Tropical System Isaias

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31 Jul 2020, 7:04 pm

National Hurricane Center says:
“ Key Messages:

1. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in
portions of the Bahamas through Saturday, and Hurricane Warnings
are in effect.

2. Hurricane conditions are expected along portions of the Florida
east coast late Saturday and Saturday night, and a Hurricane Warning
has been issued. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

3. Dangerous storm surge is possible along the Florida east coast
from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach where water rises of 2 to 4
feet above ground level are possible along the immediate coastline
and adjacent waterways. Residents in these areas should follow
advice given by local emergency officials.

4. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening
flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained
areas across south to east-central Florida, and across the Carolinas
to the mid Atlantic. Isolated minor river flooding is possible
across the eastern Carolinas and into Virginia early next week.

5. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm
surge spreading along much of the the U.S. east coast through early
next week, and interests there should monitor the progress of Isaias
and updates to the forecast.”

Usually tropical systems heading to the US. east coast either makes landfall and weakens as they go inland or they get pushed out to sea by an approaching front. This system expected to be caught in between a stalled front to its west and high pressure system to its east. Like humans storms will travel the path of least resistance, in this case it is at or near the east coast. How strong and how fast it travels and how nasty it might get the movement if any of the other two systems. How close to the coast, how much of the storm will be over land will determine the effects.

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ASPartOfMe
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03 Aug 2020, 6:43 pm

Hurricane expert Bryan Norcross wrote:

Isaias is on track to make landfall near the South Carolina/North Carolina line this evening. The storm is getting better organized, and the National Hurricane Center is forecasting it to regain hurricane strength in the few hours before landfall. The ocean will be pushed up over the land up to 3 to 5 feet high above normal high tide along the Carolina coast to the right of where the center comes ashore. Flooding rain is forecast inland away from the coast from the Carolinas into New England. Winds along the entire coast are forecast to gust over 50 or 60 mph - with some in the Carolinas and the Chesapeake over 75 mph - which could take down trees and power lines. The dangerous winds are forecast to occur almost to Canada along the I-95 corridor.

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03 Aug 2020, 7:46 pm

D.C. has a tropical storm warning. They expect flooding and power outages in the area.

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03 Aug 2020, 10:53 pm

Hurricane Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
1115 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

Doppler radar imagery and surface observations indicate that eye of
Hurricane Isaias made landfall in southern North Carolina
around 1110 PM EDT (0310 UTC) near Ocean Isle Beach, with maximum
sustained winds of 85 mph (140 km/h).

A weather station at Oak Island, North Carolina, recently reported
sustained winds of 76 mph (122 km/h) and a gust to 87 mph (140
km/h).

A data buoy near the coast of North Carolina has recently reported
a minimum pressure of 988 MB (29.18 inches).

SUMMARY OF 1115 PM EDT...0315 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.9N 78.4W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$

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04 Aug 2020, 8:37 am

Tropical Storm Isaias is currently hitting the East Coasts and will do a bit of damage. Here are some precautions to be aware of during clean-up.

As the cleanup begins from Tropical Storm Isaias in North Carolina, local officials on Tuesday warned residents of threats that remain even after skies have cleared. Pender County EMS and Fire and the Pender County Office of Emergency Management urged residents on Facebook to remain cautious when handling any property damage from the storm.

“This is the time when we receive the most emergency calls,” said Woody Sullivan, Pender EMS & Fire Chief. “We respond to chainsaw accidents, carbon monoxide poisonings from generators, and anaphylactic shock from bee stings and fire ants.”

Source: North Carolina county warns of chainsaw accidents, fire ants in wake of Isaias

So before the storm hits, make sure your chainsaw is gassed and oiled and the chain is sharp and ready to go. Wear protective clothes. Be aware of downed power lines. The lines may still be electrically hot and you might get electrocuted if you get too close. Much of the clean-up of small branches can be done with a machete or tree pruning saws. Also be aware of vines. Many trees have vines that are poison ivy or poison oak. Know which vines are dangerous.

