Threat to Mexico
National Hurricane Center wrote:
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 94.6W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft found that the central
pressure had dropped to 982 mb and maximum SFMR-observed surface
winds were close to 70 kt. Therefore 70 kt will be retained for the
current intensity. Vertical wind shear should remain low over the
southwest Gulf of Mexico for the next couple of days and the global
models show well-developed upper-level outflow over the tropical
cyclone. Thus, further strengthening is likely up to landfall. The
official intensity forecast is somewhat higher than the model
consensus and Katia could approach major hurricane status before it
crosses that coast.
Fixes from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft show essentially no motion
over the last several hours. A mid-level ridge is likely to build
to the north of Katia during the next day or so. This should
induce a west-southwestward motion beginning tonight or early
Friday, leading to landfall by late Friday or early Saturday. The
official track forecast is similar to the previous one and close to
the model consensus.
_________________
“Self Acceptance is a process not a performance”
“You are autistic enough. And you always have been”
Professionally Identified and joined WP August 26, 2013
DSM 5: Autism Spectrum Disorder, DSM IV: Aspergers Moderate Severity.
07 Sep 2017, 11:27 am
