Moody’s Analytics: TRUMP is on his way to an easy 2020 win

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LoveNotHate
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16 Oct 2019, 3:46 am

"President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to reelection next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race".

"The modeling has been highly accurate going back to the 1980 election, missing only once"

People have more money in their pockets.
Unemployment is super low.
Stock markets are near record highs.

Why mess with a good thing?

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys- ... ds-up.html


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EzraS
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16 Oct 2019, 3:56 am

Better put that impeachment machine into overdrive.



Darmok
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16 Oct 2019, 4:03 am

Nope, Trump is definitely doomed. As soon as people find out he takes two scoops of ice cream and only lets other people have one you can be sure all his support will collapse. Any day now.


8)


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EzraS
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16 Oct 2019, 4:57 am

It's even worse than that. He refused to give any ice cream to Mr. Zelensky untl he handed over his cup of Dirty Worms.



DoTheTw1zt
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16 Oct 2019, 6:49 am

Yup, America sold its soul to a racist & sexist orange devil for money.



funeralxempire
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16 Oct 2019, 9:52 am

I wouldn't rule out the possibility he might win re-election.
I wouldn't even rule out the possibility he might win re-election after being impeached.

That said, if their prediction is off this time around it wouldn't be surprising. Donald Trump is more loathed than Jimmy Carter was. Getting to vote against Donald Trump is going to be a powerful motivator for getting people off their couches and into the voting booth. Then again, voting for Donald Trump will continue to be a powerful motivator for getting some other people off their couches and into the voting booth.

My money is on that the old models might not be as relevant as anticipated but that we won't have confirmation until the results come in.


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Fnord
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16 Oct 2019, 10:11 am

 Numerology is  Statistics are a wonderful predictor of future events.

Then again, there's lies, there's damn lies, and then there's statistics, in that order.



DoTheTw1zt
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16 Oct 2019, 10:14 am

Personally I don't trust statistics because they can be used to easily mislead people.



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16 Oct 2019, 10:18 am

Raymond Moody is a parapsychologist with a medical degree (from the Medical College of Georgia) and Ph.D.s in philosophy and psychology (from the University of Virginia). He has written several books on the subject of "life after life". He compiled the list of features many consider typical of the near-death experience (NDE): a buzzing or ringing noise; a sense of blissful peace; a feeling of floating out of one's body and observing it from above; moving through a tunnel into a bright light; meeting dead people, saints, Jesus, angels, etc.; seeing one's life pass before one's eyes; and finding it all so wonderful that one doesn't want to return to one's body.

Moody conducts his paranormal studies at his private research institute in rural Alabama, where he tries to evoke apparitions of the dead under controlled conditions. Moody has a mirrored room where guests come to scry, hoping for a visit from a dead loved one. ABC reporter Diane Sawyer tried it out for about 45 minutes but didn't have any visitors. Maybe she didn't have a strong enough desire to see a dead loved one. Maybe she didn't have a strong enough belief that gazing into mirrors can induce an altered state of consciousness. Maybe she should have stayed in the room for a day or two.

There are many frauds who claim to be able to see into the past or future by various means of divination and there are many who hallucinate due to sensory deprivation, extreme concentration on a single item, or lengthy gazing at uniform or kaleidoscopic surfaces. But Moody and many of his guests claim success at having spirits visit them in the mirrored room. Moody is convinced that an altered state of consciousness is the gateway to the other world. Mirror gazing is just one of many methods Moody uses to try to induce an altered state.

Moody is also an advocate of past life regression. He claims that he was skeptical about reincarnation until undergoing hypnotherapy during which he discovered that he had had nine past lives. He claims that just about anyone can experience a "past-life journey" and that such trips help one overcome phobias, compulsions, addictions and depression, among other things.



kraftiekortie
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16 Oct 2019, 10:27 am

It's not going to be a walk in the park for Trump.

It wasn't a walk in the park for Trump even in 2016. Please keep in mind that he LOST the popular vote in 2016, despite the fact that he won the electoral vote.

