kraftiekortie wrote:
Even amongst people in the 70s/80s or above, the mortality rate from COVID-19 is 8.0% for people 70-79, and 14.8% for people 80 or over (according to a study done by the Journal of the American Medical Association, published on 2/24/2020). These are figures from China.
Those are the figures from a country where most people who fell ill still received health care, ie fell ill while there were either enough existing intensive care beds in hospitals or enough beds in new hospitals built in 6 days ....
And those rates/percentages go up significantly if have other existing health problems; cardiovascular disorders, diabetes, hypertension, among others.
And they don't, of course, include the figures for other people over-65, with or without other illnesses, who almost certainly died in greater numbers because health care and home care etc services were struggling/overwhelmed.
The accounts emerging from front line health care workers/medical staff in Italy are horrible. As were the occasional reports from nurses in Wuhan etc, where only fully centralised quarantine measures and facilities finally stopped the spread. ...
... How well would/will people in the West, young or old, cope with centralised quarantine conditions? Sleeping on temporary/camp/basic cot beds in big halls with hundreds of other people, etc.
I know that I'd do almost anything to avoid that. The noise, the lack of privacy, the awful food, etc. If it isn't compulsory how many may die in the west because they would simply rather stay home, with no medical care?