off. It is called a hospital-acquired infection (HAI). They can be bacterial infections such as pneumonia.
Mr. Rabbitt – So how do you use this invention of yours?
jimmy m. – It is really quite simple. You put it around your mouth and nose and breathe through it. The antibiotic properties of the mask kill the bacteria trying to get inside your throat.
Mr. Rabbitt – So that is all there is to it?
jimmy m. – Well not exactly. You don’t wear the mask around town. It is when you begin to feel the effect of the coronavirus, when you get a fever or a sore throat and you go to bed that you put on the face mask on and wear it. It would even work against opportunistic bacterial infections that materialize after the common flu. I thought about using a scarf made out of this material. But all I could find on the Internet were those thin scarves that the ladies wear. It would have to be much thicker, like this stocking.
Mr. Rabbitt – Well, there you have it. Jimmy m. has created a DIY face mask using a magic stocking to kill daisies.
-----------------------------------
Well what I found interesting is that today there was an article of another person who proposed using stockings to make facemark:
Amid the coronavirus pandemic, the question is not just should you wear a mask, but what kind.
A young man known as The Poof Daddy with platforms on various social media, from TikTok to Instagram, made a sock hack for a coronavirus mask -- a simple way to keep safe.
The video, which has been seen at least 14 million times on TikTok, shows Joshua taking a Nike sock and cutting it up to make a mask.
Source: Sock hack for coronavirus mask is a simple way to keep safe
I had not read this yesterday as I didn't have time and only spared some time to let out my 'finding' that my parents cannot receive any mail or do anything due to severe restrictions.
However now I have and JimmyM please do more posts like this. You're so good at writing and your personality is refined and thoughtful but witty too.
The only reason you would feel like an alien is because you're better than most people. I say the same of my elder son. He also has a good sense of humour and refined, gentlemanly personality (despite being hyper.).
You could write various informative articles in this format, but It might be too refined for the brazen, caffeinated approach that is most popular online (buzzfeed salon etc).
The writing and humour of masters like Dickens and Stephen Leacock would also go above most people's heads nowadays. Popularity is not a reflection of quality as popular taste recognizes only hyperbole of banality or mean-spirited writing, and value the most shrill and piercing voices
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Take defeat as an urge to greater effort.
-Napoleon Hill
Thanks!
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Author of Practical Preparations for a Coronavirus Pandemic.
A very unique plan. As Dr. Paul Thompson wrote, "This is the very best paper on the virus I have ever seen."
The U.S. is slowly ending the lockdown so how is it going?
When Florida ended its lockdown, many in the media predicted that Florida would explode into another New York City. But it didn't, the media predictions fell flat.
"So any insinuation otherwise is just typical, partisan narrative trying to be spun and part of the reason is that you've got a lot of people in your profession who waxed poetically for weeks and weeks about how Florida was going to be just like New York," DeSantis scolded the reporters. "'Wait two weeks, Florida is going to be next. Just like Italy, wait two weeks.' Well hell, we're eight weeks away from that and it hasn't happened!"
As of Thursday morning, Florida reported 47,471 coronavirus cases and 2,096 deaths compared to New York which reported 354,370 COVID-19 cases and 28,636 deaths. [The population of the State of Florida is 21.48 million and the population of the State of New York is 19.48 million.]
On Thursday, Joe Concha noted the dramatic difference in the number of deaths in Florida compared to New York despite the fact that Florida has “four major cities,” including, Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville.
He went on to say that, “Florida along with Georgia, along with Texas, along with Colorado, should be seen as road maps on how to strike this delicate balance between health concerns and reopening the economy.
Source: What the coverage of Florida and New York is revealing about the media
So in real life, it looks like the process of ending the lockdown in the U.S. is going well.
_________________
Author of Practical Preparations for a Coronavirus Pandemic.
A very unique plan. As Dr. Paul Thompson wrote, "This is the very best paper on the virus I have ever seen."
ASPartOfMe
Veteran
Joined: 25 Aug 2013
Age: 68
Gender: Male
Posts: 39,637
Location: Long Island, New York
When Florida ended its lockdown, many in the media predicted that Florida would explode into another New York City. But it didn't, the media predictions fell flat.
"So any insinuation otherwise is just typical, partisan narrative trying to be spun and part of the reason is that you've got a lot of people in your profession who waxed poetically for weeks and weeks about how Florida was going to be just like New York," DeSantis scolded the reporters. "'Wait two weeks, Florida is going to be next. Just like Italy, wait two weeks.' Well hell, we're eight weeks away from that and it hasn't happened!"
As of Thursday morning, Florida reported 47,471 coronavirus cases and 2,096 deaths compared to New York which reported 354,370 COVID-19 cases and 28,636 deaths. [The population of the State of Florida is 21.48 million and the population of the State of New York is 19.48 million.]
