Emergence of a Deadly Coronavirus

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Andoras
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09 Jun 2020, 6:40 am

Like Gretha Thumberg?

kraftiekortie
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09 Jun 2020, 8:28 am

What does she have to do with all this?

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09 Jun 2020, 8:33 am

CENSORSHIP BY THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION

Several months back the World Health Organization met with the leading tech communications companies and cemented its authority over the world's communication on the coronavirus. The problem arose that the WHO gave a lot of bad advise and the tech companies banned and censored many who provided good advise on the pandemic.

So what is the WHO saying at the moment?

* Asymptomatic spread 'appears to be rare.'

According to Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, “It still appears to be rare that an asymptomatic individual actually transmits onward.”

“We have a number of reports from countries who are doing very detailed contact tracing – they are following asymptomatic cases, they are following contacts and they are not finding secondary transmission onward, it’s very rare,” Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove said during a news briefing. “Much of that is not published in the literature.”

So they are basing their expert opinion on grey literature?

Source: Coronavirus: Asymptomatic spread 'appears to be rare,' WHO official says

* The coronavirus pandemic is far from over.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the World Health Organization’s director, said on Monday that there should be no sense of complacency amid the coronavirus outbreak and supported his claim by pointing out that there were 136,000 new cases on Sunday, the most so far.

Source: WHO says coronavirus pandemic far from over as world sees largest daily increase

* Protest trump the coronavirus.

The World Health Organization momentarily paused its discussion of the coronavirus pandemic to address the worldwide protests taking place against police violence and racial inequality. "WHO fully supports equality and the global movement against racism. We reject discrimination of all kinds," WHO director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said during a media briefing on Monday.

His comments come amid fears from health officials who believe the protests could spark a wider spread of the coronavirus -- following months of stay-at-home orders to limit the virus's spread. Thousands have packed the mass demonstrations that have seen many without masks, and some chanting, shouting, or singing.

WHO believes protests important amid coronavirus pandemic

The WHO is very much a political organization. Their advise should have been spot on for the pandemic. But they failed dramatically. IMHO, they established themselves as the premier organization and banned and censored those that offered sound advise and guidance to the contrary.

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Andoras
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09 Jun 2020, 10:32 am

kraftiekortie wrote:

What does she have to do with all this?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... oronavirus

kraftiekortie
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09 Jun 2020, 12:24 pm

Greta had a relatively mild case.

jimmy m
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09 Jun 2020, 12:32 pm

ASPartOfMe wrote:

Dramatic spikes in auto traffic around major hospitals in Wuhan last fall suggest the novel coronavirus may have been present and spreading through central China long before the outbreak was first reported to the world, according to a new Harvard Medical School study.

Harvard researchers claim new satellite images show dramatic spikes in auto traffic around major hospitals in Wuhan last fall, suggesting the coronavirus may have been spreading through central China as early as August -- four months before Beijing first reported the outbreak to the world.

Source: Coronavirus may have hit Wuhan earlier than thought, Harvard study using satellite traffic images suggests

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Andoras
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09 Jun 2020, 12:44 pm

Looking back to late March I read on the Huffpost that London's coronavirus case had been already serious because the 1/3rd of the TFL staff had been sick then:
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/ ... for-london

By the way, what do you think about how serious India's situation will be?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... infections

It seems for me they have a serious dilemma between starvation and coronavirus infection after 2 months lockdown.

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09 Jun 2020, 12:52 pm

Boy, that was quick!

A few minutes ago I quoted a WHO official that said asymptomatic transmissions were "very rare". Now that official is walking back her statements.

A World Health Organization [WHO] official on Tuesday attempted to clarify a previous statement about coronavirus transmission by asymptomatic individuals being “very rare.” Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO infectious disease epidemiologist, said there had been "misunderstandings" about her comments made on Monday.

"In that I used the phrase 'very rare,' and I think that's a misunderstanding to state that asymptomatic transmission globally is very rare," she said. "What I was referring to is a subset of studies." Some modeling groups estimate about 40 percent of virus transmission may be due to asymptomatic people.

Source: CORONAVIRUSPublished 11 mins ago WHO official walks back statement that asymptomatic transmission is 'very rare'

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IsabellaLinton
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09 Jun 2020, 12:55 pm

kraftiekortie wrote:

Greta had a relatively mild case.

She was never even tested.

I don't think she had it at all.

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magz
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09 Jun 2020, 12:57 pm

Andoras wrote:

By the way, what do you think about how serious India's situation will be?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... infections

It seems for me they have a serious dilemma between starvation and coronavirus infection after 2 months lockdown.

We may never know.
If the poor leaving big cities carry the virus to their home villages, no one will test them and those who die will just be traditionally buried without notifying any officials - and from the increased number you won't tell the coronavirus from e.g. typhus and other poverty-related diseases.
Either way, the poorest get the worst blow

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magz
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09 Jun 2020, 12:59 pm

jimmy m wrote:

They may be rare in controled lab environment but in actual workplaces and other human gatherings, these "rare" cases make probably the biggest contribution - because the asymptomatic spreaders, even if rare, are not nearly as cautious as symptomatic ones.

