Calamitous Typhoon strikes Philippians

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ASPartOfMe
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07 Nov 2013, 2:56 pm

Super Typhoon has sustained winds of 195 MPH with gusts to 230MPM and is 500 miles wde

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/cap ... orms-ever/

http://www.cnn.com/2013/11/07/world/asi ... on-haiyan/

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kr0-jSUGjo0[/youtube]


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Last edited by ASPartOfMe on 07 Nov 2013, 8:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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07 Nov 2013, 5:57 pm

On Land.


CNN
MANILA, Philippines - The world's strongest typhoon of the year slammed into the Philippines early Friday. It had been poised to be the strongest tropical cyclone ever recorded at landfall, a weather expert said.

"There will be catastrophic damage," said Jeff Masters, a former hurricane meteorologist who is meteorology director at the private firm Weather Underground.

The U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Hawaii shortly before landfall said Typhoon Haiyan's maximum sustained winds were 314 kilometres per hour, with gusts up to 379 kilometres per hour.

"195-mile-per-hour winds, there aren't too many buildings constructed that can withstand that kind of wind," Masters said.

The local weather bureau had a lower reading, saying the storm's speed at landfall had sustained winds at 234 kilometres per hour, with gusts of 275 kph. The bureau takes measures based on longer periods of time.

Thousands of people have evacuated villages in the typhoon's path.

Typhoon Haiyan's speed at landfall was expected to beat out Hurricane Camille, which was 305 kilometres per hour at landfall in the United States 1969, Masters said.

The only tiny bright side is that it's a fast-moving storm, so flooding from heavy rain — which usually causes the most deaths from typhoons in the Philippines — may not be as bad, Masters said.

"The wind damage should be the most extreme in Phillipines history," he said.

The storm later will be a threat to both Vietnam and Laos and is likely to be among the top five natural disasters for those two countries, Masters said. The storm is forecast to barrel through the Philippines' central region Friday and Saturday before blowing toward the South China Sea over the weekend, heading toward Vietnam.

The typhoon slammed into the eastern province of Samar. Another province devastated by an earthquake last month was in the path of the storm.

The storm was not expected to directly hit Manila further north. The lowest alert in a four-level typhoon warning system was issued in the flood-prone capital area, meaning it could experience winds of up to 60 kph and rain.

President Benigno Aquino III warned people to leave high-risk areas, including 100 coastal communities where forecasters said the storm surge could reach up to 7 metres. He urged seafarers to stay in port.

Aquino ordered officials to aim for zero casualties, a goal often not met in an archipelago lashed by about 20 tropical storms each year, most of them deadly and destructive. Haiyan is the 24th such storm to hit the Philippines this year.

The president also assured the public of war-like preparations: three C-130 air force cargo planes and 32 military helicopters and planes on standby, along with 20 navy ships.

"No typhoon can bring Filipinos to their knees if we'll be united," he said in a televised address.

The Associated Press Associated Press writers Oliver Teves and Teresa Cerojano in the Philippines and Seth Borenstein in Washin


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ASPartOfMe
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07 Nov 2013, 9:05 pm

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYEzqhDScG8[/youtube]


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ASPartOfMe
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08 Nov 2013, 5:46 am

Still zipping through the Phillipean an Islands with 185 mph sustained winds gusts to 225 mph. A lot of communication cut off from effected areas.

Track the typhoon here http://www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/currwx/tc_gis_e.htm

http://www.cnn.com/2013/11/08/world/asi ... ?hpt=hp_t1

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7h1pwZ_SMq0[/youtube]


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ASPartOfMe
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08 Nov 2013, 7:22 pm

Writeup from Dr. Jeff Masters of weatherunderground
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=2574

After spending 48 hours at Category 5 strength, the strongest landfalling tropical cyclone in world history, Super Typhoon Haiyan, has finally weakened to a Category 4 storm. With top sustained winds of 155 mph, Haiyan is still an incredibly powerful super typhoon, but has now finished its rampage through the Central Philippine Islands, and is headed across the South China Sea towards Vietnam. Satellite loops show that Haiyan no longer has a well-defined eye, but the typhoon still has a huge area of intense thunderstorms which are bringing heavy rains to the Central Philippines. I've never witnessed a Category 5 storm that made landfall and stayed at Category 5 strength after spending so many hours over land, and there are very few storms that have stayed at Category 5 strength for so long.

