Emergence of a Deadly Coronavirus

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then found the "doubling rate", by looking at how long it took that first figure to double, and to double again, and again, etc. Over the last 17 days it has doubled 5 times, almost exactly every 3 days or so.

I then extended that "3 day" doubling rate, ( which is apparently called a geometric progression, for which there is a formula but I don't understand it so I worked it out "by hand"; mathematicians please check my results; I may be wildly out ), for another 54 days, to the 3 May.

... Hmm ... not much comfort, either.

Shall I try posting it without the World Bank link, or the word China?

The second step is to reduce the indoor viral load by using UVA light. This is done by modifying the ductwork in the HVAC system and inserting and sealing in a UVA light.

Italy coronavirus cases jump by 1,247 in a day
Italy saw a dramatic increase in the number of confirmed coronavirus cases today with a rise of 1,247 in a single day, the Civil Protection Department said in a statement.

The country now has a total of 5,883 cases.

The death toll also continues to climb with 36 fatalities reported on Saturday. The country has reported the most deaths outside of China, a total of 233.

Silvio Brusaferro, head of the Health Institute, said in a press conference that the majority of the deceased are male, over 80-years-old and suffered from other diseases.


Confirmed coronavirus cases in the US rise to 377
From CNN's Shawn Nottingham
There are 377 cases of the novel coronavirus in the United States, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, as well as state and local governments.

According to the CDC, there are 49 cases from repatriated citizens from Wuhan (3) and the Diamond Princess (46). Twenty-one are from the Grand Princess.

According to CNN Health’s tally of US cases that are detected and tested in the United States through US public health systems, there are 307 cases in 29 states, bringing the total of coronavirus cases to 377.

This figure includes presumptive positive cases that tested positive in a public health lab and are pending confirmation from the CDC, and confirmed cases have received positive results from the CDC
Coronavirus outbreak continues to spread - CNN Live Updates

New York governor declares state of emergency
From CNN's Elizabeth Joseph
Gov. Andrew Cuomo has declared a state of emergency due to the coronavirus in order to have “a more expedited purchasing and testing protocol,” according to a press conference held this afternoon.

“I have officially done a declaration of emergency which gives us certain powers. We’re going to be doing purchasing and hiring more staff, especially to help local health departments that are very stressed," Cuomo said.
Cuomo added: "We have a more expedited purchasing and testing protocol and we’re going to be doing that."


US federal court operations altered by the coronavirus
The coronavirus is impacting the operations of some federal courts across the US.

The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, which hears cases from nine western states including Washington, as well as a district court in Washington state, which has seen at least 80 cases, have altered some of the procedures as the virus continues to spread.

The appeals court, which has four courthouses including one in Seattle, said it is cancelling all hearings involving multiple judges as well as non-case related meetings, scheduled for next week.

The court said in an order posted online it was taking this measure “in light of the concerns about community spread of the COVID-19 virus throughout” the region covered by it.

All scheduled oral arguments in all locations will go forward, the court said.

“Counsel who wish to appear remotely for any hearing may file a motion in that case for such relief,” the court said.

The appeals court said it would be assessing the situation early next week.

The Southern District of New York issued an order directing the Metropolitan Detention Center to screen all detainees prior to scheduled appearances at court.

“If the temperature is 100.4 or above, such detainees should not be produced and the Court, forthwith, be notified,” Chief US District Judge Colleen McMahon ordered Friday.


Amtrak cutting some train service between NY and DC as demand drops
Amtrak is making some changes to its schedule because of reduced demand from the coronavirus virus while altering some fees to accommodate travelers.

It announced three Acela trains which run between Washington, D.C., and New York will be suspended beginning Tuesday until the end of May.

“As we are experiencing some reduced demand for our service, we are making temporary adjustments to our schedule, such as removing train cars or cancelling trains when there is a convenient alternative with a similar schedule that will have minimal impact to customers” including the three temporary suspensions, Amtrak said in a statement.
The service also announced – as some airlines have already implemented – a waiving of change fees or on all existing or new reservations made before April 30.

