Emergence of a Deadly Coronavirus

Post Reply New Topic

Why would China lock down entire cities if the mortality rate is less than 3%?

You remind me of kraftiekortie and cyberdad. When there were little reporting, they thought things were coming to an end. No reporting unfortunately meant there were cases developing beneath the radar. ...

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The number of confirmed cases is not a good measure. Whether a country is doing well or not, should be measured by the ratio (number of samples tested)/(number of confirmed cases). Unfortunately, they don't publish that number. Another excellent ratio is (number of confirmed cases admitted to AIIR)/(number of confirmed cases hospitalized), where AIIR stands for Airborne Infection Isolation Room. Again, they don't publish this number, either. In Taiwan, those numbers are 400:1 and 100%, respectively.

At any rate, Iran just had 1,234 new cases yesterday.

Why would any government offer autism services, if the prevalence rate is less than 3%?

The trouble is that if it is, spreading undetected to any great extent, without killing people, that means it is much less lethal than the 3.4% that the WHO suspect, or even the 1.4% which recent Chinese team have suggested. Unless it is passing as influenza, or other respiratory diseases. Have scientists seen an unusual increase in those seasonal illnesses?

Because it is way more dangerous than just “3%” death; the 3% figure is of those who are *hospitalized*; but the severe cases are 20%.
If hospitals are out of rooms then humanity is screwed.

If hospitals are out of rooms then humanity is screwed.

... Good thing is next year we will some vaccines to minimize the symptoms and the spread of the virus.

Yep. That's the point that people are not getting. Once the AIIRs (Airborne Infection Isolation Rooms) run out, you start to use regular hospital rooms, and the chance of infection to doctors/nurses increase. You will have doctors/nurses infecting other patients, so what can you do? You will need to lock down the hospitals. Effectively disconnecting the hospitals from the outside world, and ... oops, suddenly you won't even have doctors and nurses to take care of other patients. When that happens, they won't be able to lock down all the infected hospitals. What does that mean? That means we move over to the free-virus-for-all scenario: doctors and nurses will continue to treat patients and continue to spread the virus to other non-COVID-19 patients. Not an ideal situation, but what else can you do? Some researchers estimate that at the end of the day, 70% of world population will get infected.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced additional cases on Friday afternoon, saying they all have a connection to a 50-year-old lawyer hospitalized with the disease in Westchester County.

Of the 33 people with positive results, five of them have been hospitalized. The governor said their conditions continue to improve.

Cuomo also announced that 4,000 people across the state are in quarantine as a precaution -- that includes 2,700 in NYC, 1,000 in Westchester and 70 in Nassau County.

There are 44 people in mandatory quarantine across the state, including 33 in Westchester, nine in NYC and one in Nassau County.

Eyewitness News also learned Friday morning that a rabbi is among the patients in Westchester County.

The rabbi of Young Israel of New Rochelle, the synagogue at the center of the coronavirus outbreak, had tested positive. He was already in self-quarantine. He also teaches classes at Yeshiva University in Washington Heights.

"I have the virus and am doing reasonably well," he wrote in a letter to the congregation. "Admittedly, it is hard to comply with the burden the State has placed on us. But as we see, despite all these measures the amount of people testing positive is increasing. We all have to be careful to comply. I have heard alarming reports that some of our members who should remain in quarantine have repeatedly violated it. This, obviously, is irresponsible."

The case on Long Island is a 42-year-old man in Uniondale, Nassau County, who is hospitalized.

De Blasio said that the individuals in NYC are a woman in her 80s and man in his 40s. They are both hospitalized in critical condition.

Both have substantial pre-existing conditions, officials said. The man has respiratory issues related to smoking and vaping and the woman is an "advanced age."

A man was caught on video spraying what looked like a fabric deodorizer at an Asian straphanger on a Brooklyn train amid coronavirus fears, and the incident is now being investigated as a possible hate crime, officials said Thursday.

A video of the spraydown posted on social media captures a man spritzing what looked like a bottle of Febreze around an Asian man on a N train as it headed into the Eighth Ave. station about 9 a.m. Wednesday.

I don’t want him under me,” the straphanger says on the video, talking to other train riders who are yelling at him to stop. “Tell him to move.”

When the victim, standing by the doors of the still-moving train, doesn’t budge, the man starts spraying him, the 29-second clip shows.

“Move,” the suspect said. “I asked nicely. You’re going to move."

The spritzing straphanger’s actions outraged the other train passengers, who felt he targeted his victim because the coronavirus started in China.

“There’s not a single confirmed case of an Asian infected in NYC,” wrote Celia Au, who posted the video on Twitter. “Stop discriminating cause the virus definitely doesn’t.”

NYPD Chief of Detectives Rodney Harrison said someone called 911 during the incident. But by the time cops arrived, the train had departed to the next station and no witnesses could be found.

“We were unable to take a report,” Harrison said. “We did receive the social media post and our Hate Crime Task Force is looking into it."

Gap closed its New York corporate office Friday after an employee tested positive for the coronavirus.

Staffers of the preppy clothing brand were spotted coming in and out of the 55 Thomas St. building in Tribeca to collect their belongings, with some using hand sanitizer and kicking the door open as they exited.

“There’s a person that has coronavirus,” said one woman, who wouldn’t give her name.

“Basically, it’s low-risk if you didn’t work with this person, medium-risk if you did, but the offices are closed.”

Another Gap worker confirmed: “Somebody has the virus.”

In an email to staffers obtained by Bloomberg, the retailer said it was “taking extreme precaution” and closing the building.

“Employees should work from home until further notice,” the company said.