Never, ever, ever, ever, ever use an electrical generator indoors (including your attached garage). The fumes can kill you. Also candles can be a potential fire hazard, so watch where you place them. Make sure you have an adequate supply of batteries before the storm hits and also bottled water.

Fire ants typically form a mound to protect the queen, with the mound then floating on the water. Anyone who comes into contact with the fire ants can get bitten, causing a "fierce reaction or apoplectic shock".

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04 Aug 2020, 8:55 am

Bryan Norcross Hurricane Expert says

Quote:

TROPICAL STORM ISAISAS TO ROAR THROUGH THE NORTHEAST TODAY

Hurricane Isaisas dramatically strengthened just before it came ashore near the South Carolina/North Carolina border last night. Winds gusted over 85 mph on the North Carolina coast south of Wilmington. The ocean water was pushed over the coastline and extremely heavy rain moved inland. We’ll learn today if there was damage in the Carolinas.

Now our attention turns to the Mid-Atlantic states and the Northeast. The storm will stay quite strong as it tracks over land from Virginia and to New England. An unusually strong jet stream is energizing the circulation as it speeds north, and also adding extra gustiness to the peak winds.

Multiple tornado warnings have already been issued in the Mid-Atlantic states this morning, with more to come as the storm moves north.

Besides the tornadoes, winds will be strong enough to take down trees and power lines in a corridor from Virginia, though the Jersey Shore, southeast New York, and into New England. This could be doubly disruptive for people working at home due to the pandemic.

In New York City, winds will be treacherous on the avenues running north-south when the storm goes by in the afternoon. People living in high rises should clear their balconies, if they have one, stay off rooftops or roof decks, and stay inside away from window exposed to potential flying debris off other buildings upwind.

High profile vehicles on elevated roadways and bridges will be especially vulnerable. Winds are forecast to gust to hurricane force.

It will be especially windy at the coast from Virginia to New England. The south-facing beaches of Long Island, New York appear especially vulnerable since the south wind will have the longest fetch off the ocean. Precautions should be taken to avoid flying debris with every effort made to bring things that might blow around inside.

Storm surge is not a huge concern in the Northeast because the storm is moving so fast. Water may rise a couple of feet above normal high tide, but luckily the peak winds will likely arrive in the afternoon when the tide is relatively low.

Water will also rise in all of the bays and sounds of the Northeast and New England through the day, including on Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket.

Inland, a area of very heavy rain will parallel I-95 from the Carolinas to New England. Significant flash flooding is forecast in a large swath just west of the urban corridor. The storm will be moving quickly, so the rain won’t last, but a lot will come in a short period of time.

Seek out the latest forecasts and emergency information. Things will change fast today. And note the Key Messages from the National Hurricane Center in the latest advisory.

Save yourself some grief: 1) Park your car away from big trees, even if it’s down the street; 2) Keep everything charged. If the power goes out, it will buy you time; and 3) Stay home.

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04 Aug 2020, 12:11 pm

Tropical Storm Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
100 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020

...100 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND TORNADOES OCCURRING OVER
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...

The New York Harbor Entrance buoy (44065) recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (86 km/h) and a gust to 63 mph (101 km/h).

Also, a Weatherflow observing site located at Barneget Inlet Light,
New Jersey, recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (86 km/h)
and a gust to 75 mph (121 km/h).

Strong and damaging winds are spreading northward into the New York
City metropolitan area that could knock down trees and power lines.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM EDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.2N 75.4W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SW of DOYLESTOWN PENNSYLVANIA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM WSW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

Power flickering here so if my posts stop for a few days thats why

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06 Aug 2020, 3:16 am

I was lucky. I only lost power for 20 hours. Some are going to be without power until the weekend.