Regarding the actual trains, Amtrak said it is enhancing its cleaning protocols by increasing the frequency of cleaning service on the trains and stations to multiple times a day and even on an hourly basis in some cases. Also it is increasing the use of disinfectants to wipe down handrails, doorknobs and surfaces.


NBA advises teams to prepare to play without fans due to coronavirus concerns
The National Basketball Association (NBA) has asked teams to begin making contingency plans if they have to play games without anyone in attendance as concerns about the spread of coronavirus increase.

In a memo, which CNN has obtained, the league advised teams to identify “actions required if it were to become necessary to play a game with only essential staff present.” Only the league office will decide if a game will be played without fans, media, and/or other typical game attendees.

Los Angeles Lakers all-star forward LeBron James said after the Lakers’ 113-103 victory against the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday that he wouldn’t play in an empty arena.

“Nah, that's impossible. I ain't playing. If I ain't got the fans in the crowd, that's what I play for. I play for my teammates, I play for the fans. That's what it's all about. If I show up to an arena, and there ain't no fans there? I ain't playing. So, they could do what they want to do," James said.

Coronavirus quarantine hotel collapses, trapping 70 people
A hotel building in south-eastern China's Quanzhou city collapsed Saturday night, according to the city government statement. Several state media, including People’s Daily, confirmed the hotel has been used as coronavirus quarantine center.

Around 70 people were trapped in the building and 33 people have been rescued from the debris by 9:30 p.m. local time, the statement said.

It is unknown if there are any fatalities and why the building was collapsed.


206 people test positive for coronavirus in the United Kingdom
A total of 206 people have tested positive for coronavirus across the United Kingdom, British health officials confirmed Saturday in a statement.

“21,460 people have been tested in the UK, of which 21,254 were confirmed negative and 206 were confirmed as positive,” the UK Department of Health and Social Care said, adding that two coronavirus patients have so far died.
The British government’s confirmation came shortly after an update from the Scottish health authorities, who announced that they have identified five new cases of coronavirus over the last 24 hours, bringing their regional total to 16.

Every single confirmed patient in Taiwan has been treated in a negative-pressure isolation room. In US these rooms are call AIIR (Airborne Infection Isolation Room). In Europe they are known as HID (Highly Infectious Diseases) rooms. The Diamond Princess had 696 out of the 3,711 passengers and crew had tested positive for the virus. At this level, the airborne infection route cannot be discarded. That is, the virus doesn't simply just propagate via droplets. Negative pressure isolation rooms are a need. And US is way behind: the last number I saw (from 2017) was that US only had 400 AIIR rooms in the whole country. That's almost like a bad joke.

"Italy has twice the number of critical care beds per 100,000 inhabitants as the UK. And Italy says it is overhelmed.

== Numbers of critical care beds corrected for size of population (per 100,000 inhabitants) for European countries ==

Germany: 29.2 [ my insert; this might explain why they still have no deaths ]
Luxembourg: 24.8
Austria: 21.8
Belgium: 21.4
Lithuania: 15.5
Croatia: 14.7
Estonia: 14.6
Hungary: 13.8
**ITALY**: 12.5
Bulgaria: 11.6
France: 11.6
Czech Republic: 11.6
Cyprus: 11.4
Switzerland: 11
Spain: 9.7
Latvia: 9.7
Slovakia: 9.2
Iceland: 9.1
Norway: 8
Andorra: 7.1
Poland: 6.9
Denmark: 6.7
**UNITED KINGDOM**: 6.6
Iceland: 6.5
Slovenia: 6.4
Netherlands: 6.4
Finland: 6.1
Greece: 6
Sweden: 5.8
Portugal: 4.5

EUROPE AVERAGE: 11.5

Source:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.10 ... 012-2627-8"

... the surgical masks may not filter virus particles, but they convey a message of "stay away from me, i may be contagious", they block the bulk of sneeze material and they prevent you from touching your nose and mouth, for that alone they are better than nothing.

Taiwan and Singapore have authoritarian governments which are able to mobilise the population quicker than free democracies.

Since when has this become a competition Eikonabridge?

Taiwan and Singapore have authoritarian governments which are able to mobilise the population quicker than free democracies.