On Thursday, Joe Concha noted the dramatic difference in the number of deaths in Florida compared to New York despite the fact that Florida has “four major cities,” including, Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville.
He went on to say that, “Florida along with Georgia, along with Texas, along with Colorado, should be seen as road maps on how to strike this delicate balance between health concerns and reopening the economy.
Source: What the coverage of Florida and New York is revealing about the media
So in real life, it looks like the process of ending the lockdown in the U.S. is going well.
Those are warm weather states That could bode well for New York which is being forced to open up against their wishes so as not to fall way behind in the economic competition against other states and countries. We have also seen un social distancing unmasked gatherings at beaches and at Upper East Side bars. So we will see if anything bad will happen in the next two weeks although I think the real danger of a repeat of last month or NY becoming the next Italy will be in the fall and winter. By that time people might be mentally more relaxed because of the combination of near zero new cases and that most humans can only be hyper vigilant and not make physical contact for so long. You will have people that will be the opposite and scared for the rest of their lives. The return to near normal and any second wave means that those people will be totally quarantining themselves for many years if not the remainder of their lives.
That all said I would not declare victory over the “snowflakes” quite yet. The reopening is at a very early stage. Despite all the attention given by me and others to the protests and people not social distancing both lazy and willful, most businesses are practicing social distancing and mask wearing is widespread.
_________________
“Self Acceptance is a process not a performance”
“You are autistic enough. And you always have been”
Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity.
Making the lockdown/reopening a political issue is a bad phenomenon.
Each state is in different situation and should make decision based on what is happening there. New Jersey shouldn't make decisions based on what is happening in Florida and California shouldn't base their choices on situation in Alaska. Everything counts - climate, urbanistics, local demography, structure of local economy...
If the disease is spreading exponentially, heavy lockdowns may be necessary. If the number of daily new cases is constant and manageable, you can cauciously proceed to reopen. It's not at all about being left- or right-wing. Or at least it shouldn't be.
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Let's not confuse being normal with being mentally healthy.
<not moderating PPR stuff concerning East Europe>
There was an article today about nursing home deaths in Connecticut. I will put some of the data from the article in table form.
Nursing Home.....................Number of Covid Deaths.......Number of Beds.......% Deaths/Bed..........Rating
Abbott Terrace Health Center.....41 deaths... ......................205 beds.......................20%...............One star
Kimberly Hall North....................43 deaths..........................150 beds.......................29%...............Five stars
Riverside Health & Rehab Center..54 deaths.........................354 beds.......................15%...............Four Stars
All these nursing homes seemed to suffer with a lack of PPE and test kits. The rating for the various nursing homes didn't seem like it had much of an effect.
"In Connecticut, eight nursing homes have had 30 or more coronavirus deaths. Of the eight, three have five-star ratings, two were given four stars, one had three stars, one had two stars and one had one star. All eight have been fined or cited by state or federal health officials in the past five years, according to an Associated Press review of regulatory actions."
IMHO, the largest nursing home Riverside seemed to fare better. Riverside’s owner, National Health Care Associates, said the virus spread in the nursing home despite numerous precautions taken since the pandemic began including banning most visitors, screening staff for symptoms, limiting staff access to patient rooms and ending community meals among residents.
The statement that caught my eye was about Abbott Terrace Health Center, the one star nursing home. "The nursing home also took staff members' temperatures and oxygen levels before they were allowed to work." So this nursing home did enhanced screening both for temperature and oxygen levels. That step alone could have produced the better outcome observed at Abbott Terrace when matched against the five star rated Kimberly Hall North. Low oxygen levels will filter out some of the asymptomatic infected individuals.
Source: 'Invisible demon': Coronavirus hits even top-rated nursing homes
_________________
Author of Practical Preparations for a Coronavirus Pandemic.
A very unique plan. As Dr. Paul Thompson wrote, "This is the very best paper on the virus I have ever seen."
Research from investment bank J.P. Morgan allegedly found coronavirus infection rates decreasing in states that have lifted their lockdown measures.
Source: J.P. Morgan Finds Infection Rates Are Decreasing In States That Ended Lockdowns
_________________
Author of Practical Preparations for a Coronavirus Pandemic.
A very unique plan. As Dr. Paul Thompson wrote, "This is the very best paper on the virus I have ever seen."
Source: J.P. Morgan Finds Infection Rates Are Decreasing In States That Ended Lockdowns
I expect this data to be very manipulated.
The most likely: Lockdowns are introduced when infection rate is the highest. It doesn't immediatelly stop, it takes some time into the lockdown.
Lockdowns are lifted when situation is under control. So, unless people are completely unreasonable, it happens when infection rates are low.
Now, if you average in-lockdown and after-lockdown infection rate, you get the above. To comment it:

Infection rate doesn't decrease because of easing lockdowns. Lockdowns are eased because infection rate gets lowered.
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Let's not confuse being normal with being mentally healthy.
<not moderating PPR stuff concerning East Europe>