Hurricane Isaias Recap: Northeast Lashing Follows a North Carolina Landfall, a Florida Grazing, and Puerto Rico Soaking

Quote:

Hurricane Isaias (ees-ah-EE-ahs) lashed the Northeast U.S. with destructive winds, tornadoes and flooding rainfall after its North Carolina landfall, a graze of Florida's East Coast, and soaking the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico with flooding rain.

Isaias developed from a large, vigorous tropical wave which emerged off the west coast of Africa around July 23-24.

On July 28, the National Hurricane Center designated the system "Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine", a procedure allowing the issuance of tropical storm warnings for parts of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands before the system had actually become a tropical depression or storm.

Isaias finally became a tropical storm late on July 29, when it was centered about 150 miles south of Ponce, Puerto Rico.

Heavy rain triggered serious flash flooding in several areas of Puerto Rico. San Juan picked up 6.04 inches of rain from July 29-30. Parts of eastern Puerto Rico picked up over 10 inches of rain in 48 hour estimates from the National Weather Service.

Multiple fallen trees, mudslides and flooding were reported in southwest Puerto Rico, according to local emergency management. River flooding was recorded by USGS gauges in several locations in Puerto Rico.

Parts of the Dominican Republic picked up to 13 inches of rain from Isaias, according to the country's national meteorological office.

Isaias' center hopscotched across Hispaniola, then became a hurricane before brushing through the Inagua Islands.

Isaias then arrived in the Bahamas. Winds gusted to 56 mph at Nassau International Airport, and power was shut off to some parts of the island as a precaution on August 1.

The center of Isaias moved over northern Andros Island in the Northwest Bahamas, on August 1, where a gust to 69 mph was measured by a U.S. Navy site.

As it was doing so, wind shear temporarily blew thunderstorms away from Isaias, exposing the low-mid level core of Isaias in a stunning satellite loop.

Winds gusted to 62 mph Sunday morning in Freeport, Grand Bahama, hard hit from Hurricane Dorian in 2019.

What appeared to be at least a couple of feet of storm surge flooding was documented by Freeport resident Lean Burrows Sunday morning.

Florida Brush, Then North Carolina Landfall
Isaias brushed the coast of Florida and Georgia with rain and gusty winds August 2 and 3.

Isaias strengthened into a hurricane again late on August 3 just hours before it made landfall near Ocean Isle Beach, North Carolina, at 11:10 p.m. EDT as a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph.

A wind gust to 99 mph was clocked at an elevated weather station at Federal Point, North Carolina. Wilmington, North Carolina, saw wind gusts

Significant storm surge flooding occurred in Oak Island, North Carolina, which is located just east of where Isaias made landfall.

The storm surge sent the Cape Fear River at Wilmington, North Carolina, to a record high water level.

Storm surge flooding was also reported in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Water levels were just over 4.5 feet above normal tide level at Springmaid Pier, which was the third-highest level observed on record.

Northeast Lashing
While Isaias was technically downgraded to a tropical storm, it spared the Northeast no mercy, propelled by an unusually strong for early August jet stream.

Frequent gusts from 60 to 70 mph were clocked along the Jersey Shore, New York City and Long Island, including a 78 mph gust at New York's Battery Park and in Farmingdale.

Manteo, North Carolina, Norfolk, Virginia, Salisbury, Maryland, and Atlantic City, New Jersey, all clocked wind gusts over 60 mph. The National Hurricane Center reports that a wind gust to 94 mph was measured at a weather station at York River East, Virginia.

Numerous trees were downed - some on vehicles and homes - from Virginia to New England. Telephone poles were snapped in half in Westwood, New Jersey.

Over 3 million homes and businesses had lost power from North Carolina to New England, according to poweroutage.us.

A 2.7-foot storm surge was measured in Atlantic City, New Jersey, Tuesday morning ahead of the arrival of Isaias, though water levels only about 1.4 feet above normal high tide were recorded, there.