There are four or five (especially Midwest) states with relatively high electoral vote counts which Trump won VERY narrowly. All that has to happen in order for the Democrats to win is for those people in those states to be SLIGHTLY more disenchanted with Trump than they were in 2016.



Last edited by kraftiekortie on 16 Oct 2019, 10:36 am, edited 1 time in total.

DoTheTw1zt
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16 Oct 2019, 10:30 am

Fnord wrote:
Raymond Moody is a parapsychologist with a medical degree (from the Medical College of Georgia) and Ph.D.s in philosophy and psychology (from the University of Virginia). He has written several books on the subject of "life after life". He compiled the list of features many consider typical of the near-death experience (NDE): a buzzing or ringing noise; a sense of blissful peace; a feeling of floating out of one's body and observing it from above; moving through a tunnel into a bright light; meeting dead people, saints, Jesus, angels, etc.; seeing one's life pass before one's eyes; and finding it all so wonderful that one doesn't want to return to one's body.

Moody conducts his paranormal studies at his private research institute in rural Alabama, where he tries to evoke apparitions of the dead under controlled conditions. Moody has a mirrored room where guests come to scry, hoping for a visit from a dead loved one. ABC reporter Diane Sawyer tried it out for about 45 minutes but didn't have any visitors. Maybe she didn't have a strong enough desire to see a dead loved one. Maybe she didn't have a strong enough belief that gazing into mirrors can induce an altered state of consciousness. Maybe she should have stayed in the room for a day or two.

There are many frauds who claim to be able to see into the past or future by various means of divination and there are many who hallucinate due to sensory deprivation, extreme concentration on a single item, or lengthy gazing at uniform or kaleidoscopic surfaces. But Moody and many of his guests claim success at having spirits visit them in the mirrored room. Moody is convinced that an altered state of consciousness is the gateway to the other world. Mirror gazing is just one of many methods Moody uses to try to induce an altered state.

Moody is also an advocate of past life regression. He claims that he was skeptical about reincarnation until undergoing hypnotherapy during which he discovered that he had had nine past lives. He claims that just about anyone can experience a "past-life journey" and that such trips help one overcome phobias, compulsions, addictions and depression, among other things.



Hmm, I just dunno. Sometimes I want to believe that stuff is real, but other times I start to think it's all bologna. I think many psychics use tricks to manipulate others into thinking they know things about them.

Kind of like how famous voodoo practioner Marie Laeau gained a strong following of rich white lady customers in New Orleans simply because she eavesdropped on them while they gossiped about their personal lives as she worked as a hairdresser for these women.



SaveFerris
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16 Oct 2019, 10:50 am

In the UK - something that is moody is known to be fake or of a bad quality :lol:

moody analytics means something different in the UK :twisted:


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16 Oct 2019, 10:53 am

EzraS wrote:
It's even worse than that. He refused to give any ice cream to Mr. Zelensky untl he handed over his cup of Dirty Worms.

OMG, the Brute! And did you see how he poured the fish food in that fish pond! It was a disgrace to the nation and decades of international norms! 8O


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LoveNotHate
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16 Oct 2019, 11:10 am

An interesting predictor is Allan J. Lichtman, distinguished professor of history at American University.

He is a Democrat, yet he correctly predicted TRUMP's win long before the election.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the ... trump-win/

Trump wrote to him personally, and congratulated him.

Prof. Lichtman claims his "13 Key Factor" model has correctly predicted every election since 1980 (modern elections)

He says "impeachment" is a "Key", and will greatly reduce Trump's odds of relection.
https://www.cbc.ca/radio/day6/trump-s-o ... -1.5306564


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DoTheTw1zt
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16 Oct 2019, 11:14 am

I have zero doubt Trump will win again, and I aint happy about it. In fact I also won't be surprised if he somehow becomes a dictator.

Come to think of it, my cards predicted that. :P



kraftiekortie
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16 Oct 2019, 11:22 am

I don't feel Trump will win in 2020.