Haiyan's place in history
Haiyan hit Guiuan, on the Philippine island of Samar, at 4:40 am local time (20:40 UTC) November 7, 2013. Three hours before landfall, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) assessed Haiyan’s sustained winds at 195 mph, gusting to 235 mph, making it the 4th strongest tropical cyclone in world history. Satellite loops show that Haiyan weakened only slightly, if at all, in the two hours after JTWC’s advisory, so the super typhoon likely made landfall with winds near 195 mph. The next JTWC intensity estimate, for 00Z UTC November 8, about three hours after landfall, put the top winds at 185 mph. Averaging together these estimates gives a strength of 190 mph an hour after landfall. Thus, Haiyan had winds of 190 - 195 mph at landfall, making it the strongest tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in world history. The previous record was held by the Atlantic's Hurricane Camille of 1969, which made landfall in Mississippi with 190 mph winds.

According to the official "best track" records from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, here are the strongest tropical cyclones in world history:

Super Typhoon Nancy (1961), 215 mph winds, 882 mb. Made landfall as a Cat 2 in Japan, killing 191 people.
Super Typhoon Violet (1961), 205 mph winds, 886 mb pressure. Made landfall in Japan as a tropical storm, killing 2 people.
Super Typhoon Ida (1958), 200 mph winds, 877 mb pressure. Made landfall as a Cat 1 in Japan, killing 1269 people.
Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013), 195 mph winds, 895 mb pressure. Made landfall in the Philippines at peak strength.
Super Typhoon Kit (1966), 195 mph winds, 880 mb. Did not make landfall.
Super Typhoon Sally (1964), 195 mph winds, 895 mb. Made landfall as a Cat 4 in the Philippines.

However, it is now recognized (Black 1992) that the maximum sustained winds estimated for typhoons during the 1940s to 1960s were too strong. The strongest reliably measured tropical cyclones were all 5 mph weaker than Haiyan, with 190 mph winds—the Western Pacific's Super Typhoon Tip of 1979, the Atlantic's Hurricane Camille of 1969, and the Atlantic's Hurricane Allen of 1980. All three of these storms had a hurricane hunter aircraft inside of them to measure their top winds. Haiyan's winds were estimated using only satellite images, making its intensity estimate of lower confidence. We don't have any measurements of Haiyan's central pressure, but it may be close to the all-time record of 870 mb set by Super Typhoon Tip. The Japan Meteorological Agency estimated Haiyan's central pressure at 895 mb at 18 UTC (1 pm EST) November 7, 2013. This would make Haiyan the 12th strongest tropical cyclone on record globally, as far as lowest pressure goes.

Massive damage in the Philippines
Wind damage on the south shore of Samar Island in Guiuan (population 47,000) must have been catastrophic, [b]perhaps the greatest wind damage any place on Earth has endured from a tropical cyclone in the past century. [/b]A massive storm surge must have also caused great destruction along a 20-mile swath to the north of where the eye hit, where Project NOAH was predicting a 17’ (5.3 meter) storm tide. Wind and storm surge damage were heavy in Tacloban, population 221,000, the capital of the province of Leyte, according to preliminary media reports. Much of Tacloban is at elevations less than ten feet, and several videos posted on YouTube showed a storm surge of at least ten feet moving through the city. The northern (strong) part of Haiyan’s eyewall made a direct hit on the city. Storm Chaser Jim Edds was in Tacloban, and reported that at least ten crewed boats were in the harbor, attempting to ride out the storm. Haiyan’s winds, rains, and storm surge have caused widespread devastation throughout the Central Philippines, though we do not yet have reports from the worst-hit portions of the disaster zone, including the south shore of Samar Island. Fortunately, the storm’s fast forward speed of 25 mph cut down the amount of rain the storm dumped, compared to typical typhoons that affect the Philippines. Hopefully, this will keep the death toll due to flash flooding relatively low. Flash floods are usually the biggest killer in Philippine typhoons.