Basements were flooded and numerous water rescues were required Tuesday in North Coventry Township, Pennsylvania, between Reading and Philadelphia. King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, picked up 7.74 inches of rain through Tuesday afternoon.

The National Weather Service is forecasting the Schuylkill River in Philadelphia to crest early Wednesday morning at its second highest level on record, topped only by an October 1869 flood.

Rain-swollen Darby Creek flooded a neighborhood on Philadelphia's southwest side Tuesday afternoon, prompting rescues.

Little Lehigh Creek near Allentown, Pennsylvania, topped its previous record crest from Hurricane Agnes in 1972, a notoriously destructive Northeast inland flood. Perkiomen Creek at Graterford, Pennsylvania, also topped its previous record flood crest which had stood since July 1935.

Multiple roads were flooded, stranding vehicles in Albany, New York, where over 5 inches of rain had fallen.

Water rescues were also performed in Clements and near Hughesville, Maryland, due to flash flooding. One observer near Prince Frederick, Maryland, reported 8.42 inches of rain.

More than 20 reports of tornadoes were received by the National Weather Service from North Carolina to Pennsylvania.

Isaias was the earliest named ninth Atlantic tropical cyclone on record. The previous record was Irene on Aug. 7, 2005.

Typically the ninth named tropical system occurs in the Atlantic basin in early October, meaning this year's pace is over two months ahead of average.

jimmy m
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06 Aug 2020, 8:33 am

We were struck by tornadoes on 3 June 2008. They did a lot of damage to our property. It looked like a war zone. Many people operate under the false impression that when a disaster strikes the government steps in and fixes things. But this is not the real world. Most of the disaster cleanup is done by those directly affected, those that were clobbered by the storm. The next solvers were the utility companies. They mobilized and brought all their assets to bear to restore the power and other utilities. The damage was so bad, they operated in a triage approach. As far as I could see the government never personally provided me any assistance. They may have flown over the area to assess the damage. So most people must exercise a degree of self reliance in the face of adversity. Had I not stepped in and performed a major clean-up, it would have taken a month before my electrical power was restored. Mounds of branches and limbs that reached the sky.

The utility companies were the guys that came in to save the day and lent a helping hand. What is it about New Yorkers and those that live in the Northeast?

In the news today:

Nearly 48 hours after Tropical Storm Isaias blasted the Northeast, around 1.7 million customers are still without power in Connecticut, New Jersey and New York.

The governors of New York and Connecticut are now calling for probes into how utility companies responded to the storm.

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said he was directing the state's Department of Public Service to launch an investigation into the storm response by Verizon, PSEG Long Island, Con Edison, Central Hudson Gas & Electric, Orange and Rockland Utilities and New York State Electric & Gas to understand "how such a failure could have taken place." [Actually that is what hurricanes and tropical storms do! They create a lot of damage.]

As of Thursday morning, ConEd said that those crews have reached the "halfway mark" in restorations after the storm brought down thousands of trees, 78 poles, and other equipment, causing over 580 road closures and approximately 300,000 customer outages.

“This storm’s impact to the tri-state area was historic,” Matthew Ketschke, Con Edison senior vice president of Customer Energy Solutions said in a statement. “We are making significant progress as we work around the clock to restore power. New Yorkers are depending on us.”

Power has been restored to more than 85 percent of affected customers in Brooklyn and 74 percent of affected customers in Staten Island, according to ConEd. Also restored are 10,495 customers in the Bronx and 45,487 in hardest-hit Westchester County.

"New Yorkers deserve answers and they deserve better," [Governor] Cuomo said.

I agree, where was your emergency action plans for this disaster, Cuomo? It seems like you were ill prepared.

Source: Power outages after Tropical Storm Isaias spur New York, Connecticut to demand probes

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kraftiekortie
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06 Aug 2020, 9:59 am

Lots of downed trees in my area. Luckily, no one lost power in my immediate area.

This is probably because our electrical wires are underground.

Sorry you lost power, APOM.

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