the-over-analyzed wrote:
TheMachine1 wrote:
Yeah Bazza has mentioned before in most cases a young man has about the same odds of being killed in the cillian world right now as he does if in combat.
So does this mean that a person is just as safe walking down any random street in Iraq as they are walking down any random street in the USA, because something doesn't seem to be adding up with that.
The homicide rate for white males in the US, ages 18-24 is about 0.011% per year -- 11 per 100,000. For black males in the same age group, it is about 0.1% per year -- 100 per 100,000. About 12% of US military personnel are black. If we take the pessimistic view that the 5% non-black, non-white segment of the population have homicide rates as high as for blacks (which I seriously doubt), that would give us:
17% * 100 = 17
83% * 11 = 9.13
--------------------------
Overall homicide rate of no more than 26.1 per 100,000
This also ignores the fact that many military personnel are over 24 years old, which would move them into a lower homicide bracket. So these numbers are, in all cases, the bleakest possible.
We have about 150,000 troops in Iraq, and have had roughly that number there since shortly after the war started. If the death rate there were comparable to what it is in the US, there would have been no more than 157 deaths in Iraq in the last 4 years.