Haiyan an extremely dangerous storm for Vietnam and Laos
Haiyan will steadily decay over the next two days, due to colder waters and higher wind shear. However, it will still likely be a formidable Category 1 or 2 typhoon when it makes landfall in Vietnam near 06 UTC Sunday. Haiyan is expected to begin recurving to the northwest as it makes landfall, which means that a long 100+ mile stretch of the Vietnam coast will receiving the punishing winds and peak storm surge of the strong northern portion of the typhoon. With part of its circulation still over water, Haiyan will be able to pull in a huge amount of moisture that will create prodigious rains over Vietnam and Laos. I expect that the 12+ inches of rain that the storm will dump on those nations will make it a top-five most expensive natural disaster in their history.[b]


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ruveyn
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08 Nov 2013, 8:56 pm

The Pundits will blame this storm on Global Warming. Mark my words.



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08 Nov 2013, 10:17 pm

ruveyn wrote:
The Pundits will blame this storm on Global Warming. Mark my words.


And some will blame Obama :P


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08 Nov 2013, 10:44 pm

When we all know that its really because of same sex marriage.



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09 Nov 2013, 1:22 am

I work with two people from the Philippines. I hope any family of theirs remaining over there are ok.



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09 Nov 2013, 3:58 am

Saturday Update via New York Times
MANILA — Philippine rescue workers struggled Saturday to grasp the human toll and physical devastation from a powerful typhoon that ripped through the country the day before, killing more than 100 people in a southern city inundated by the storm, according to officials.

High waves amid strong winds pounded the coast on Friday as a typhoon hit the city of Legaspi. At least four died, officials said.

Strong winds from the typhoon hit a coastal town in Laguna Province. More than 700,000 evacuated ahead of the storm.

Tacloban City, which was hit by surging ocean waters more than 40 feet high, was left devastated by the typhoon, and at least 100 cadavers were seen along the streets, Capt. John Andrews, deputy director general of the civil aviation authority, told a local radio station.

As rescuers make their way to isolated areas and communications are restored, officials worried that the death toll could rise significantly. Damage was believed to have been extensive, in part because many structures in poorer regions are not well built.

As the typhoon barreled toward Vietnam, where it is expected to hit landfall Sunday morning, roughly 20,000 people were evacuated from Da Nang, a city of nearly 1 million, state media reported. The government mobilized nearly 450,000 soldiers and militia members to deal with the storm, which is expected to weaken slightly as it hits Vietnam.

By some accounts the typhoon, named Haiyan, ranked among the world’s strongest. But because it moved across the Philippines so rapidly and hundreds of thousands were evacuated, officials were hoping that the death toll would be limited. Experts say that is because it did not linger long enough to deluge the islands with rain that has caused the widespread flooding and mudslides that have in the past lead to death tolls in the thousands.

The storm, called Yolanda in the Philippines, moved across the country around 25 miles per hour, roughly twice as fast as Typhoon Bopha, which killed more than a thousand people last year, experts said.

“Fortunately, this moved like a Porsche,” said Michael Padua, a senior typhoon specialist at a private forecasting group, Weather Philippines.

The typhoon slammed into the island of Samar, on the eastern edge of the Philippines, early Friday morning and sped across the islands in the center of the country. Photos showed crumpled wooden buildings, high waves slamming into the shore and, in some cases, people emerging from their houses to find coconuts strewn all over the streets.

There were grave concerns before the storm hit that, because of the estimated wind speeds over the ocean, it could have a devastating impact on land.

The alarm may have been advantageous. More than 790,000 people evacuated their homes, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council. Many were housed in evacuation centers, which were credited with limiting the death toll.