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jimmy m
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09 Jun 2020, 1:49 pm

Andoras wrote:

By the way, what do you think about how serious India's situation will be?

India is a very populous country and people are packed tightly together. Therefore infections can spread quickly.

Currently the country records its biggest spike so far in new coronavirus cases in a single day. India counted 9,983 new infections Monday, with its overall tally crossing 250,000. The death toll stands at 7,200. Over the weekend, India surpassed Spain in the number of infections and became the fifth-worst affected country in the world.

About 100 million Indians have lost their jobs since then, prompting the government to reopen the economy even though scientists say the country is still far from reaching its peak infection rate. So India is balancing a trade off - coronavirus vs. economy. Both threats produce negative consequences.

The western Indian state of Maharashtra — home to the financial hub Mumbai — is the worst hit with more cases than all of China, where the pandemic began. Mumbai alone has about a fifth of all positive cases in India.

Source: India Reopens Public Places Even As Coronavirus Cases Rise

So if you look at the current weather in Mumbai, it is 84 degrees F and 84% relative humidity. So the coronavirus hotspot is on the high side of the humidity range. IMHO, this means that the transmission of infections is primarily through touch contact rather than the virus spread through respiration droplets. Maintaining good individual sanitation is extremely important. [clean clothing, clean water, clean body, clean dinnerware, clean food]

Communal dining is more of a threat for transmission. But in India, the concept of 'uchchishtam' (in Sanskrit) is a common belief. It can refer to the food item or the utensils or serving dishes, that has come in contact with someone's mouth, or saliva or the plate while eating - something that directly or indirectly came in contact with your saliva. Uchchishtam considers it extremely rude and unhygienic to offer someone food contaminated with saliva. This custom will help to hold the transmission in check.

The usage of spoons and forks is prevalent in the urban areas of North India and food like curry or vegetables is generally not touched with hands. When flatbreads such as chapati, roti, or naan are served with the meal, it is acceptable to use pieces of them to gather food and sop up gravies and curries. In South India, it is considered ill mannered to let your food stain the outside of your fingers or palm while eating and food is to be eaten only with the tip of the fingers. [This contrasts with the States where eating food with your fingers is fairly common.]

Many of the nations poor may actually work quite a bit outdoors and benefit from the exposure to sunlight which kills the virus and reduces the viral load.

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Andoras
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09 Jun 2020, 2:22 pm

magz wrote:

Andoras wrote:

soo that's why civil groups like Avaaz are worrying more about the Coronavirus' future death toll in Africa and South America than the mutch bigger India?

ASPartOfMe
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10 Jun 2020, 4:39 am

Arizona hospitals activate emergency plans as coronavirus cases spike

Quote:

The Arizona Department of Health Services urged the state’s hospitals to “fully activate” their emergency plans — as the state has seen a spike in coronavirus cases since reopening last month, according to new reports.

The letter, dated Saturday and signed by health services director Cara Christ, urged hospitals to prepare surge beds, cross-train staff and “reduce or suspend elective surgeries to ensure adequate bed capacity” for COVID and non-COVID patients alike.

The letter includes many of the same recommendations outlined in another memo sent to hospitals in March — except the new letter comes weeks after Gov. Doug Ducey’s stay-at-home order expired May 15. Statewide coronavirus cases have more than doubled since then, KPNX reported.

Ducey attributed the rise last week to an increase in testing.

“In recent days, we’ve seen some hospitals come out with concerns related to a surge in patients,” health services assistant director Jessica Rigler told KTAR News 92.3 FM. “So we wanted to make sure that we provided some additional guidance to those facilities about steps that they could be taking and remind them of some of the requirements that were … recommended in the previous letter.”

Hospitals must also identify additional ICU and inpatient beds to meet the 50 percent additional bed increase, the letter outlines.

They must also determine whether to shift their facilities from conventional care to contingency care, and prepare for crisis care.

The letter was dated the same day Christ told ABC 15 that her department’s staff had made errors and reported incorrect hospitalization numbers since April on the department’s coronavirus dashboard.

The state miscalculated the number of hospital beds currently available and in use in Arizona, because of staff members’ confusion over the number of beds the facilities are allowed to have in operation, and their surge capacities, according to the report.

Arizona has tallied a total of 28,296 coronavirus cases and 1,070 deaths, state data shows.

That includes 618 new cases and 23 additional deaths reported Tuesday morning.

NYC coronavirus numbers lowest since beginning of pandemic

Quote:

New York City saw the lowest number of new coronavirus cases since the pandemic hit the Big Apple in March — with only 1 percent of people tested for the disease receiving a positive result this week.

“Look at that, 1 percent only! An extraordinary day for New York City,” Mayor Bill de Blasio gushed at his press briefing from City Hall Tuesday.