“People were prepared for this one,” said Rene Paciente, a forecaster with the Philippine government’s national weather agency. “They were given notice, and they were evacuated.”

Sonny Coloma, a presidential spokesman, said on Saturday that aggressive preparations and evacuations by the government appeared to have been effective, though information is still coming in regarding the hardest hit islands of Leyte and Samar.

“This has been responsible for minimizing casualties but I say this guardedly because of the situation in Leyte and Samar,” he said.

The Department of Social Welfare and Development on Saturday reported that the storm affected 4.28 million people in about 270 town and cities spread across 36 provinces in the central Philippines.

Local radio and television stations reported downed power lines, impassible roads and flooding in some areas caused by surging ocean water. And disrupted communications systems hampered rescue efforts and attempts to assess the damage, particularly in more rural areas.

The Philippine weather agency measured winds on the eastern edge of the country at about 150 m.p.h., said Mr. Paciente, the forecaster, with some tracking stations recording speeds as low as 100 m.p.h.

The United States Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center used satellite analysis to estimate the storm carried sustained winds of 195 m.p.h., with gusts up to 235 m.p.h., but that measured the center of the storm when it was over the ocean.

“As far as satellite imagery was concerned, it indicated that this was one of the strongest storms on record,” said Roger Edson, the science and operations officer at the United States National Weather Service in Guam.

He said 195 m.p.h. winds would put the storm “off the charts,” but he acknowledged that satellite estimates require further study on the ground to determine if they were accurate.

By Saturday, the storm had left the Philippines, on a path to Vietnam, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Honolulu. In Vietnam, state media reported that an estimated 300,000 people were being evacuated, as forecasters predicted it could be heading toward central Vietnamese cities of Da Nang, a major population center, and Hue, the old imperial capital.


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ASPartOfMe
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09 Nov 2013, 2:46 pm

Death toll at an estimated 1200 and counting amid reports of widespread looting. The storm is now a category 3 and is expected to be one the top 5 natural disasters in Vietnamese history with 8+ inches of rain and punishing winds over most of the country. Laos and China is also in the storms path.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ke6ureLcpkk[/youtube]

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teKyrb9-jUw&feature=youtu.be[/youtube]


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10 Nov 2013, 5:37 am

This is major news everywhere. It's devastating watching it on the evening news. Much love to the people of the Philippines, and to the other countries in the path of the typhoon.

Here, the Australian government has pledged around $400,000 in emergency aid. Apparently it's only the first round of aid; I hope so – Australia can certainly afford to give more.


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10 Nov 2013, 2:07 pm

Very bad. I hope governments don't delay and send help fast.



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10 Nov 2013, 4:33 pm

pete1061 wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
The Pundits will blame this storm on Global Warming. Mark my words.


And some will blame Obama :P


And some will blame the entire US government. :roll:

My thoughts and prayers are with the people of the Phillipines.


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11 Nov 2013, 4:28 am

AnonymousAnonymous wrote:
pete1061 wrote:
ruveyn wrote:
The Pundits will blame this storm on Global Warming. Mark my words.


And some will blame Obama :P


And some will blame the entire US government. :roll:

Don't forget the gays. They're usually responsible for one natural disaster or another. :?


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11 Nov 2013, 4:35 am

'Worse than hell' in typhoon-ravaged Philippines

http://edition.cnn.com/2013/11/10/world ... ?hpt=hp_t1

Estimates up to 10,000 possibly dead in the Philippines as international relief efforts get underway. Still areas where damage hasn't been surveyed. Residents, local hospitals and rescuers are struggling to cope. And there are heavy rains forecast in the next couple of days that will hamper relief efforts.

Haiyan, now downgraded to a tropical storm, has also made landfall in Vietnam. When it hit the Philippines, it was estimated to be 3.5 times more powerful than Hurricane Katrina, which hit the US in 2005.

...

On the international aid effort side, countries are starting to pledge or increase aid. Presently, the US is sending military support; Australia has increased its aid amount to $9 million; and NZ has so far pledged $1m. More to come, hopefully.


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