He called the figure an “amazing statement” to New Yorkers’ ability to shelter-in-place and drive out the virus. The city started Phase One of its coronavirus reopening plan Monday with construction, manufacturing and curbside retail coming back.

New daily hospital admissions were at 52, well below the 200 threshold required for reopening and ICU capacity was at 337, under the 375 threshold. The figures, due to a reporting lag, are from Sunday.

De Blasio was so optimistic about the stats that he said, “Now we can start a conversation around pools,” after closing them for the entire summer.

Governor Andrew Cuomo applauded similar progress across the state, noting that New York is 101 days from its first coronavirus case.

“If you had told me 100 days ago that we would be reopening, I would say, that would be the best scenario,” Cuomo said during a press at New York Medical College in Valhalla.

Hair salons, real estate showings and outdoor dining will return to Long Island when it enters Phase Two of the state’s restart Wednesday.

“Their numbers are also down. They’ve have made great progress. One death. We were losing over 100 at one time,” Cuomo said. Like the Big Apple, Long Island’s positive testing rate is at just 1 percent.

Anthony Fauci warns that ‘nightmare’ pandemic isn’t close to over

Quote:

President Trump’s infectious disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci on Tuesday called the coronavirus his “worst nightmare” and warned that the fight against its spread is far from over.

The bleak outlook from Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, comes as the US continues to slowly reopen from lockdown while grappling with massive protests in cities over the police killing of George Floyd.

“In a period of four months, it has devastated the whole world,” Fauci said during a virtual appearance at a conference held by Biotechnology Innovation Organization. “And it isn’t over yet.”

Fauci added that there is still a world of uncertainty around the virus and how it spreads and impacts the body. He said COVID-19 is much more complex than HIV, a virus he spent his career studying, because of the varying levels of seriousness in infections — from asymptomatic carriers to patients who develop fatal conditions.

“Oh my goodness,” Fauci added. “Where is it going to end? We’re still at the beginning of really understanding.”

Fauci said vaccines will be the only way to stop the spread of the coronavirus though he did express confidence that an antidote is in the works.

He expects “more than one winner in the vaccine field because we will need vaccines for the entire world — billions and billions of doses,” he said.

“I’m very heartened by the fact that the industry has stepped to the plate — very much differently than what we saw with SARS,” Fauci said. “The industry is not stupid — they figured it out. SARS had a degree of transmissibility that it burned itself out with pure public health measures. No way is that going to happen with this virus.”

COVID-19 shines a “bright light” on the health disparities in the US, Fauci added. And as the US climbs out of its public health crisis, Fauci said resources must be focused on the most vulnerable communities, namely African Americans, who because of a variety of factors — including socioeconomic and employment — have been hit “getting hit with a double whammy” from the virus.
see also
Texas sees record number of coronavirus hospitalizations after state reopens

“[African Americans] have a greater proportion of jobs that don’t allow them to sit in front of a computer and do telework. They’re out there. they’re doing a lot of things physically where you to have interact,” Fauci said.

The nation’s top coronavirus expert also warned against trying to implement price controls on manufacturers of vaccines.

“As much as you’d like to see fair pricing,” you can’t force a price,” he said, reasoning that companies would simply walk away if faced with a price-control on vaccines.

“It’s a profit-driven industry,” Fauci went on, adding that companies “will in good faith make it available to those groups, countries, nations that really can’t afford it very well.”

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jimmy m
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10 Jun 2020, 9:19 am

TREATMENT METHODOLOGY

There are a number of potential cures (treatments) being evaluated for COVID-19. One candidate rose to the surface as an anti-coronavirus treatment - Remdesivir. But in order to be an effective cure, it must rely on the method of being administered.

Josh Bloom wrote, "Over the past few months I've been arguing that remdesivir, the only approved drug for SARS-2 infection, was never going to make a meaningful impact on COVID because it is an IV-only drug, meaning that it will only be administered to very ill people who are in the hospital and who would most likely benefit least from the drug."

[Many of these potential cures are highly effective in the early stages of the infection but much less effective when a patient is at death's door.]

"So I've been calling for a pill – something that Gilead previously stated that it had no intention of developing. But the company has an alternative in mind; a dry powder inhaler (DPI) of remdesivir which would be delivered directly to the lungs where the drug is needed most. Dry powder formulations of steroids and long-acting beta-adrenergic agonists (LABAs) have become the mainstay of asthma and COPD. Will this strategy work to control coronavirus?"

This is a photo of Adair, which I used to treat my Asthma. It is an example of this type of dry powder inhaler delivery system.

Source: Will Inhaled Remdesivir Make You Breathe Easy? Maybe

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10 Jun 2020, 9:38 am

WHO PROVIDES CONFLICTING GUIDANCE

Yesterday I noted that the World Health Organization is providing confusing/conflicting guidance on the coronavirus. This YouTube video dives into this.

The World Health Organization has said it is rare for asymptomatic people to spread the coronavirus, a message that contradicts current guidance from the CDC.

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A very unique plan. As Dr. Paul Thompson wrote, "This is the very best paper on the virus I have ever seen."

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